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riversedge

(70,189 posts)
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:03 PM May 2020

Trump says up to 100,000 Americans may die from coronavirus

Source: Reuters


Reuters•May 3, 2020 By Nandita Bose and Pete Schroeder

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Sunday he now believes as many as 100,000 Americans could die in the coronavirus pandemic, after the death toll passed his earlier estimates, but said he was confident a vaccine would be developed by the year's end.

Trump alternated during a two-hour virtual town hall broadcast by FOX News between forecasting a rapid recovery for the U.S. economy and casting blame for the pandemic's spread on China, where the disease is believed to have originated.

The COVID-19 illness, caused by the new coronavirus, has sickened more than 1.1 million in the United States and killed more than 67,000 Americans, shut wide swaths of society, including most schools and many businesses. https://tmsnrt.rs/2w7hX9T

"We're going to lose anywhere from 75, 80 to 100,000 people. That's a horrible thing," said Trump, who as recently on Friday had said he hoped fewer than 100,000 Americans would die and earlier in the week had talked about 60,000 to 70,000 deaths..............

Read more: https://news.yahoo.com/trump-hold-virtual-town-hall-204953597.html

31 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Trump says up to 100,000 Americans may die from coronavirus (Original Post) riversedge May 2020 OP
Wrong again, Dumb Donald! Buckeye_Democrat May 2020 #1
We'll hit 150000 by July 4 nm reggaehead May 2020 #19
What the difference 20,000 to 40,000 more to a genuine ghoul? gordianot May 2020 #2
There is a model... Newest Reality May 2020 #3
My guess is its going to be closer to 3.2 million or more. cstanleytech May 2020 #4
My math from 2 months ago Botany May 2020 #8
I was figuring it based on them finding a medication that drops it down to about 2% cstanleytech May 2020 #17
My guess is there are already more than 100,000 dead VMA131Marine May 2020 #5
The research would support that NickB79 May 2020 #12
Considering it will be over 70k tomorrow and going up by 2500 a day, I think he's a little short OnlinePoker May 2020 #6
By May 15, maybe. dawg day May 2020 #7
I think 100,000 or close to it already have. Jarqui May 2020 #9
Now, there is something he can Scarsdale May 2020 #24
100k dead, great job. 60k dead, great job. Back up to 100k Solly Mack May 2020 #10
Perfect analysis. Absolutely spot on. mobeau69 May 2020 #13
Double that, and you're getting warmer NickB79 May 2020 #11
Trump's baseline is 15 people and going down toward zero. keithbvadu2 May 2020 #14
1 dead is a tragedy, 100,000 dead is just a statistic IronLionZion May 2020 #15
Blaming China saves no American lives. Walleye May 2020 #16
Looks like ol' Larry Scarsdale May 2020 #25
Excellent summation of this Rogues Gallery Tiger8 May 2020 #30
Trump says . . . Aussie105 May 2020 #18
He's playing the numbers down for their upcoming circus. What a fucking asshole. C Moon May 2020 #20
100,000 dead by MAY 27th, about 900 deaths per day until at least Sept. BigmanPigman May 2020 #21
In less than two weeks, he will claim he never said this. olddad65 May 2020 #22
That's his MO duforsure May 2020 #23
Meanwhile, the victims Scarsdale May 2020 #26
Trump has caused pain and suffering to millions of people in the United Sates ... Maribelle May 2020 #27
The COVID virus death toll at over 100k dead Americans Vogon_Glory May 2020 #28
Feed the people bad news in small servings Chainfire May 2020 #29
We're at 70k KNOWN and this beast isn't... WePurrsevere May 2020 #31

gordianot

(15,237 posts)
2. What the difference 20,000 to 40,000 more to a genuine ghoul?
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:10 PM
May 2020

We are still in a horror that no one for certain knows when it may end. The last person that would know or admit anything is Donald Trump.

Newest Reality

(12,712 posts)
3. There is a model...
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:11 PM
May 2020

There is a model, and yeah, it's a model or predictive, that suggests reopening the states could take the death toll to about 220,000 or more.

He wouldn't mention that one, because that would indicate that premature reopening in the wrong way would be like telling the people who go back to work that they are expendable lemmings.

The propaganda is not only bad because of that, but it keeps hammering a false form of safety and optimism that belies the need to continue following the guidelines, which is then counterproductive and just increases the numbers.

It's TOO LATE after the fact.

Botany

(70,490 posts)
8. My math from 2 months ago
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:29 PM
May 2020

330,000,000 (US Pop.) x .40 (40% infection rate /low end WHO figures) x .03 (3% lethal rate WHO figures) =

3,960,000 dead

cstanleytech

(26,283 posts)
17. I was figuring it based on them finding a medication that drops it down to about 2%
Mon May 4, 2020, 01:02 AM
May 2020

before this is all over.

OnlinePoker

(5,719 posts)
6. Considering it will be over 70k tomorrow and going up by 2500 a day, I think he's a little short
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:23 PM
May 2020

And his estimates are low as well.

Jarqui

(10,123 posts)
9. I think 100,000 or close to it already have.
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:31 PM
May 2020

States like Florida are suppressing totals. They're particularly vulnerable with so many elderly there. Desantis has pulled a Trump and probably killed a bunch of folks there.

Many of those who do not die in the hospital are not being given coronavirus as the cause of death.

Some who die in the hospital may not be getting the virus as the cause of death- it could be pneumonia for example.

Of the 1,188,122 total US cases
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
68,598 died, 178,263 recovered.

If the outstanding cases resolved or died at the same rate, that's another 261,000 dead for a total of 330,268. Those numbers won't like hit that because they're probably not tracking the recovered as well as the dead. But there are going to be a lot more Americans dying from those already infected and listed above.

But here's the problem: 27,000-30,000 are still getting infected daily that we know of. That is somewhere between 1,000 and 8,340 who will eventually die coming in daily.

And now, we have some states opening up and folks defying social distancing and masks and arming themselves to assail legislatures to get quarantines shutdown. So we're likely to see a boomerang in the numbers which may get worse than ever before they smarten up.
Trump is on target to kill more people per capita by mishandling this virus than most countries on the planet.

Scarsdale

(9,426 posts)
24. Now, there is something he can
Mon May 4, 2020, 05:36 AM
May 2020

brag about. No other president, even during a war, has killed more people than Donald Dump. He will frame it that they died for him to prove that JYNA caused this entire episode. JYNA could not stop people from entering the US, but HE could have. At the very least, had people tested before leaving their country of origin bound for the US. He lives up to his motto daily "I do not bear any responsibility" Then who the HELL does? He was so busy golfing and holding his vile Nazi rallies, he could not bother doing his job. Anyone who votes for this brain dead ass, or any other gop candidate needs to be mentally examined. STUPID people.

Solly Mack

(90,762 posts)
10. 100k dead, great job. 60k dead, great job. Back up to 100k
Sun May 3, 2020, 11:37 PM
May 2020

dead, still great job.

Coming soon - 200k dead, great job. 400k dead, great job.
1.3 million dead, great job. 2.7 million dead, great job.

That fucker is going to pretend he predicted the number of people dying and that no matter how many die, he did a great job.

keithbvadu2

(36,775 posts)
14. Trump's baseline is 15 people and going down toward zero.
Mon May 4, 2020, 12:09 AM
May 2020

Trump's baseline is 15 people and going down toward zero.

First it was one person from China and then it was 15 people and going down toward zero.

That's what you said.

Everything above that is Trump's personal death toll.

'Totally under control' (you) and 'contained' (Kudlow)

And then you ignored it with high praise and optimism to make yourself look good.

And then let it grow uninhibited.

IronLionZion

(45,427 posts)
15. 1 dead is a tragedy, 100,000 dead is just a statistic
Mon May 4, 2020, 12:46 AM
May 2020

Josef Stalin said something like that.

These assholes bend logic into pretzels to take away civil rights from entire ethnic groups of people if one person commits a crime. Brown people had to lose a lot of basic human rights after 9/11, 2 wars, 2 new federal agencies, trillions of dollars wasted, because 3,000 Americans died. Military weapons and vehicles were used against Native Americans who don't want oil polluting their drinking water.

68,000 Americans have already died from this virus and they don't want to spend money to pay unemployment, or provide universal health care and testing, or purchase adequate PPE and other hospital equipment. Ordinary Americans are refusing to follow even basic social distancing when shopping for groceries, putting more at risk. These people can't handle what brown and black Americans have to deal with. And they wouldn't like experiencing some "blue lives matter" justice.

Walleye

(31,008 posts)
16. Blaming China saves no American lives.
Mon May 4, 2020, 12:55 AM
May 2020

It just gives his hate cult some foreigners to hate. It does, however, play hell with his precious stock market. trump is so dumb. Empty threats. Where’s Kudlow in this?

Scarsdale

(9,426 posts)
25. Looks like ol' Larry
Mon May 4, 2020, 05:46 AM
May 2020

has gone back to snorting coke. He looks disheveled in his TV appearances, sleepy and not quite "with it" Where is Wilbur Ross? Sleeping somewhere on HIS pile of cash. Who would have thought there would be so many unqualified people in high office in this country, before tRump came along? Slumlord Prince Jared is in charge of EVERYTHING. Princess Ivanka is prepping for HER run for the presidency, after a career as a failed handbag/fashion designer. Little Mikey Pence is afraid of his own shadow, but apparently NOT afraid of this virus, since he refused to wear a mask while visiting the Mayo Clinic. Then he has Mother come on TV to protect him! What a disgusting group of FAILURES. Name one of them who commands any respect.

 

Tiger8

(432 posts)
30. Excellent summation of this Rogues Gallery
Mon May 4, 2020, 08:45 AM
May 2020

How can people support them? Mental illness? Evil? Stupid? Brain washed?

Aussie105

(5,382 posts)
18. Trump says . . .
Mon May 4, 2020, 01:18 AM
May 2020

is the point I stop listening.

I really do wish the media would stop giving this non-humanoid life form air time and repeating his words like they actually have meaning.

C Moon

(12,212 posts)
20. He's playing the numbers down for their upcoming circus. What a fucking asshole.
Mon May 4, 2020, 02:47 AM
May 2020

I hope he's one of the 100,000.
I wonder how many—even in his administration—would be concerned AT ALL if he uttered the words, "I feel feverish, and I'm having a hard time breathing."

BigmanPigman

(51,584 posts)
21. 100,000 dead by MAY 27th, about 900 deaths per day until at least Sept.
Mon May 4, 2020, 02:51 AM
May 2020

"Below, we present the most likely dates that the US will surpass certain deaths milestones, as well as the probabilities of the US surpassing those milestones by several different time periods. For example, we estimate a 67% chance that the US surpasses 100,000 deaths by June 1, with May 27 being the most likely date...."

Last updated: May 3, 2020

US deaths surpass: Most likely date:
70,000 May 5, 2020
80,000 May 11, 2020
90,000 May 18, 2020
100,000 May 27, 2020
https://covid19-projections.com/
................................................................................................................................
Are we really OK with about 1,000 people dying each day for the next few months or longer? What about a second and third wave, will the numbers be even higher? If there is no treatment or vaccine what do we do?
Bill Gates said that if a vaccine is 90% effective, than "only" 80% of the world's population will need to receive it, cutting the cost of everyone on Earth having to get expensive vaccinations and anti vaxxers threatening everyone else's health (that is a good thing at least).

duforsure

(11,885 posts)
23. That's his MO
Mon May 4, 2020, 04:17 AM
May 2020

He calls anything he doesn't like fake news, deny's everything he says the day before and anything true that exposes him , and claims things he's done or is doing onto others. Biden should run ads of him saying something then the next day denying it , then say is this corruption ,incompetence, or intentional lying, or Dementia setting in. I think it is all of them.

Scarsdale

(9,426 posts)
26. Meanwhile, the victims
Mon May 4, 2020, 05:55 AM
May 2020

keep piling up and nobody in this administration will raise a finger to prevent it. Kushner is stockpiling all the PPE equipment, ready for the profits to come rolling into the tRump coffers. He should be arrested for WAR crimes, since tRump has declared himself a "war president". Release those needed supplies NOW. Kushner was not elected to office, he does not even qualify for security clearance, yet he is making all the decisions. ENOUGH ALREADY. Arrest the smug, Botoxed little prick. His father could tell him what to expect when he goes to prison, since he is an ex-con himself.

Maribelle

(4,783 posts)
27. Trump has caused pain and suffering to millions of people in the United Sates ...
Mon May 4, 2020, 06:48 AM
May 2020

Due to Trumps negligence many people are suffering through unimaginable discomfort and agony.

Vogon_Glory

(9,117 posts)
28. The COVID virus death toll at over 100k dead Americans
Mon May 4, 2020, 07:12 AM
May 2020

At the very least. This is an epic f**ckup, to say the least.

Chainfire

(17,530 posts)
29. Feed the people bad news in small servings
Mon May 4, 2020, 08:29 AM
May 2020

It is acclimatizing us for statistics that would have shocked us beyond belief if we had known when the first confirmed patient died.
As we approach 100,000, 200,000 will not sound so bad. It is just the practice of successful propaganda.

People are bored with hearing the numbers, they are bored staying at home, they are bored with saving their own lives.
It will not be real to many people until a close family member dies, and then they will ask, "Why me, God?"

The rational thing to do to stay alive is continue to follow a routine that limits the viruses path into your body regardless of what other people do. You can recover from being broke. (I know this) you can't recover from being dead.

The politics are changing, the virus is not. Act accordingly.

WePurrsevere

(24,259 posts)
31. We're at 70k KNOWN and this beast isn't...
Tue May 5, 2020, 08:34 AM
May 2020

dying, it's just catching its breath while gearing up to take out more. We'll probably be at 100k by mid June especially if things open up to fast and no protective measures like masks and social distancing are pushed by COVID45 and his foolish greedy enablers.

When we finally do find an effective treatment, and 'if' we can get a reliable vaccine, how many more will die because Trump and his greedy admin allows the pharm companies to charge an arm and a leg and too many won't be able to afford either?

To save lives any treatment and vax MUST be provided for free with gov (and the richest 2% w/increased taxes) picking up the tab. Heck, as far as I'm concerned Trump should pay the whole damn bill (and serve jail time) for his part in all of the deaths that could have been avoided if he hadn't blown it off as nothing months ago (and continues to encourage his cult followers to do).

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