Clinton Leads Sanders By 8 Points In Latest Iowa Poll

[onehandle]

Source: TPM

Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has a solid lead in Iowa, according to a Public Policy Polling survey released Friday, with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) trailing by 8 points.

The PPP poll showed support for Clinton at 48 percent among Iowans likely to attend the Democratic caucuses, while Sanders stood at 40 percent. These results indicate a slightly wider lead for Clinton than when the same poll was conducted earlier this month, showing Clinton at 46 percent to Sanders’ 40 percent.

The Iowa race is crucial in the battle for the Democratic nomination, as polling in New Hampshire suggests a consolidating advantage for Sanders while Clinton has a clear lead in virtually all South Carolina polls. Different pollsters have shown a wide range of results for Iowa Democrats.

Read more: http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/clinton-jan-ia-ppp-dems

[Iliyah]

1. Propaganda Corporate Media ain't gonna show any polls that are

favorable to HRC for IA. The CNN poll which had her 8 points down ahem - HRC must be SURGING.

[SunSeeker]

2. K & R

[Tarheel_Dem]

3. K&R!

[PatrynXX]

4. Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley showed 7 percent support in the PPP poll

oh yeah la la land,. ie second choice is probably Sanders never seen Omalley that high anywhere. Wall Street media must be in overdrive.

[dlwickham]

5. Very cool

[George II]

6. Clinton's lead is a LOT bigger throughout most of the state - more that a quarter....

.....of Sanders' support is concentrated in a few college towns. His support across the rest of the state is a lot lower because of that.

He could win each of those college districts 80-20 and still only get one delegate. But Clinton will win a higher number of delegates elsewhere.

[John Poet]

17. So the Iowa caucus is RIGGED in favor of Hillary,

and Bernie's supporters can safely discount the results if he loses.

Thank you.

[George II]

18. Who said that? The way the Iowa caucuses are cunducted has been in effect for many decades.

But I'm sure that when Sanders loses (BTW, no one "loses" in states where caucuses are conducted) his supporters will try to discount the results.

[John Poet]

19. I just said it.

The raw vote total will likely not be reflected in the final delegate count because of the geographic distribution you brought up, so you're right--

it'll be a little difficult to say who really won or lost, even when it's over.

[shenmue]

7. Yeah!

[NastyRiffraff]

8. A happy K&R!

Brilliant news!

[wildeyed]

9. She is moving it outside the margin of error!

I looked at 538, and it is a decently rated poll with a large sample size.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/iowa-democratic/#polls-only

[getagrip_already]

10. nate silver has an interesting take on iowa...

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-happens-if-bernie-sanders-wins-iowa/

Net/net, Iowa is not a sure thing for either candidate - if he wins both ia and nh it still doesn't mean much given the demographics of the remaining primaries doesn't favor him - and if he loses he's probably finished sooner than later.

[Elmer S. E. Dump]

11. Not buying it.

[hoosierlib]

12. Lol...read the poll

It assumes low turn-out, over samples those 45 and above (they break for Hillary 66 to 34) and admits that its a closer race once O'Malley voters are asked their to support the next candidate.

All Team Bernie has to do is get above turn-out at least 150k voters or higher (it was 240k in 2008) and it will be a barn burner. Its all about GOTV!

[swilton]

14. Weather forecast Monday for Des Moines

Sunny and high 40 degrees F

[LiberalLovinLug]

13. Only the first hurdle

If Bernie loses in Iowa, he can still win. Its only that his message has not been heard much, thanks in a large part to the MSM.

Remember?:

http://www.socialistalternative.org/2008/01/11/elections-analysis-voters-demand-change-while-two-parties-offer-empty-promises-2/

Despite losing Iowa, Clinton recovered to win the New Hampshire primary, leaving the race for the Democratic nomination a wide-open contest between her and Obama.

Not that it did her any good, but this is a different kind of candidate. There is no one to the left of him siphoning off the liberal and youth vote.

Do not be discouraged fellow Berners. But be prepared for a win or a loss. Its only a small battle in the war.

[calguy]

15. I like both candidates

But the reality is after NH Bernie is facing a huge mountain that he won't be able to climb.

[reACTIONary]

16. K & R !!,