McAuliffe and Youngkin are in a dead heat with one week to Virginia governor election, poll shows

[brooklynite]

Source: USA Today

Virginia's bellwether race for governor remains close in the final stretch of a campaign that is testing President Joe Biden’s sagging approval numbers going into the 2022 midterms.

Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin are tied at roughly 45% each, according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll released Tuesday. But roughly 5% of likely voters say they are still undecided a week before the Nov. 2 vote.

David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center, said the race is simply a "dead heat" and will boil down to which party can get out its voters.

"It's down to turnout," Paleologos said.

Read more: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2021/10/26/virginia-governors-race-mcauliffe-youngkin-dead-heat-poll-shows/6172824001/

[George II]

1. Interesting that both candidates dropped 2% since the previous polls a day earlier...

Slightly off topic, have you seen recent polls for the Mayor election in Buffalo? Last I saw was more than a month ago.

[spooky3]

2. Over 500000 have already voted. This typically is more heavily Dem. Nt

[Mysterian]

3. The Democratic party has to do better

than retreads like McAuliffe. JMHO.

[George II]

4. Like who?

[dsc]

5. He literally, by hand, signed thousands and thousands of pardons so people could have the right

to vote but I am sure that isn't good enough.

[NurseJackie]

8. Ridiculous.

[George II]

15. So can you put forth the name of a Democrat from Virginia who can do better and win?

[FarPoint]

24. Well....

That is a low blow attack....

[secondwind]

26. Look up his resume, it is very impressive.............

[Cha]

48. NO.. McAuliffe is a great

Dem candidate.. just because he was a Dem Gov before is no reason to insult him.

[deizo]

6. Historically where do late undecideds trend the challenger or the incumbent?

[certainot]

43. in this case.... rw radio all over the country's hyping a guy in skirt attacking girl in bathroom so

better for youngkin. sounds like one of those project veritas deals to help brring out the base

and 2 Va unis help with that, supporting 5 xlimbaugh stations as they incite attacks on school boards with 'critical race theory' bullshit VIRGINIA 6 Virginia Tech 5, Virginia 1

[maxsolomon]

7. WTF Virginia

How is it even close. Youngkin is from a party of Traitors!

[bluestarone]

9. 100% my thoughts as well

I don't get it! THIS poll has Gotta be wrong.

[maxsolomon]

11. Or Virginia is full of short-memory flibberdigibbets and CT crazies.

Just like the rest of America that keeps giving the GOP their vote.

[Stuart G]

42. A brand new word for Stuart G....."flibberdigibbets"

.........You never know what you will learn at Democratic Underground....a new word.."fibberdigibbets"

.........Thank You Max.....!!!!!

[brooklynite]

13. As opposed to all the other polls showing a neck and neck race?

Simple answer: Republicans (esp. in NOVA) voted for Biden against Trump, but won't automatically vote for a downtick Democrat when the Republican isn't a QANON/MAGA nut.

[getagrip_already]

25. polls.... aren't rationale any longer.....

There are lots of reasons from people not answering calls to not engaging pollsters on any level... unless they are activists.

Polls are trash. They are coins to the pollsters, and the media keeps paying them.

But they mean nothing any longer.

It's 100% turnout.

The polls simply aren't accurately measuring voter actions. They only reflect the political views of those they reach; and they may not even be voters, despite how they answer questions.

Forget polls. They don't mean shit. Treat your actions like we are always 5 points down until votes are (accurately) counted.

[poli-junkie]

10. What's the latest on De Joy slow-walking mailing ballots out to VA voters?

[ancianita]

14. This poll probably used the same sampling the Trafalgar Group used.

[MFM008]

16. More democrats early voting

I say Terry wins this 5 to 7 points.
Keep voting.
This is what the goop wants to stop.

[FBaggins]

33. Many more

The problem is that last year it was many many MANY more.

It's going to be a nail-biter. Fairfax has reportedly changed their process and will be reporting late. We're hearing whispers to expect Youngkin to be ahead on election day until fairly late in the evening.

[MFM008]

35. how about this....

we had an election for Gov here in WA , cant remember the year....between Christine Gregoire and Dino Rossi.
First count he won, next count SHE won, Third count she won by 140 votes or something like that.

[Polybius]

44. Of course there's more

The fact is most Democrats hate voting on Election Day, and most Republicans love voting on Election Day. I don't know why that is, but it's true.

[IrishAfricanAmerican]

17. Don't believe the hype.

GOTV!

[nitpicker]

18. I'm worried

Typically, the pollsters miss the older Repugs that screen their phone calls, won't talk to pollsters, but on voting day toddle to the polls and vote R. Historically, this means the VA repug vote percentage goes up three to five percent.

So with a tied poll, add three to five points to Rs to make it forty eight to forty five. Or worse.

WE NEED TURNOUT.

Or else there may be people traveling outside of VA for abortions.

[Jon King]

28. Why would people be traveling outside VA for abortions?

Dems control the state assembly. A governor can not pass laws by himself.

[IronLionZion]

19. Hoping our folks are inspired to turn out

the other side has false narratives on wedge issues

[LiberalFighter]

20. Suffolk University Poll? Who? Who?

[brooklynite]

39. Suffolk University Political Research Center has been around for years.

https://www.suffolk.edu/academics/research-at-suffolk/political-research-center/polls/national

[helpisontheway]

46. One from Christopher Newport University was released today..Tied race..nt

[Dystopian Optimist]

21. I'd just like to point out that "Youngkin" is a Suspect Name

Young. Kin. Okay, Glenn, what about your young kin? Have you done anything inappropriate with your young kin? I mean, it is Virginia, after all.

Ridiculous? Yep! But you know damn well that, were Youngkin the Democrat in the race, the Republicreeps would manage to shoehorn such speculation into the campaign!

[Cryptoad]

22. ,,,, a GOP Rag

[deizo]

23. From here on out every democrat in every ad any time speaking and referring to a republican should

call them unamerican a insurrectionist! What would the gop be saying about us if it was are side jan. 6? Hell if al gore was president during 9/11 they still be talking about it The democrats need to get better at this!

[Jon King]

27. Democrats control both VA House and Senate.

So even if Youngkin wins at least he can't go full Desantis.

[Etherealoc1]

29. Oh yeah, neck and neck, dead heat

folks you should know by now the
usual b.s.

Terry is going to win.

[Initech]

30. Youngkin is fucking scary.

He is clearly a member of the Fox News Q Taliban - and he's proud of it!

[Dopers_Greed]

31. I'm really worried about this election

Losing it means we're getting clobbered in 2022 and 2024.

[OldManTarHeel]

32. Heavy early voting in Northern VA and the Richmond suburbs according to . .

WTOP news today. And at a 3.5 times rate higher than 2017 . .

We'll be fine . . !

[Polybius]

45. Republicans hate early voting

They vote in-person on Election Day.

[vercetti2021]

34. Ah yes

PANIC!!!!!

[gab13by13]

36. I have to laugh,

the MSM, which is right wing, keeps saying that the polls say the race is tied, but they are citing 1 or 2 polls. The average of all the polls has McAuliffe ahead by 2 to 3%. Still close but just saying.

[brooklynite]

38. Well, I'm citing the most recent one.

And 538 is citing all of them.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/governor/virginia/

[myohmy2]

37. the fact...

...that McAuliffe and youngkin are neck in neck tells me we haven't convinced enough people of the gravity of 1/6 and the republican threat...

...we are being threatened by republican fascists with the overthrow of our democracy and government and the Virginia race is a 'dead heat'...?...something's wrong

...we've got to do better, much better...

...it shouldn't even be close...

[sheilahi]

40. Just saying

Fingers crossed that McAuliffe wins but.............why does he have to be such a blowhard during his speeches? It's all I can do to sit through watching him. Jus' sayin'.

[honest.abe]

41. VA Democrats need to get serious.

This could be a disaster if a Trumper Repub wins VA Gov. They need to pull out all the stops and make sure we win this. Perhaps some ads about how Youngkin supports Trump and some ads about Texas abortion laws that might come to Virginia with Youngkin Gov.

[helpisontheway]

47. Late deciders usually go to challenger

That school rape that happened in Loudoun could have major impact. Pundits are saying if McAuliffe can hold on to gains there then he should be okay.

[Cha]

49. GOTV VA DEMS!