Manchin Shoots Down Filibuster Carveout For Voting Rights After Meeting With Texas Dems
Source: TPM
July 16, 2021 7:51 a.m.
A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things.
Digging His Heels In
Coming out of a meeting with the Texas Democrats who fled their state to block the passage of Texas Republicans voter suppression bill, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) remained unswayed by their appeals to allow an exemption to the filibuster for the For The People Act.
Forget the filibuster, the West Virginia Democrat told reporters after the meeting.
But the Texas Democrats arent giving up hope, with state Sen. Nathan Johnson (D) telling reporters that [t]hings have to happen at the pace they happen.
.........................
Read more: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/manchin-shoots-down-filibuster-carveout-for-voting-rights-after-meeting-with-texas-dems
Manchin gets a high profile meeting with Texas Dems--and ploooooop!
Link to tweet
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Link to tweet
?s=20
JohnSJ
(92,110 posts)FBaggins
(26,727 posts)Elessar Zappa
(13,941 posts)Even though GOP states are passing laws which enable them to overturn a legitimate result, I have to think the courts wouldnt allow it. I hope.
JohnSJ
(92,110 posts)ancianita
(36,009 posts)joetheman
(1,450 posts)Manchin knows he will probably lose this time around in the national. I just wish some other Dem with a chance would show up ad beat him in the primary.
diverdownjt
(701 posts)Recent opinion from the supreme's and all.
This is why rethug's did all this court packing
brooklynite
(94,466 posts)Too expansive. Needs to be cut up and passed incrementally.
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)Nor do I think that it would be untouched by the courts if it did pass.
I'm just saying that's the counterargument. I happen not to believe it.
quakerboy
(13,918 posts)Manchin wont let the bill happen(via holding the fillibuster sacrosanct over country, party, citizens, and all else), but somehow hes going to be ok nuking the fillibuster to pass smaller portions of it?
It really doesn't matter how expansive or incremental it is. Without either ending the fillibuster, or getting 10 republicans on board, its not happening.
PoliticAverse
(26,366 posts)Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)Redistricting in FL alone is projected to flip 5-6 seats from Dem to GOP, which is the current margin.
joetheman
(1,450 posts)joetheman
(1,450 posts)There should be no unchallenged positions anywhere at the state and local levels even if we have to run a candidate with only registration fees in his or her coffer.
Calista241
(5,586 posts)Lonestarblue
(9,959 posts)Holding on to the Senate will be hard but not impossible. Senator Warnock may lose in Georgia because of their new law allowing the legislature to overrule voters. Fetterman in PA has a good chance of winning, as does Ryan in Ohio. If we lose Warnock, we need to pick up three new seats to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant. Lots of work ahead.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)Warnocks seat is toast unless HR1 passes, as the GA legislature will simply refuse to certify the results, allowing Kemp to appoint a Republican replacement.
Same is true in AZ with Mark Kelly.
So that makes FOUR seats Dems will have to pick up in 2022 to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant, while also protecting vulnerable seats in NV and NH.
So which 4 seats do you project Dems flipping?
The fight is NOW, in the streets, not November 2022.
ancianita
(36,009 posts)Efilroft Sul
(3,578 posts)While Republicans scheme and Democrats Manchinsplain, November 2022 will be too late.
LymphocyteLover
(5,639 posts)Efilroft Sul
(3,578 posts)I educate people about GOP vote suppression tactics, I motivate others to tell their friends and family members and spread the word and opposition. It's about all I can do at the grass roots level with the time I have.
Ultimately, this comes down to the Democrats in DC, from the Biden White House to Congress, to do the job we elected them to do last November. Part of that job is to protect the right to vote and pass legislation that thwarts the Republicans' chicanery at the state level. If that means playing hardball with Manchin, Sinema, or any other Democrat who is too cowardly to change the filibuster rules to save our country from home-grown fascism, it's past time to get a move on.
I'll end this by saying 81 million voters saved this nation in November. It would sure be nice if Democratic politicians returned the favor.
LymphocyteLover
(5,639 posts)All we can do is vote, donate and try to motivate others
LymphocyteLover
(5,639 posts)even worse, as Tasha Brown explained on Pod Save America yesterday, African-Americans are not going to be motivated to come out strongly after they worked so hard before and now have to work even harder.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)The fascists are counting on the combination of exhaustion and complacency to create a path to victory for them.
Although the AA community has a huge stake in voting rights, everyone has a stake in the survival of democracy.
The learn what you can do to save democracy, go to:
Indivisible.org
keroro gunsou
(2,223 posts)MoRon Johnson. from what i have been seeing, hearing, and reading, a lot of people are sick of his shit. problem is, he's got MONEY of his own, not counting the dark money he will inevitably get to keep his and the Koch's seat in the R camp.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)keroro gunsou
(2,223 posts)i only know of my state.
LenaBaby61
(6,974 posts)lsewpershad
(2,620 posts)Botany
(70,479 posts)n/t
jmbar2
(4,869 posts)I doubt that it's all the much even. Bastart....
Botany
(70,479 posts)n/t
rickyhall
(4,889 posts)Justice matters.
(6,925 posts)xxqqqzme
(14,887 posts)AllaN01Bear
(18,105 posts)karynnj
(59,500 posts)Even if he were to vote against us on everything, which he doesn't, JUST voting for Schumer as Majority Leader is worth him being there. As to in the future, he may very well be the only Democrat - of any kind - who can win a Senate race in WV.
ProudMNDemocrat
(16,780 posts)In not pressing for voting rights.
Of course he will support voter Suppression in WV and elsewhere.
pandr32
(11,572 posts)He is beholden, and so we know he can be bought. He needs to be completely outed or is it just that he has accepted campaign cash from right-wing pacs? Is that all?
localroger
(3,622 posts)...which Manchin wants to win. Be careful what you wish for. People used to complain here about Mary Landrieu, but she exited the Senate by being defeated by John Kennedy. Manchin at least caucuses with the Dems and helped boot Mitch McConnell from the Majority Leader position; anyone likely to replace him probably wouldn't have done that.
pandr32
(11,572 posts)It is hard to watch him appear to be willing to vote for one of Joe's initiatives (after much effort by Democrats) only to yank his support away and then have Republicans congratulate him as though he is with them.
SharonAnn
(13,772 posts)Igel
(35,293 posts)If he ran as (R) he'd be up against somebody further right in a red state. That would lead to his defeat in the primary.
As (D), he gets moderate/conservative (D) to vote for him and wins the primary. Those votes, with moderate (R) votes in the general, gives him the majority to win election.
It's not an unreasonable view, but it really relies on a more detailed understanding of WVa politics than I'm ever likely to have.
It could go the other way, perhaps, with a moderate (R) that could win the primary, but that person would be to the right of Manchin. Who'd win the general, with a (D) nominee left of where Manchin is up against a (R) nominee to the right of Manchin, I'm not about to even guess.
sakabatou
(42,146 posts)Maraya1969
(22,474 posts)to leave restaurants. Insult them about their behavior in airports, in front of other people.
Make them squirm!
rhiannon55
(2,671 posts)What a stubborn, self-centered asshole he is! He really needs to go!
karynnj
(59,500 posts)He did meet with the Texans and I assume he listened. Obviously, they did not persuade him to change what is likely a deeply held position for him.
George II
(67,782 posts)Last edited Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:08 PM - Edit history (1)
Ocasio-Cortez Warns Progressives Can Tank Infrastructure Billhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-15/ocasio-cortez-warns-progressives-can-tank-infrastructure-bill
Elessar Zappa
(13,941 posts)are more important than infrastructure at the moment.
George II
(67,782 posts)....agenda.
Elessar Zappa
(13,941 posts)but Im just saying Im worried more about the voting rights legislation. Ill come down on progressives too if they tank infrastructure.
George II
(67,782 posts)Budi
(15,325 posts)Guess nothing is better than some startiing place to build from??
Thanks for Nothing!
karynnj
(59,500 posts)Not to mention, there is no reason to choose between them. Many elements of the infrastructure are very very important too. Climate change is an existential threat and changing the ever increasing income inequality is essential as well. Name any country with a third world type of income distribution - with a few having a huge amount and a large percent with essentially no assets that is a functioning democracy.
Obviously stopping the Republican cheating by gerrymandering and voter suppression is existential too. The simple truth is long term trends caused these problems and so much went worse under Trump. Biden needs to succeed on so many things - and his heart is in it and he has put together a great team.
Budi
(15,325 posts)NAME THEM ALL.
Thanks for the info George ll
TiberiusB
(487 posts)Biden was supposed to be for going big with multi trillion dollar investments in the country and the environment. The bipartisan infrastructure bill is mostly made up of public/private "partnerships" that sell off public goods like interstates, bridges, meters and tolls to private interests. That's one reason to oppose it. It's more of the same neoliberal pro-business rubbish.
[link:https://prospect.org/politics/bipartisan-senate-infrastructure-plan-privatization-asset-recycling/|
This proposal is little more than window dressing and doesn't spend nearly enough to address this nation's problems. It will be a political win for Republicans and faux centrists, but little else. The money it's allocated would mostly benefit red states, which is music to the GOP. On top of all that, you have to be beyond naïve to think that a larger infrastructure bill will then pass through reconciliation. I can virtually guarantee that the second the "bipartisan" bill passes, the reconciliation bill implodes or gets torpedoed by the usual band of corporate democrats. Far better to pass the reconciliation bill and dump the GOP corporate giveaway than the reverse.
Progressives fighting to do what is desperately needed are not stopping Biden's agenda. Manchin, Sinema and the blue dogs are ultimately to blame for the Democrats failing to break the GOP filibuster. Do away with that, and the rest falls into place. If the progressives block the tiny giveaway to the GOP, Biden can still push the far more expansive reconciliation bill and Manchin and Sinema wouldn't be able to hide behind the GOP bill, which you know she will, and most likely others in the Blue Dog caucus, too.
And Manchin is not acting out of any need to get re-elected. He's been bought.
[link:https://www.cleveland.com/darcy/2021/06/majority-of-manchin-gop-voters-support-hr-1-darcy-cartoons.html|
[link:https://www.salon.com/2021/06/10/joe-manchins-highly-suspicious-reversal-on-voting-bill-follows-donation-from-corporate-lobby/|
[link:https://theintercept.com/2021/06/16/joe-manchin-leaked-billionaire-donors-no-labels/|
Calista241
(5,586 posts)I would bet theyll have 30+ Repub votes in the Senate, and 100ish Repub votes in the house vote in favor of it.
So the question is, will Schumer and Pelosi be able to keep it off the floor? And i kind of doubt it.
patphil
(6,158 posts)Without this legislation we could easily lose control of the Senate and House in the 2022 election. If that happens, the effect will be devastating.
We won't have a chance of getting any legislation through in the 3rd and 4th years of Biden's Presidency.
And, it could usher in a second Trump term in 2025, with subsequent increases for the Republicans in both houses, and possibly another right wing Supreme Court judge.
That would be a tragedy the nation might never recover from.
Doesn't he realize the future of the Republic is at stake?
What will it take for him see this?
Historic NY
(37,449 posts)Its like the daily Loser bullshit...if those senators can't be put in line then strip them of their pork funding and assignments. The two are playing the Democrats for all it worth. Biden need to give them the Johnson treatment if they run, they run.
Shell_Seas
(3,330 posts)jmbar2
(4,869 posts)OneCrazyDiamond
(2,031 posts)Just 2 days ago I read the 95% against hospitalizations and death:
According to Dr. Eric Topol
the available data from multiple nations finds that the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are 96% effective in preventing COVID hospitalizations and deaths from Delta variant infections.
https://fortune.com/2021/07/14/covid-delta-variant-best-vaccine-most-effective-against-variants/
I know Hospitalization is different from just getting it, but who cares if there is no death or long term issues.
I think this will get revised.
mbmsr
(28 posts)and there will be no more pressure on you, Of course the republic will no longer be free but you have to protect what's really important!
bucolic_frolic
(43,115 posts)We only have to win one election convincingly
2022.
That will do the business.
In fact if we don't our fate will be sealed.
KS Toronado
(17,180 posts)No other country in the world would allow this.
Bayard
(22,035 posts)That he is helping rethuglicans shoot down democracy. He seems to be the type that, the more he's pressured, the more resistant he becomes.
We need a new tactic to take with him. I don't know what that is yet, but playing nice is not getting anywhere.
LudwigPastorius
(9,126 posts)change parties if the Senate were to gain a one vote Democratic supermajority.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)Manchin is on record supporting a modification to the filibuster rule that would require 41 senators present and holding the floor (speaking) in order to sustain a filibuster, rather than the current 60 votes to end one.
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)He is on record supporting such a modification. But he isn't on record supporting a "nuclear" path to such a change.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)A few more weeks of direct action in DC, WV and AZ, and then well know who the true patriots are,
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)It was "any day now" about a month ago. Schumer was going to trigger the nuclear option early the following week. Manchin had supposedly changed his mind.
Yet here we are and he's still saying the same thing.
A few more weeks of direct action in DC, WV and AZ...
So... end of August?
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)Schumer stated he would bring HR1 to the floor the week of June 21, which he did, and it was filibustered. Thats the only event so far with a specific date attached.
Activist groups are planning numerous events and civil disobedience throughout the rest of the summer. Schumer and Pelosi are hinting they may cut the August recess short.
It has always been my understanding that the political process on voting rights and infrastructure would intensify during July-August-September, with October-ish being the deadline for voting rights to pass in order to block partisan gerrymandering that would guarantee the GOP taking the house in 2022. There is a procedural vote on the infrastructure reconciliation bill slated for next week, otherwise, the scheduling of congressional process on these bills has not yet been determined. This is fine, as it gives the activists, as well as the Dems, time to bring these issues to the forefront of the publics and the medias attention.
I cant control if you infer something I never implied.
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)Actually... it was (in response to me pointing out that it won't come up) - emphasis mine:
S1 is coming to the floor the week of June 21, and Schumer isnt just going to shrug and walk away if it gets filibustered- he will go nuclear, and force a rule change vote to the filibuster, likely to the 41 member on the floor requirement Manchin has proposed.
It has always been my understanding that the political process on voting rights and infrastructure would intensify during July-August-September, with October-ish being the deadline for voting rights to pass in order to block partisan gerrymandering that would guarantee the GOP taking the house in 2022.
There's no rationale for waiting if (as you believe) he actually has the votes. You've left off the many months of court proceedings that would follow HR1/S1 getting passed. It's already too late to push it through and know that it will take effect in time. Some states have primaries just eight months from now.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)That wouldnt happen until SCOTUS rules, which wouldnt likely be for a year or more.
The law will take effect with Bidens signature, and gerrymandering would be blocked.
I still firmly believe Schumer will use the nuclear option (I guess you assumed I meant he would use it instantaneously upon being filibustered); if he cancels the August recess, it may happen then, after a period of direct action and civil disobedience (already scheduled).
IMO, not having the votes is no excuse for not forcing the issue to a vote on the rule change. The only consideration should be the strategic timing of such a vote. For Schumer To not force a vote would be confirmation of his cowardice, and he would be unworthy of his leadership position.
But were not there yet. Perhaps he wants to get the reconciliation vote (scheduled for next week) settled first.
My original point, which I will repeat, is that voting rights is such a critical issue to the survival of democracy, even if Manchin and Sinema continue to obstruct, McConnel filibusters, Schumer will not just shrug and walk away as Dems have done for other bills that get filibustered.
Both the senate and the streets are just getting warmed up. Tomorrow is the anniversary of John Lewiss passing, and numerous events of good trouble are planned across the nation.
I will be watching eagerly, hope you will too.
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)There are legitimate constitutional questions and just about any court would issue a temporary stay while those were adjudicated. If some court decided not to do so... that would just cause that decision to be appealed to a court that would... further delaying implementation. They can't just let the law take effect until the courts make up their minds... because some of the changes are irreversible (like those targeting gerrymandering)
I guess you assumed I meant he would use it instantaneously upon being filibustered
Don't kid yourself into thinking that anyone is buying that spin. Once again... your post was in direct reply to my claim that the change to requiring 41 votes to sustain a filibuster won't even come up. You then said, "it will come up the week of June 21". You also said "Schumer will force a vote" in that context (6/21) and clarified that it meant "force a rule change vote". You may no longer remember it, but it isn't an inference or an assumption. You were clearly saying not only that Manchin had agreed to change the rules, but that a vote on that was going to happen the following week.
That didn't happen. As you were told at the time... Schumer doesn't have the votes.
Both the senate and the streets are just getting warmed up.
While reporting seems to say exactly the opposite. That the Senate is shifting their focus to the budget and infrastructure and just paying lip service to voting rights.
While they quickly secured meetings with Vice President Harris, Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) and other lawmakers in their first week in Washington, so far the Texans have been unable to push forward long-stalled federal voting rights legislation.
...snip...
Time is not on our side, Thierry said an interview.
The Texans have said they plan to remain in Washington through Aug. 7, when the special legislative session ordered by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is scheduled to expire. Their exact plan until then is still in the works.
...snip...
But the Texas Democrats face tough odds as they seek to spur Congress to action. Manchin and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) have publicly opposed changes to the filibuster, the Senates 60-vote supermajority requirement, which are necessary for the voting bill to advance.
Manchins posture did not budge even after the Texans pressed him in person. Forget the filibuster, the senator told reporters afterward.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/texas-democrats-washington-exodus/2021/07/17/c1ecdfc6-e57d-11eb-8aa5-5662858b696e_story.html
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)At which point, the final ruling will rest with SCOTUS, which will not rule for a year or more.
Why wasnt the original 1965 VRA stayed upon passage, pending appeals? Surely there were some Dixiecrat federal judges who would have loved to squash the laws. How about the ACA- the law wasnt suspended pending appeals in that case either. Can you name any law in recent history that was stayed/suspended by a court immediately upon passage, and that stay remained in place until the appeal reached SCOTUS? I cant think of any, and it brings up serious concerns about separation of powers and coequal branches of government.
We disagree on the level and impact of direct action
That is the media narrative that direct action and civil disobedience (including todays remembrance of John Lewiss passing) seeks to change.
One thing we seem to agree on is the stakes- if things unfold as you expect, with no effect from direct action, and Schumer cowardly backing down from a fight on the filibuster, without even issuing any sort of consequences to Manchin or Sinema, then the American Experiment is truly over, with the candles on the cake being blown out sometime between November 2022 and January 2025. Except for the waiting, the end of democracy will be set in stone.
FBaggins
(26,727 posts)We couldn't argue that there is no irreparable injury, because states would have to start changing their laws right away in order to implement some of the requirements. Such that the 2022 election would end up under those rules even if the courts later decided that the change was unconstitutional.
That leaves only an argument that the opposition can't win on the merits... and that's a tough argument to win because the legislation is so broad. Parts of HR1 are pretty tightly crafted, but others are not nearly as clear-cut. There are plenty of wedges that a conservative justice could push on to break pieces of it off.
One thing we seem to agree on is the stakes
Sorry. I don't agree there either. I go along with that rhetoric because it's useful. But we've won elections for decades with structural challenges much worse than what we're seeing. It won't end the "American Experiment" or democracy itself.
I think success with the rhetoric is to drive turnout... which should make more of a difference than the rule changes will make in the other direction.
Fiendish Thingy
(15,568 posts)It is spelled out specifically in the Constitution, unlike healthcare related laws like the ACA.
Again, I cant think of a single significant instance where a court stayed the implementation of a law immediately upon passage, and that stay remained in place continuously until ruled on by SCOTUS- can you name an example? Not the original VRA or Civil Rights Act, not the ACA
so what previous law has been treated in the way you suggest HR1 will be?
If HR1 passes, and is immediately suspended by a federal judge, and that stay remains in place until SCOTUS rules, it would be a first- and another nail in democracys coffin.
Response to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #89)
FBaggins This message was self-deleted by its author.
Etherealoc1
(256 posts)turbinetree
(24,688 posts)well fucking nothing.....and then say ....have a nice day.....JFC....
stillcool
(32,626 posts)same stuff over and over. The only thing new is what we already know coming out in book form.
lsewpershad
(2,620 posts)DINO?
Budi
(15,325 posts)...tank the whole thing rather than vote for a starting point to build from.
Names ALL their damned NAMES!!
dbonds
(4,793 posts)Crowdsource?
A rich donor that believes in democracy?
jmbar2
(4,869 posts)We will meet or beat any other offers.
vercetti2021
(10,156 posts)When there is a book that survives fascism and we have to beat it again in the streets. I hope it's titled. Fall of America. How DINO's aided the GOP to destroy democracy. Really put those two on blast forever.
LastLiberal in PalmSprings
(12,577 posts)He went from the Invisible Man to someone who has the power to determine whether the 245 year American Experiment in self-governance lives or dies. And he seems to be relishing the sudden increase in attention. Why should he care? The QRepugs love him -- a speaker at a QGOP conference urged particpants to contact Manchin and Sienama and express gratitude for from saving our country from the Democrats' radical socialist agenda."
If the QRepublicans win the GOP in either or both house of Congress, Manchin will be celebrated in conservative-approved Texas textbooks as a patriot. His role in defeating voting protection legislation will be celebrated, even as John Lewis' role in increasing and protecting it is diminished or omitted. His fame will extend beyond Andy Warhol's fifteen minutes to an entire decade.
"Joe Manchin isn't moved by leaders who have spent decades organizing for civil rights," Rep. Jamaal Bowman, D-N.Y., tweeted after Manchin that said his position on the For the People Act had not changed after meeting with civil rights leaders on Tuesday. "Manchin isn't moved by the views of his constituents. Manchin isn't moved by GOP voter suppression bills in 43 states. Because Manchin is only moved by corporate donors and their agenda."
Grimelle
(219 posts)While Texas Democrats are in Washington, U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin is headed to Texas to a Houston fundraiser hosted in part by...Texas Republican donors
czarjak
(11,263 posts)quakerboy
(13,918 posts)I cant imagine it will take too much longer for the offers from the R's to become high enough to get him to swap parties.