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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,741 posts)
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 09:19 PM Sep 2020

About 9% of Americans exposed to COVID-19 by mid-summer. That's a long way from herd immunity.

Source: USA Today

By the end of July, about 9% of American adults had been exposed to the coronavirus that causes COVID-19, according to a new study of dialysis patients, the largest yet looking for evidence of the disease in people's blood.

The infection rates varied from essentially zero in some states that avoided infection by mid-summer, to more than one-third of residents in parts of New York hard-hit in the spring.

The upshot is the American public is a long way from achieving "herd immunity" – having enough infections to prevent further spread of the virus.

Infection rates are so patchy that even if some areas have had high infection rates, people there are unlikely to be protected because others will bring the virus in from elsewhere, said William Hanage, an epidemiologist at the Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health.



Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/about-9-of-americans-exposed-to-covid-19-by-mid-summer-that-s-a-long-way-from-herd-immunity/ar-BB19qL5n?li=BBnba9O&ocid=DELLDHP

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About 9% of Americans exposed to COVID-19 by mid-summer. That's a long way from herd immunity. (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Sep 2020 OP
Yes, but herd STUPIDITY will overwhelm the nation... AZ8theist Sep 2020 #1
Not red America. It's rube America. paleotn Sep 2020 #3
Certainly!! AZ8theist Sep 2020 #4
Lightyears and paleotn Sep 2020 #2
There is NO hard evidence long term immunity exists for COVID19 after infection. Pobeka Sep 2020 #5
Name another corona virus vaccine.... WA-03 Democrat Sep 2020 #6
I'd go one further. Igel Sep 2020 #14
Only chance is a vaccine TheFarseer Sep 2020 #7
And that 9% gives us 200,000 dead NickB79 Sep 2020 #8
That's very "no true Scotsman". Igel Sep 2020 #15
The infection rate is varies a lot Steelrolled Sep 2020 #9
Even in those states, it's not evenly distributed NickB79 Sep 2020 #11
Trump's plan is herd infections mdbl Sep 2020 #10
But hair furor clearly said herd mentality. truthisfreedom Sep 2020 #12
Could be achieved at less than that DeminPennswoods Sep 2020 #13
I sincerely doubt that 9% of our population has been tested FakeNoose Sep 2020 #16

AZ8theist

(5,409 posts)
1. Yes, but herd STUPIDITY will overwhelm the nation...
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 09:28 PM
Sep 2020

At least in RUBE AMERICA.

Keep having super spreader events, you FUCKING IMBECILE.

Keep killing your supporters. Keep losing voters. Keep doing to America what you did with EVERY SINGLE BUSINESS YOU TRIED.

FUCKING TRAITORS LIKE YOURSELF ARE DESTINED FOR THE TRASH.

AZ8theist

(5,409 posts)
4. Certainly!!
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 09:59 PM
Sep 2020

Just pay me a copyright fee of $0.0023 per calendar year.

So in the year 2150 you owe me about a buck three-eighty.

Sounds fair.....

paleotn

(17,881 posts)
2. Lightyears and
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 09:53 PM
Sep 2020

about 1.4M more deaths away from herd immunity by my rough calculation. Safe to say herd immunity is not a viable option. Math is hard for fascists. They don't teach it in nazi school I guess.

Pobeka

(4,999 posts)
5. There is NO hard evidence long term immunity exists for COVID19 after infection.
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 10:03 PM
Sep 2020

In fact, there are cases of multiple infections of the same individuals.

The jury is still out if long term immunity is even possible, only a specialized vaccine can provide some sort of long term immunity.

Igel

(35,274 posts)
14. I'd go one further.
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 12:24 PM
Sep 2020

Identify how widespread immunity resulting from vaccinations differs from widespread immunity from natural infection.

Then, once you've established that there's a theoretical distinction that can be drawn (cut things finely enough, there's one to be found), show that this is in any way the actual state of affairs.


Just as there's no "HARD" evidence of herd immunity for this (simply because it requires herd immunity to be established in order to measure it), there's no hard evidence that the abstract distinction has any bearing on reality.

TheFarseer

(9,317 posts)
7. Only chance is a vaccine
Fri Sep 25, 2020, 11:52 PM
Sep 2020

We just can’t do a lockdown. Too many people will cheat and screw it up. This half-assed strategy we’re doing now isn’t cutting it. But not enough people are getting it to achieve here immunity. Come on Pfizer!!!

Igel

(35,274 posts)
15. That's very "no true Scotsman".
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 12:28 PM
Sep 2020

Problem is, nobody knows for sure what the herd immunity percentage is. Early estimates made assumptions that turned out wrong--not that we've tested and falsified the predictions by showing the actual numbers are different, but if you change the assumptions you change the predictions.

Herd immunity has never been billed as being at 100%. Some estimates put it as low as 20%. Herd immunity isn't "nobody can catch it" but more like if somebody is infectious, it will not lead to an uncontrolled outbreak--it will have a small number of links in transmission and then that route of transmission will die out on its own.

 

Steelrolled

(2,022 posts)
9. The infection rate is varies a lot
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 01:49 AM
Sep 2020

For high infection rate states like Florida and Louisiana, herd immunity could start becoming meaningful.

NickB79

(19,224 posts)
11. Even in those states, it's not evenly distributed
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 11:12 AM
Sep 2020

Major cities could see herd effects by now, but rural areas and suburbs might not. And if immunity is only transient like some other coronaviruses, those outlying areas could serve as reservoirs to reinfect population centers as immunity wanes in 6 months.

FakeNoose

(32,579 posts)
16. I sincerely doubt that 9% of our population has been tested
Sat Sep 26, 2020, 12:33 PM
Sep 2020

As of July CDC was "guessing" that about 1% of Americans have been tested for Covid, and they pulled that number out of their ass.

Even if they've actually tested 10 million Americans - which I doubt - it's still way short of 9% of our population.

The truth of the matter is that SOME people have been tested regularly and frequently, such as White House employees, professional athletes, medical & hospital personnel. But most of us won't ever be tested, because we aren't showing symptoms and they won't waste test kits on us.

Keep on wearing your masks kiddies, this is not going to end soon.


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