Dem lead in generic ballot polls worries GOP

[highplainsdem]

Source: The Hill

Republicans head into the holiday season with a daunting number hanging over their heads — 10.7 percent.

Democrats lead their Republican rivals by 10.7 percent on the generic congressional ballot, according to the most recent RealClearPolitics average of available polling data. That mark is the highest the RCP’s average has gone since just before the 2010 elections, where Republicans netted 63 House seats.

It’s a gloomy sign for Republicans, and one that dovetails with President Trump’s sagging approval rating to boost Democratic optimism about taking the House and raises questions about whether Republicans will be able to take advantage of Democratic weakness on the Senate map.

“It’s always stupid to make firm predictions in anything, whether it be politics or the Super Bowl. But it seems clear we are heading in a bad direction” said former Republican National Committee spokesman Doug Heye.

-snip-

Read more: http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/361571-dem-lead-in-generic-ballot-polls-worries-gop

[dawg day]

1. Need over 10%

Supposedly, to offset gerrymandering, the Dems need more than 10% advantage.

Just a thought--- there is a Democratic base, the vast majority of African American voters, women of color (and the half of white women who aren't INSULT EXPURGATED), Hispanics, non-"Christians", and smart men.

The GOP has a problem that I hope metastasizes. The GOP base is not the same as the Trump base. The GOP base is not big enough to win elections (though they're rich enough to fund them) without the infusion of resentment vote from the Tea Party and then the Trump Party. But the interests of the two bases here don't really cohere that well. The Trumpists' resentment and anger aren't good for business. The GOP's dedication to the interests of Wall Street and the wealthy (including free trade-- remember that?-- and tax preferences for the rich) has really very little to do with the emotion-based Trumpists.
And the occasional libertarian outbreak can't mix well with the religious right of Roy Moore, which is far more than anything else, anti-personal liberty. And then there's the Bannon mutiny. Goodness knows what that's going to lead to, with him hating on all the established Republicans (I swear, that guy's psychoanalysis would make great reading, all about lopping off Daddy's head).

Trump managed to muscle and oil his way into the nomination, and then everyone fell in line because, you know, "tax cuts". But if he can't get tax cuts (lord willing), why would the business interests go out of their way for him anymore? And if his Voldemoort buddy Bannon is going to target their oldest senators, why would the established party stick with him? It doesn't have to be an open break to siphon away the energy needed for the off-year elections.
It's an opportunity. Now if the Democrats can just manage not to dissolve into stupid internal conflicts, stop referring to the base as "interest groups", there's a chance.

[Achilleaze]

2. repubes could always try being honest for a change

Americans go for that. But then again, if being honest means owning your fail, your ream job of taxpayers, your ream job of the poor, sick, and elderly, and your ream job of the environment, and your ream job of basic moral decency, then - well - I guess you'd go on being a lowdown, lying KGOP republican betraying American democracy.

[Gothmog]

3. Good

[ProudMNDemocrat]

4. With this as the face of the Republican Party.....

Congressional Republicans have every right to be concerned going into the 2018 Midterms.

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[Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin]

5. Depends on how much gerrymandering there is