Trump Administration Models Predict Near Doubling of Daily Death Toll by June
Source: New York Times
The Trump administration projects about 3,000 daily deaths by early June.
As President Trump presses for states to reopen their economies, his administration is privately projecting a steady rise in the number of cases and deaths from the coronavirus over the next several weeks, reaching about 3,000 daily deaths on June 1, according to an internal document obtained by The New York Times, nearly double from the current level of about 1,750.
The projections, based on government modeling pulled together in chart form by the Federal Emergency Management Agency, forecast about 200,000 new cases each day by the end of the month, up from about 25,000 cases now.
The numbers underscore a sobering reality: While the United States has been hunkered down for the past seven weeks, not much has changed. And the reopening to the economy will make matters worse.
There remains a large number of counties whose burden continues to grow, the C.D.C. warned.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/04/us/coronavirus-updates.html
Botany
(70,490 posts)berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)It will get much much worse than many can imagine.
Botany
(70,490 posts)COVID-19 cases could surge in fall, last 2 years, University of Minnesota report says
The pandemic could last up to two years, according to nationally renowned epidemiologist Michael Osterholm and a team of researchers.
https://www.startribune.com/covid-19-cases-could-surge-in-fall-last-2-years-u-report-predicts/570130602/
NotHardly
(1,062 posts)by the time election day gets here in November there will be 450,000 dead by November 1, 2020 and only if it does not continue to raise as a per day average. 1/2 a million dead and the rest of the country awash with infection.
Trump and the Trump Administration is literally killing America.
NCjack
(10,279 posts)NotHardly
(1,062 posts)they won't notice until they have to wash their own clothes and wipe their own arses.
sakabatou
(42,148 posts)riversedge
(70,189 posts)PSPS
(13,591 posts)Remember, the first sentence is, "The Trump administration projects about 3,000 daily deaths by early June." Aything beginning with "The trump administration" must always be suspect. That includes all federal agencies because they're all controlled by trump toadys now.
This could very well be a political move to lie about the projection, making it very high, so that trump can proclaim "the greatest victory by any president ever in the country's history!!!111!" when it's anything lower.
tulipsandroses
(5,123 posts)Now back to higher number. Why did they start saying the death rate was going to be lower?
Initech
(100,063 posts)Would you trust the administration who created the war on facts to get anything right about this? I know I wouldn't.
Blasphemer
(3,261 posts)That model assumed keeping up social distancing until August. That is not happening.
bucolic_frolic
(43,128 posts)truthisfreedom
(23,145 posts)Of 65,000 total deaths?
tanyev
(42,550 posts)Hey, as long as the flag is still there, its ok, right?