Exit poll shows Moon Jae-in wins presidential election

[rpannier]

Source: Yonhap News Korea

Minjoo Party candidate Moon Jae-in is expected to be South Korea's next president

link to follow the elction
http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/election/6301000001.html

Read more: http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/election/2017/05/09/6301000000AEN20170509007500315.html

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Moon Jae-in was the second most liberal candidate on the ballot. He was expected to win following the faltering by Ahn Cheol-soo (considered the center-left candidate, but in my opinion the opportunist candidate)

Polls closed at 8pm local. As of 7:00, 75% of registered voters had voted

[rpannier]

1. Exit polls have Moon Jae-in at 41.4% of the vote

Shim Sang-jeung was my preferred candidate (New Justice Party), but Moon Jae-in is a solid second choice
Just glad that twit Ahn didn't win

[nycbos]

2. From the NY Times.

Mr. Moon’s victory would scramble the geopolitics of the standoff over North Korea’s nuclear arsenal. Even as it is urging the world to step up pressure on Pyongyang, the Trump administration now faces the prospect of a key ally — one with the most to lose in any conflict with the North — breaking ranks and adopting a more conciliatory approach.

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/09/world/asia/south-korea-election-president-moon-jae-in.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fasia

So which ally will we piss off next.

On a side note "engagement and dialogue" hasn't worked either. Both Clinton, Bush 43, and Obama tried it.

North Korea seems to act in a belligerent fashion no matter what and grading concessions would seem to be a reward for their behavior.

[Honeycombe8]

3. We know not to go by exit polls, right? nt

[herding cats]

4. They worked out in France. NT

[LanternWaste]

5. Ignoring a mechanism with an 89% historical accuracy rating

Ignoring a mechanism with an 89% historical accuracy rating appears to be a short-sighted reaction at best, irrational at worst.

If one is looking for 100% accuracy, it won't be found in politics nor social sciences.

[Honeycombe8]

7. For our last election, 12 out of 13 polls showed HRC to be the clear winner.

And exit polls showed the same thing.

I don't hold much stock in exit polls. They've been wrong before. I think exit polls had John Kerry winning.

[rpannier]

8. Exit polling is almost always accurate

It was in the last US election as well
It was pre election day polling, not the exit polling that was wrong

[scipan]

9. That's in the US.

n/t

[Hortensis]

6. Excellent news! Thank you very much, SKs.

It may be expected, but the Bannon-et-al's plan for purging liberal democracy just took a blow.