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riversedge

(70,177 posts)
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 11:45 AM Jul 2021

Manchin Shoots Down Filibuster Carveout For Voting Rights After Meeting With Texas Dems

Source: TPM



July 16, 2021 7:51 a.m.


A lot of things happened. Here are some of the things.
Digging His Heels In

Coming out of a meeting with the Texas Democrats who fled their state to block the passage of Texas Republicans’ voter suppression bill, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV) remained unswayed by their appeals to allow an exemption to the filibuster for the For The People Act.

“Forget the filibuster,” the West Virginia Democrat told reporters after the meeting.
But the Texas Democrats aren’t giving up hope, with state Sen. Nathan Johnson (D) telling reporters that “[t]hings have to happen at the pace they happen.”
.........................


Read more: https://talkingpointsmemo.com/news/manchin-shoots-down-filibuster-carveout-for-voting-rights-after-meeting-with-texas-dems



Manchin gets a high profile meeting with Texas Dems--and ploooooop!





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Manchin Shoots Down Filibuster Carveout For Voting Rights After Meeting With Texas Dems (Original Post) riversedge Jul 2021 OP
We have to do whatever it takes to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant by winning seats in 2022 JohnSJ Jul 2021 #1
The counter-claim by some is that without HR1 we can't win more seats in 2022 FBaggins Jul 2021 #10
It'll be a lot harder but not impossible. Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #17
+++ JohnSJ Jul 2021 #49
It will be impossible if battlegrounds succeed in nullifying popular vote counts. ancianita Jul 2021 #52
Nothing is impossible! Some of the GOPers may even be in jail if their is any justice at all!. joetheman Jul 2021 #62
That has already been proven to be a blind ally... diverdownjt Jul 2021 #67
O political analyst I know thinks HR1 will pass. brooklynite Jul 2021 #38
I don't think it will either FBaggins Jul 2021 #39
And hows that going down? quakerboy Jul 2021 #84
Will Democrats still control the House after 2022 if voting rights legislation doesn't pass? n/t PoliticAverse Jul 2021 #26
Nope. Gerrymandering alone will give the GOP the majority before a single vote is cast Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #30
Some in those gerrymandered districts might surprise us. And COVID.... joetheman Jul 2021 #63
Fight the fear. Just run the very best candidates we can and leave no position uncontested. joetheman Jul 2021 #65
So might crime and inflation. n/t Calista241 Jul 2021 #74
No. Republicans will gerrymander new districts to give themselves the win. Lonestarblue Jul 2021 #35
A naive narrative that ignores reality and is doomed to fail Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #34
+1,000,000 ancianita Jul 2021 #53
I don't know why so many supposedly smart people don't get it, Fiendish Thingy. Efilroft Sul Jul 2021 #55
what's your solution? LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #59
I am speaking out to friends, family, politicians -- anybody -- to thwart the GOP here in Pennsylvania Efilroft Sul Jul 2021 #73
Thanks... I do hope our elected Dems find some way to fix this LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #81
Good point but not sure what we can possibly do LymphocyteLover Jul 2021 #58
It's simple- if folks aren't willing to continue to work harder, then democracy will perish Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #68
Wisconsin keroro gunsou Jul 2021 #75
That's one- name three more seats that the state legislature won't overturn if Dems win. Nt Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #78
apologies keroro gunsou Jul 2021 #91
THIS 👆🏻👆🏻👆🏻 LenaBaby61 Jul 2021 #82
+ ,10000 lsewpershad Jul 2021 #46
Manchin gets money from ALEC (Koch Brothers) & Rupert Murdoch Botany Jul 2021 #2
How much does it cost to destroy Democracy in America? jmbar2 Jul 2021 #4
The old school fossil fuel $$ is backing Manchin big time. Botany Jul 2021 #8
How much does it cost to destroy Manchin, sorry motherfucker? rickyhall Jul 2021 #37
Why can't a Billionaire like, for example, Bloomberg (or else) tell Manchin... Justice matters. Jul 2021 #50
He's loyal to his xxqqqzme Jul 2021 #64
time to get rid of this false flag democrat and show him his republican ways out the door. AllaN01Bear Jul 2021 #3
Do you want McConnell as Majority Leader? karynnj Jul 2021 #19
In other words, Manchin stands with the Minority ProudMNDemocrat Jul 2021 #5
Whatever the Republicans have on Manchin we need to up pandr32 Jul 2021 #6
What they have is a statewide election in West Virginia localroger Jul 2021 #16
I agree that he needs to win in state pandr32 Jul 2021 #20
He probably won't win, no matter his position on things. Unless he becomes Republican. SharonAnn Jul 2021 #27
There's a view that he can only win as a Democrat. Igel Jul 2021 #44
GAH! sakabatou Jul 2021 #7
Manchin should be treated like the Trump administration were treated. Ask them Maraya1969 Jul 2021 #9
It takes a narcissist to refuse to listen to anyone but himself rhiannon55 Jul 2021 #11
"Listen" does not mean to then change positions karynnj Jul 2021 #22
It's not just Manchin: George II Jul 2021 #12
Voting rights Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #18
But Manchin (and Sinema) aren't the only ones standing in the way of the Democratic Legislative.... George II Jul 2021 #23
Didn't say they were Elessar Zappa Jul 2021 #25
I'm worried about everything Biden, Schumer, Pelosi and the majority of Democrats are pushing. George II Jul 2021 #33
Appears they're all after the same endgame however they bring it about. Budi Jul 2021 #57
BOTH are important and essential karynnj Jul 2021 #32
K & R Helps to know who else is on board with evil Manchin Budi Jul 2021 #56
Never pass up a shot at taking a swipe at the progressive block TiberiusB Jul 2021 #76
If any Dem promises to not vote for the reconciliation bill, in exchange for the bi-partisan bill.. Calista241 Jul 2021 #85
I know we aren't supposed to attack Democrats, but this is getting very tiresome. patphil Jul 2021 #13
I've had enough . Historic NY Jul 2021 #72
Without HR1, Texas is completely Fucked in 2022 after redistricting Shell_Seas Jul 2021 #14
my tweet jmbar2 Jul 2021 #15
Is this verified? OneCrazyDiamond Jul 2021 #54
Manchin don't worry about it when mitch mcconnell retakes control he will get rid filibuster mbmsr Jul 2021 #21
Look on the bright side bucolic_frolic Jul 2021 #24
Only in the United States do we have a government run by the minority party. KS Toronado Jul 2021 #28
I assume someone has pointed out to Manchin Bayard Jul 2021 #29
Manchin is the kind of guy who would... LudwigPastorius Jul 2021 #31
A carve out is not the same as a modification of the filibuster rule Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #36
Sigh... still stuck on that one, eh? FBaggins Jul 2021 #41
I guess we'll find out soon enough, as Schumer seems intent on forcing the issue. Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #45
How long can you keep up that hope? FBaggins Jul 2021 #48
This summer has always been the timeline I have perceived, don't know where you got "any day now" Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #66
I'm afraid your memory is faulty. It wasn't implied... it was stated outright. FBaggins Jul 2021 #79
You assume a court would suspend the law immediately, I disagree Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #80
Of course it would be suspended immediately FBaggins Jul 2021 #86
Then we disagree- if any court grants a stay, it will be appealed until the stay is removed Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #87
What would the rationale for removing the stay be? FBaggins Jul 2021 #88
Congress could argue it has the constitutional right to direct federal elections Fiendish Thingy Jul 2021 #89
This message was self-deleted by its author FBaggins Jul 2021 #90
So what's new? Etherealoc1 Jul 2021 #40
I need a drink.....JFC..when people ask for help....what do some do... turbinetree Jul 2021 #42
Stuck on a chryon stillcool Jul 2021 #43
Time to get rid of this lsewpershad Jul 2021 #47
It ain't just ONE DINO we have to 'get rid of'. Appears there are a few more who are willing to ... Budi Jul 2021 #61
Can we find a way to pay him more than who ever is funding his obstruction? dbonds Jul 2021 #51
I propose a GoFundMe jmbar2 Jul 2021 #69
I hope one day in the future vercetti2021 Jul 2021 #60
Is Manchin's 15 minutes of fame up yet? LastLiberal in PalmSprings Jul 2021 #70
Texas Democrats out, Manchin goes in Grimelle Jul 2021 #71
Where in Texas? czarjak Jul 2021 #77
So.. at what point does he switch sides? quakerboy Jul 2021 #83
Shameful. BeckyDem Jul 2021 #92

Elessar Zappa

(13,941 posts)
17. It'll be a lot harder but not impossible.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:34 PM
Jul 2021

Even though GOP states are passing laws which enable them to overturn a legitimate result, I have to think the courts wouldn’t allow it. I hope.

 

joetheman

(1,450 posts)
62. Nothing is impossible! Some of the GOPers may even be in jail if their is any justice at all!.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:42 PM
Jul 2021

Manchin knows he will probably lose this time around in the national. I just wish some other Dem with a chance would show up ad beat him in the primary.

diverdownjt

(701 posts)
67. That has already been proven to be a blind ally...
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:55 PM
Jul 2021

Recent opinion from the supreme's and all.

This is why rethug's did all this court packing

brooklynite

(94,466 posts)
38. O political analyst I know thinks HR1 will pass.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:56 PM
Jul 2021

Too expansive. Needs to be cut up and passed incrementally.

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
39. I don't think it will either
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:58 PM
Jul 2021

Nor do I think that it would be untouched by the courts if it did pass.

I'm just saying that's the counterargument. I happen not to believe it.

quakerboy

(13,918 posts)
84. And hows that going down?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 11:49 PM
Jul 2021

Manchin wont let the bill happen(via holding the fillibuster sacrosanct over country, party, citizens, and all else), but somehow hes going to be ok nuking the fillibuster to pass smaller portions of it?

It really doesn't matter how expansive or incremental it is. Without either ending the fillibuster, or getting 10 republicans on board, its not happening.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
30. Nope. Gerrymandering alone will give the GOP the majority before a single vote is cast
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:45 PM
Jul 2021

Redistricting in FL alone is projected to flip 5-6 seats from Dem to GOP, which is the current margin.

 

joetheman

(1,450 posts)
65. Fight the fear. Just run the very best candidates we can and leave no position uncontested.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:46 PM
Jul 2021

There should be no unchallenged positions anywhere at the state and local levels even if we have to run a candidate with only registration fees in his or her coffer.

Lonestarblue

(9,959 posts)
35. No. Republicans will gerrymander new districts to give themselves the win.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:52 PM
Jul 2021

Holding on to the Senate will be hard but not impossible. Senator Warnock may lose in Georgia because of their new law allowing the legislature to overrule voters. Fetterman in PA has a good chance of winning, as does Ryan in Ohio. If we lose Warnock, we need to pick up three new seats to make Manchin and Sinema irrelevant. Lots of work ahead.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
34. A naive narrative that ignores reality and is doomed to fail
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:50 PM
Jul 2021

Warnock’s seat is toast unless HR1 passes, as the GA legislature will simply refuse to certify the results, allowing Kemp to appoint a Republican replacement.

Same is true in AZ with Mark Kelly.

So that makes FOUR seats Dems will have to pick up in 2022 to make Manchin and Sinema “irrelevant”, while also protecting vulnerable seats in NV and NH.

So which 4 seats do you project Dems flipping?

The fight is NOW, in the streets, not November 2022.

Efilroft Sul

(3,578 posts)
55. I don't know why so many supposedly smart people don't get it, Fiendish Thingy.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:52 PM
Jul 2021

While Republicans scheme and Democrats Manchinsplain, November 2022 will be too late.

Efilroft Sul

(3,578 posts)
73. I am speaking out to friends, family, politicians -- anybody -- to thwart the GOP here in Pennsylvania
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 05:02 PM
Jul 2021

I educate people about GOP vote suppression tactics, I motivate others to tell their friends and family members and spread the word and opposition. It's about all I can do at the grass roots level with the time I have.

Ultimately, this comes down to the Democrats in DC, from the Biden White House to Congress, to do the job we elected them to do last November. Part of that job is to protect the right to vote and pass legislation that thwarts the Republicans' chicanery at the state level. If that means playing hardball with Manchin, Sinema, or any other Democrat who is too cowardly to change the filibuster rules to save our country from home-grown fascism, it's past time to get a move on.

I'll end this by saying 81 million voters saved this nation in November. It would sure be nice if Democratic politicians returned the favor.

LymphocyteLover

(5,639 posts)
81. Thanks... I do hope our elected Dems find some way to fix this
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 09:20 PM
Jul 2021

All we can do is vote, donate and try to motivate others

LymphocyteLover

(5,639 posts)
58. Good point but not sure what we can possibly do
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:17 PM
Jul 2021

even worse, as Tasha Brown explained on Pod Save America yesterday, African-Americans are not going to be motivated to come out strongly after they worked so hard before and now have to work even harder.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
68. It's simple- if folks aren't willing to continue to work harder, then democracy will perish
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:57 PM
Jul 2021

The fascists are counting on the combination of exhaustion and complacency to create a path to victory for them.

Although the AA community has a huge stake in voting rights, everyone has a stake in the survival of democracy.

The learn what you can do to save democracy, go to:

Indivisible.org

keroro gunsou

(2,223 posts)
75. Wisconsin
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 05:12 PM
Jul 2021

MoRon Johnson. from what i have been seeing, hearing, and reading, a lot of people are sick of his shit. problem is, he's got MONEY of his own, not counting the dark money he will inevitably get to keep his and the Koch's seat in the R camp.

jmbar2

(4,869 posts)
4. How much does it cost to destroy Democracy in America?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 11:53 AM
Jul 2021

I doubt that it's all the much even. Bastart....

Justice matters.

(6,925 posts)
50. Why can't a Billionaire like, for example, Bloomberg (or else) tell Manchin...
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:16 PM
Jul 2021
"Dude, return the koch-suckers their donations and I'll fill in whatever the amount is they gave ya?"

karynnj

(59,500 posts)
19. Do you want McConnell as Majority Leader?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:36 PM
Jul 2021

Even if he were to vote against us on everything, which he doesn't, JUST voting for Schumer as Majority Leader is worth him being there. As to in the future, he may very well be the only Democrat - of any kind - who can win a Senate race in WV.

ProudMNDemocrat

(16,780 posts)
5. In other words, Manchin stands with the Minority
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 11:59 AM
Jul 2021

In not pressing for voting rights.

Of course he will support voter Suppression in WV and elsewhere.

pandr32

(11,572 posts)
6. Whatever the Republicans have on Manchin we need to up
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:04 PM
Jul 2021

He is beholden, and so we know he can be bought. He needs to be completely outed or is it just that he has accepted campaign cash from right-wing pacs? Is that all?

localroger

(3,622 posts)
16. What they have is a statewide election in West Virginia
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:31 PM
Jul 2021

...which Manchin wants to win. Be careful what you wish for. People used to complain here about Mary Landrieu, but she exited the Senate by being defeated by John Kennedy. Manchin at least caucuses with the Dems and helped boot Mitch McConnell from the Majority Leader position; anyone likely to replace him probably wouldn't have done that.

pandr32

(11,572 posts)
20. I agree that he needs to win in state
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:37 PM
Jul 2021

It is hard to watch him appear to be willing to vote for one of Joe's initiatives (after much effort by Democrats) only to yank his support away and then have Republicans congratulate him as though he is with them.

Igel

(35,293 posts)
44. There's a view that he can only win as a Democrat.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 01:33 PM
Jul 2021

If he ran as (R) he'd be up against somebody further right in a red state. That would lead to his defeat in the primary.

As (D), he gets moderate/conservative (D) to vote for him and wins the primary. Those votes, with moderate (R) votes in the general, gives him the majority to win election.

It's not an unreasonable view, but it really relies on a more detailed understanding of WVa politics than I'm ever likely to have.

It could go the other way, perhaps, with a moderate (R) that could win the primary, but that person would be to the right of Manchin. Who'd win the general, with a (D) nominee left of where Manchin is up against a (R) nominee to the right of Manchin, I'm not about to even guess.

Maraya1969

(22,474 posts)
9. Manchin should be treated like the Trump administration were treated. Ask them
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:05 PM
Jul 2021

to leave restaurants. Insult them about their behavior in airports, in front of other people.

Make them squirm!

rhiannon55

(2,671 posts)
11. It takes a narcissist to refuse to listen to anyone but himself
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:06 PM
Jul 2021

What a stubborn, self-centered asshole he is! He really needs to go!

karynnj

(59,500 posts)
22. "Listen" does not mean to then change positions
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:38 PM
Jul 2021

He did meet with the Texans and I assume he listened. Obviously, they did not persuade him to change what is likely a deeply held position for him.

George II

(67,782 posts)
12. It's not just Manchin:
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:27 PM
Jul 2021

Last edited Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:08 PM - Edit history (1)

Ocasio-Cortez Warns Progressives Can ‘Tank’ Infrastructure Bill

Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez said she and other House progressives would “tank” a bipartisan infrastructure bill unless Senate Democrats also pass a sweeping tax and spending measure to carry out priorities on climate change and social programs.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-07-15/ocasio-cortez-warns-progressives-can-tank-infrastructure-bill

George II

(67,782 posts)
23. But Manchin (and Sinema) aren't the only ones standing in the way of the Democratic Legislative....
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:39 PM
Jul 2021

....agenda.

Elessar Zappa

(13,941 posts)
25. Didn't say they were
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:41 PM
Jul 2021

but I’m just saying I’m worried more about the voting rights legislation. I’ll come down on progressives too if they tank infrastructure.

 

Budi

(15,325 posts)
57. Appears they're all after the same endgame however they bring it about.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:05 PM
Jul 2021

Guess nothing is better than some startiing place to build from??

Thanks for Nothing!

karynnj

(59,500 posts)
32. BOTH are important and essential
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:47 PM
Jul 2021

Not to mention, there is no reason to choose between them. Many elements of the infrastructure are very very important too. Climate change is an existential threat and changing the ever increasing income inequality is essential as well. Name any country with a third world type of income distribution - with a few having a huge amount and a large percent with essentially no assets that is a functioning democracy.

Obviously stopping the Republican cheating by gerrymandering and voter suppression is existential too. The simple truth is long term trends caused these problems and so much went worse under Trump. Biden needs to succeed on so many things - and his heart is in it and he has put together a great team.

 

Budi

(15,325 posts)
56. K & R Helps to know who else is on board with evil Manchin
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:54 PM
Jul 2021

NAME THEM ALL.

Thanks for the info George ll

TiberiusB

(487 posts)
76. Never pass up a shot at taking a swipe at the progressive block
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 05:14 PM
Jul 2021

Biden was supposed to be for going big with multi trillion dollar investments in the country and the environment. The bipartisan infrastructure bill is mostly made up of public/private "partnerships" that sell off public goods like interstates, bridges, meters and tolls to private interests. That's one reason to oppose it. It's more of the same neoliberal pro-business rubbish.


[link:https://prospect.org/politics/bipartisan-senate-infrastructure-plan-privatization-asset-recycling/|

This proposal is little more than window dressing and doesn't spend nearly enough to address this nation's problems. It will be a political win for Republicans and faux centrists, but little else. The money it's allocated would mostly benefit red states, which is music to the GOP. On top of all that, you have to be beyond naïve to think that a larger infrastructure bill will then pass through reconciliation. I can virtually guarantee that the second the "bipartisan" bill passes, the reconciliation bill implodes or gets torpedoed by the usual band of corporate democrats. Far better to pass the reconciliation bill and dump the GOP corporate giveaway than the reverse.

Progressives fighting to do what is desperately needed are not stopping Biden's agenda. Manchin, Sinema and the blue dogs are ultimately to blame for the Democrats failing to break the GOP filibuster. Do away with that, and the rest falls into place. If the progressives block the tiny giveaway to the GOP, Biden can still push the far more expansive reconciliation bill and Manchin and Sinema wouldn't be able to hide behind the GOP bill, which you know she will, and most likely others in the Blue Dog caucus, too.

And Manchin is not acting out of any need to get re-elected. He's been bought.

[link:https://www.cleveland.com/darcy/2021/06/majority-of-manchin-gop-voters-support-hr-1-darcy-cartoons.html|

[link:https://www.salon.com/2021/06/10/joe-manchins-highly-suspicious-reversal-on-voting-bill-follows-donation-from-corporate-lobby/|

[link:https://theintercept.com/2021/06/16/joe-manchin-leaked-billionaire-donors-no-labels/|

Calista241

(5,586 posts)
85. If any Dem promises to not vote for the reconciliation bill, in exchange for the bi-partisan bill..
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 01:33 AM
Jul 2021

I would bet they’ll have 30+ Repub votes in the Senate, and 100ish Repub votes in the house vote in favor of it.

So the question is, will Schumer and Pelosi be able to keep it off the floor? And i kind of doubt it.

patphil

(6,158 posts)
13. I know we aren't supposed to attack Democrats, but this is getting very tiresome.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:28 PM
Jul 2021

Without this legislation we could easily lose control of the Senate and House in the 2022 election. If that happens, the effect will be devastating.
We won't have a chance of getting any legislation through in the 3rd and 4th years of Biden's Presidency.
And, it could usher in a second Trump term in 2025, with subsequent increases for the Republicans in both houses, and possibly another right wing Supreme Court judge.
That would be a tragedy the nation might never recover from.
Doesn't he realize the future of the Republic is at stake?
What will it take for him see this?

Historic NY

(37,449 posts)
72. I've had enough .
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 04:32 PM
Jul 2021

Its like the daily Loser bullshit...if those senators can't be put in line then strip them of their pork funding and assignments. The two are playing the Democrats for all it worth. Biden need to give them the Johnson treatment if they run, they run.

OneCrazyDiamond

(2,031 posts)
54. Is this verified?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:47 PM
Jul 2021

Just 2 days ago I read the 95% against hospitalizations and death:

According to Dr. Eric Topol
the available data from multiple nations finds that the Pfizer and Moderna vaccines are 96% effective in preventing COVID hospitalizations and deaths from Delta variant infections.
https://fortune.com/2021/07/14/covid-delta-variant-best-vaccine-most-effective-against-variants/

I know Hospitalization is different from just getting it, but who cares if there is no death or long term issues.

I think this will get revised.

 

mbmsr

(28 posts)
21. Manchin don't worry about it when mitch mcconnell retakes control he will get rid filibuster
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:38 PM
Jul 2021

and there will be no more pressure on you, Of course the republic will no longer be free but you have to protect what's really important!

bucolic_frolic

(43,115 posts)
24. Look on the bright side
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:39 PM
Jul 2021

We only have to win one election convincingly

2022.

That will do the business.

In fact if we don't our fate will be sealed.

KS Toronado

(17,180 posts)
28. Only in the United States do we have a government run by the minority party.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:43 PM
Jul 2021

No other country in the world would allow this.

Bayard

(22,035 posts)
29. I assume someone has pointed out to Manchin
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:45 PM
Jul 2021

That he is helping rethuglicans shoot down democracy. He seems to be the type that, the more he's pressured, the more resistant he becomes.

We need a new tactic to take with him. I don't know what that is yet, but playing nice is not getting anywhere.

LudwigPastorius

(9,126 posts)
31. Manchin is the kind of guy who would...
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:46 PM
Jul 2021

change parties if the Senate were to gain a one vote Democratic supermajority.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
36. A carve out is not the same as a modification of the filibuster rule
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 12:52 PM
Jul 2021

Manchin is on record supporting a modification to the filibuster rule that would require 41 senators present and holding the floor (speaking) in order to sustain a filibuster, rather than the current 60 votes to end one.

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
41. Sigh... still stuck on that one, eh?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 01:14 PM
Jul 2021

He is on record supporting such a modification. But he isn't on record supporting a "nuclear" path to such a change.



Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
45. I guess we'll find out soon enough, as Schumer seems intent on forcing the issue.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 01:40 PM
Jul 2021

A few more weeks of direct action in DC, WV and AZ, and then we’ll know who the true patriots are,

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
48. How long can you keep up that hope?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:03 PM
Jul 2021

It was "any day now" about a month ago. Schumer was going to trigger the nuclear option early the following week. Manchin had supposedly changed his mind.

Yet here we are and he's still saying the same thing.

A few more weeks of direct action in DC, WV and AZ...

So... end of August?

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
66. This summer has always been the timeline I have perceived, don't know where you got "any day now"
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:53 PM
Jul 2021

Schumer stated he would bring HR1 to the floor the week of June 21, which he did, and it was filibustered. That’s the only event so far with a specific date attached.

Activist groups are planning numerous events and civil disobedience throughout the rest of the summer. Schumer and Pelosi are hinting they may cut the August recess short.

It has always been my understanding that the political process on voting rights and infrastructure would intensify during July-August-September, with October-ish being the deadline for voting rights to pass in order to block partisan gerrymandering that would guarantee the GOP taking the house in 2022. There is a procedural vote on the infrastructure reconciliation bill slated for next week, otherwise, the scheduling of congressional process on these bills has not yet been determined. This is fine, as it gives the activists, as well as the Dems, time to bring these issues to the forefront of the public’s and the media’s attention.

I can’t control if you infer something I never implied.

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
79. I'm afraid your memory is faulty. It wasn't implied... it was stated outright.
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 08:29 PM
Jul 2021
Schumer stated he would bring HR1 to the floor the week of June 21, which he did, and it was filibustered. That’s the only event so far with a specific date attached.

Actually... it was (in response to me pointing out that it won't come up) - emphasis mine:

It will come up the week of June 21 - Schumer will force a vote

S1 is coming to the floor the week of June 21, and Schumer isn’t just going to shrug and walk away if it gets filibustered- he will go nuclear, and force a rule change vote to the filibuster, likely to the 41 member on the floor requirement Manchin has proposed.


It has always been my understanding that the political process on voting rights and infrastructure would intensify during July-August-September, with October-ish being the deadline for voting rights to pass in order to block partisan gerrymandering that would guarantee the GOP taking the house in 2022.


There's no rationale for waiting if (as you believe) he actually has the votes. You've left off the many months of court proceedings that would follow HR1/S1 getting passed. It's already too late to push it through and know that it will take effect in time. Some states have primaries just eight months from now.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
80. You assume a court would suspend the law immediately, I disagree
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 09:00 PM
Jul 2021

That wouldn’t happen until SCOTUS rules, which wouldn’t likely be for a year or more.

The law will take effect with Biden’s signature, and gerrymandering would be blocked.

I still firmly believe Schumer will use the nuclear option (I guess you assumed I meant he would use it instantaneously upon being filibustered); if he cancels the August recess, it may happen then, after a period of direct action and civil disobedience (already scheduled).

IMO, not having the votes is no excuse for not forcing the issue to a vote on the rule change. The only consideration should be the strategic timing of such a vote. For Schumer To not force a vote would be confirmation of his cowardice, and he would be unworthy of his leadership position.

But we’re not there yet. Perhaps he wants to get the reconciliation vote (scheduled for next week) settled first.

My original point, which I will repeat, is that voting rights is such a critical issue to the survival of democracy, even if Manchin and Sinema continue to obstruct, McConnel filibusters, Schumer will not just shrug and walk away as Dems have done for other bills that get filibustered.

Both the senate and the streets are just getting warmed up. Tomorrow is the anniversary of John Lewis’s passing, and numerous events of “good trouble” are planned across the nation.

I will be watching eagerly, hope you will too.

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
86. Of course it would be suspended immediately
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 12:29 PM
Jul 2021

There are legitimate constitutional questions and just about any court would issue a temporary stay while those were adjudicated. If some court decided not to do so... that would just cause that decision to be appealed to a court that would... further delaying implementation. They can't just let the law take effect until the courts make up their minds... because some of the changes are irreversible (like those targeting gerrymandering)

I guess you assumed I meant he would use it instantaneously upon being filibustered

Don't kid yourself into thinking that anyone is buying that spin. Once again... your post was in direct reply to my claim that the change to requiring 41 votes to sustain a filibuster won't even come up. You then said, "it will come up the week of June 21". You also said "Schumer will force a vote" in that context (6/21) and clarified that it meant "force a rule change vote". You may no longer remember it, but it isn't an inference or an assumption. You were clearly saying not only that Manchin had agreed to change the rules, but that a vote on that was going to happen the following week.

That didn't happen. As you were told at the time... Schumer doesn't have the votes.

Both the senate and the streets are just getting warmed up.

While reporting seems to say exactly the opposite. That the Senate is shifting their focus to the budget and infrastructure and just paying lip service to voting rights.

But days after nearly 60 Texas Democrats made their dramatic exodus from Austin to Washington, many of them acknowledge that how that battle will unfold remains very uncertain — and that they have a rapidly closing window to capitalize on the national spotlight.

While they quickly secured meetings with Vice President Harris, Sen. Joe Manchin III (D-W.Va.) and other lawmakers in their first week in Washington, so far the Texans have been unable to push forward long-stalled federal voting rights legislation.

...snip...

“Time is not on our side,” Thierry said an interview.

The Texans have said they plan to remain in Washington through Aug. 7, when the special legislative session ordered by Texas Gov. Greg Abbott (R) is scheduled to expire. Their exact plan until then is still in the works.

...snip...

But the Texas Democrats face tough odds as they seek to spur Congress to action. Manchin and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) have publicly opposed changes to the filibuster, the Senate’s 60-vote supermajority requirement, which are necessary for the voting bill to advance.

Manchin’s posture did not budge even after the Texans pressed him in person. “Forget the filibuster,” the senator told reporters afterward.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/texas-democrats-washington-exodus/2021/07/17/c1ecdfc6-e57d-11eb-8aa5-5662858b696e_story.html

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
87. Then we disagree- if any court grants a stay, it will be appealed until the stay is removed
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 12:41 PM
Jul 2021

At which point, the final ruling will rest with SCOTUS, which will not rule for a year or more.

Why wasn’t the original 1965 VRA stayed upon passage, pending appeals? Surely there were some Dixiecrat federal judges who would have loved to squash the laws. How about the ACA- the law wasn’t suspended pending appeals in that case either. Can you name any law in recent history that was stayed/suspended by a court immediately upon passage, and that stay remained in place until the appeal reached SCOTUS? I can’t think of any, and it brings up serious concerns about separation of powers and coequal branches of government.

We disagree on the level and impact of direct action

While reporting seems to say exactly the opposite. That the Senate is shifting their focus to the budget and infrastructure and just paying lip service to voting rights.


That is the media narrative that direct action and civil disobedience (including today’s remembrance of John Lewis’s passing) seeks to change.

One thing we seem to agree on is the stakes- if things unfold as you expect, with no effect from direct action, and Schumer cowardly backing down from a fight on the filibuster, without even issuing any sort of consequences to Manchin or Sinema, then the American Experiment is truly over, with the candles on the cake being blown out sometime between November 2022 and January 2025. Except for the waiting, the end of democracy will be set in stone.

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)
88. What would the rationale for removing the stay be?
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 12:52 PM
Jul 2021

We couldn't argue that there is no irreparable injury, because states would have to start changing their laws right away in order to implement some of the requirements. Such that the 2022 election would end up under those rules even if the courts later decided that the change was unconstitutional.

That leaves only an argument that the opposition can't win on the merits... and that's a tough argument to win because the legislation is so broad. Parts of HR1 are pretty tightly crafted, but others are not nearly as clear-cut. There are plenty of wedges that a conservative justice could push on to break pieces of it off.

One thing we seem to agree on is the stakes

Sorry. I don't agree there either. I go along with that rhetoric because it's useful. But we've won elections for decades with structural challenges much worse than what we're seeing. It won't end the "American Experiment" or democracy itself.

I think success with the rhetoric is to drive turnout... which should make more of a difference than the rule changes will make in the other direction.

Fiendish Thingy

(15,568 posts)
89. Congress could argue it has the constitutional right to direct federal elections
Sat Jul 17, 2021, 02:15 PM
Jul 2021

It is spelled out specifically in the Constitution, unlike healthcare related laws like the ACA.

Again, I can’t think of a single significant instance where a court stayed the implementation of a law immediately upon passage, and that stay remained in place continuously until ruled on by SCOTUS- can you name an example? Not the original VRA or Civil Rights Act, not the ACA…so what previous law has been treated in the way you suggest HR1 will be?

If HR1 passes, and is immediately suspended by a federal judge, and that stay remains in place until SCOTUS rules, it would be a first- and another nail in democracy’s coffin.

Response to Fiendish Thingy (Reply #89)

turbinetree

(24,688 posts)
42. I need a drink.....JFC..when people ask for help....what do some do...
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 01:25 PM
Jul 2021

well fucking nothing.....and then say ....have a nice day.....JFC....

stillcool

(32,626 posts)
43. Stuck on a chryon
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 01:32 PM
Jul 2021

same stuff over and over. The only thing new is what we already know coming out in book form.

 

Budi

(15,325 posts)
61. It ain't just ONE DINO we have to 'get rid of'. Appears there are a few more who are willing to ...
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:19 PM
Jul 2021

...tank the whole thing rather than vote for a starting point to build from.

Names ALL their damned NAMES!!

dbonds

(4,793 posts)
51. Can we find a way to pay him more than who ever is funding his obstruction?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 02:40 PM
Jul 2021


Crowdsource?

A rich donor that believes in democracy?

vercetti2021

(10,156 posts)
60. I hope one day in the future
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 03:18 PM
Jul 2021

When there is a book that survives fascism and we have to beat it again in the streets. I hope it's titled. Fall of America. How DINO's aided the GOP to destroy democracy. Really put those two on blast forever.

70. Is Manchin's 15 minutes of fame up yet?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 04:08 PM
Jul 2021

He went from the Invisible Man to someone who has the power to determine whether the 245 year American Experiment in self-governance lives or dies. And he seems to be relishing the sudden increase in attention. Why should he care? The QRepugs love him -- a speaker at a QGOP conference urged particpants to contact Manchin and Sienama and express gratitude for from saving our country from the Democrats' radical socialist agenda."

If the QRepublicans win the GOP in either or both house of Congress, Manchin will be celebrated in conservative-approved Texas textbooks as a patriot. His role in defeating voting protection legislation will be celebrated, even as John Lewis' role in increasing and protecting it is diminished or omitted. His fame will extend beyond Andy Warhol's fifteen minutes to an entire decade.

"Joe Manchin isn't moved by leaders who have spent decades organizing for civil rights," Rep. Jamaal Bowman, D-N.Y., tweeted after Manchin that said his position on the For the People Act had not changed after meeting with civil rights leaders on Tuesday. "Manchin isn't moved by the views of his constituents. Manchin isn't moved by GOP voter suppression bills in 43 states. Because Manchin is only moved by corporate donors and their agenda."

Grimelle

(219 posts)
71. Texas Democrats out, Manchin goes in
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 04:30 PM
Jul 2021

While Texas Democrats are in Washington, U.S. Sen. Joe Manchin is headed to Texas to a Houston fundraiser hosted in part by...Texas Republican donors

quakerboy

(13,918 posts)
83. So.. at what point does he switch sides?
Fri Jul 16, 2021, 11:46 PM
Jul 2021

I cant imagine it will take too much longer for the offers from the R's to become high enough to get him to swap parties.

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