Biden extends lead over Trump to double digits in post-convention poll

[brooklynite]

Source: The Hill

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden extended his lead over President Trump nationally to double digits, according to a new poll released after the two major party conventions concluded.

Biden is leading Trump by 11 points, with Biden at 51 percent support among registered voters compared to Trump’s 40 percent, according to an Economist/YouGov poll released Wednesday.

Biden’s lead over Trump jumped 2 points from a similar poll released last week, when the Democrat held a 9 point lead over Trump. Biden’s support ticked up one point since last week, while Trump’s dipped one point, based on the polls.

The most recent poll found 4 percent said they are not sure who they would vote for, 2 percent of registered voters said they would vote for another candidate, and 2 percent said they would not vote, according to the most recent poll.

https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president?gclsrc=aw.ds&gclid=Cj0KCQjwhb36BRCfARIsAKcXh6G-HkuanmoeXyShhc0M6FZsV-bVyxaEp8GA4aJJ_2jM8fzkF6vEELIaApm9EALw_wcB&gclsrc=aw.ds

Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/514832-biden-extends-lead-over-trump-to-double-digits-in-post-convention-poll

[Cryptoad]

1. Ole Steve Cornacky M$NBC,,,,,,,

is not going to like this,,,,,,,

[brooklynite]

3. Yawn...

Link to tweet

[Calista241]

4. The RCP battlegrounds breakdown has Biden at +2.5

If that number is that low on November 1, we're probably going to lose. Biden needs to get on it and improve these numbers ASAP.

[jorgevlorgan]

7. It is doubtful to me that he would be ahead by 7-10 points

And above 50%, and still lose the election. But hell it was doubtful to me that undecideds and 3rd parties would break 80-20 in favor of trump in key states so... Yeah

[Thekaspervote]

8. Haven't looked at RCP lately, if that figures in Rasmussen...it explains a lot

The Economist poll aggregator does not include Rasmussen, we all know their leanings, or Emerson due to poor polling methodology
https://projects.economist.com/us-2020-forecast/president

[theophilus]

12. Kornacki, from what I'm seeing, is actually speaking some truth and doing a

fairly good job. I am not going to watch anybody, ANYBODY, that goes on about the "race tightening" very much. Unless, they then explain that Biden is still way out in front. The tightening Kornacki explained in a segment today was by a .0something amount. Sure MSNBC wants a horse race. At the top. Fuck that shit. Only by "pretending" it is close can Putin and the Pubs steal it and get away with it. Again.

Peace!

[jorgevlorgan]

2. That consistent 50-51 percent

Shows solid support. Even the close polls show him at that level or close. Remember Hillary won the percentage of support that polls showed her at in each state. But third part and undecideds went a far different direction than expected. His 50-51 percents support means that he will likely fall at least in that range after the votes are counted.

[Thekaspervote]

5. Right...one main difference, HRC never did get above 50%

[jorgevlorgan]

6. Exactly

[bucolic_frolic]

9. I love the closing weeks of an election

Each campaign fighting to capture unengaged voters so they can decide the election.

We were supposed to have an enlightened, informed citizenry.

[brooklynite]

11. Is that why the Electoral College was set up by the Founding Fathers?

Perhaps its because I started out in the trenches as a Ward Committeeman in Philadelphia, but I've never overestimated the political engagement of the average voter.

[bucolic_frolic]

14. Interesting angle, though they didn't foresee flatout democracy

They filtered out, of course, women, blacks, and men without property from voting.

And allowed state legislatures to select Senators, rather than the masses voting, which was changed about ... 1912?

And setup the Electoral College as a final check on national office, once removed from vote pluralities.

And allowed Congress to decide elections with no clear winner.

I took one course in Am Political Thought, a rarity, even today, since Pol Thought is usually taught pre and post Enlightement basically.
But Founders feared factions, mob (the masses) rule, bad decisions made by emotions of voters. But they also disliked parties, and didn't see the Electoral College as dominated by parties. Been kind of long since I thought about it, but I got the idea electors were supposed to be elders, elder statesmen, retired judges, a kind of reserve against election results. Not political party rubber stamps. They muffed on that one.

And I don't recall any argument that the genuine undecideds are not very well informed. But to me it's an Achilles heel that explains 2016.

[Norbert]

10. I predict a 3rd temper tantrum today when the orange anus sees this

[Calista241]

13. I'm not sure how much faith to put into polls this cycle.

Trumpers have been called racist for voting for Trump since 2016, and I don't see how accurate polling data will be given that people don't want to be accused of being racist.

I have family members whom I KNOW are going to vote for Trump. Thankfully they're all in Georgia, which won't really have the chance to sway the election. But I also know that they wouldn't tell a soul who's not a member of their family which way they're going to vote.

It's like the Dave Chappelle skit from years ago. A white guy will talk about stuff that's super personal, like sex, and not care who hears about it. But once Dave asked him who he was going to vote for, the guy was like "What's with all the personal questions?"

I'm hoping and praying Biden wins, and wins easily. But I have a sneaking suspicion we're all gonna be super pissed off.

[Initech]

15. After 2016, I am putting 0% faith in the polls.

I won't believe anything until it's actually election night, and even then I will be scared as hell.

[paleotn]

16. Regardless....

It means nothing unless....we...all...go...out...and...VOTE!!!!