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villager

(26,001 posts)
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:18 PM Mar 2013

US scientists report big jump in heat-trapping CO2

Source: AP

US scientists report big jump in heat-trapping CO2

Carbon dioxide levels rose by second highest rate; reaching global warming limits unlikely

WASHINGTON (AP) -- New federal figures show the amount of heat-trapping carbon dioxide in the air jumped dramatically in 2012, making it very unlikely that global warming can be limited to another 2 degrees. Many governments set a 2-degree increase as the upper limit.

Scientists say the rise in CO2 reflects the global economy revving up and burning more fossil fuels, especially in China.

U.S. government scientists report that carbon dioxide levels jumped by 2.67 parts per million for a total of just under 395 parts per million compared to 2011.

That's the second highest rise in carbon emissions since records started being kept in 1959. Only 1998 had a bigger increase.

<snip>


Read more: http://news.yahoo.com/us-scientists-report-big-jump-183612249.html

36 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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US scientists report big jump in heat-trapping CO2 (Original Post) villager Mar 2013 OP
I think we're beyond prevention . . . caseymoz Mar 2013 #1
...which the politicians will still be afraid to talk about, or pursue villager Mar 2013 #2
You're right, it has to get worse before they'll do anything. caseymoz Mar 2013 #14
I seriously doubt it... SkyDaddy7 Mar 2013 #29
Christianity and America are not going to last forever. caseymoz Mar 2013 #33
"And they're just as likely to cover-their-asses about it." R. Daneel Olivaw Mar 2013 #30
As I just said to Skydaddy caseymoz Mar 2013 #34
The U.S. is likely to break down into "sub-empire" size regions, etc., as the "blowback" villager Mar 2013 #35
Naaa, nothing will happen until the politicians figure out a way to make Javaman Mar 2013 #31
If we don't do it now, and I mean right now.... PDJane Mar 2013 #4
Unfortunately, that's not going to happen. caseymoz Mar 2013 #13
Re: "Definitely the world in 2050 is going to be unrecognizable, and likely very harsh." AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #21
I don't know. caseymoz Mar 2013 #22
I wouldn't worry about methane hydrate release until about 4 or 5 degree Celsius rise. Selatius Mar 2013 #25
And what's the certainty on the Permain extinction? caseymoz Mar 2013 #27
Yeah, I think there's already been a little collateral damage already, TBH. AverageJoe90 Mar 2013 #28
I think we have been past the tipping point for some time now. olddad56 Mar 2013 #6
I'm not certain if that's true. caseymoz Mar 2013 #15
I'm beginning to believe Venus was just like Earth.... Spitfire of ATJ Mar 2013 #3
True the Republicans have their heads in the sand, but the article specifically mentions China. apnu Mar 2013 #8
The dream is a power cell that converts a reaction into electricity... Spitfire of ATJ Mar 2013 #11
That line of thought only works if you ignore why China has surpassed the US PaulaFarrell Mar 2013 #12
I'm not saying our hands are dirty... apnu Mar 2013 #19
It is our duty to bitch about republicans from the ground up! Kokonoe Mar 2013 #20
I like the way you think, olddad56 Mar 2013 #9
"Scary to think about what happen to the asteroid belt." Spitfire of ATJ Mar 2013 #10
Scorched Earth policy. ;) nt Javaman Mar 2013 #32
Damned bicyclists! ashling Mar 2013 #5
If only we'd been brave enough to act against them sooner... villager Mar 2013 #7
Absosmurfly. MyshkinCommaPrince Mar 2013 #23
Time to look at real estate up north. tinrobot Mar 2013 #16
Shutting the door dipsydoodle Mar 2013 #17
It's the population, stupid. Gregorian Mar 2013 #18
You can be the first to line up for the... nebenaube Mar 2013 #24
That's right, there's only one solution. Gregorian Mar 2013 #36
Uh huh... davidthegnome Mar 2013 #26
 

villager

(26,001 posts)
2. ...which the politicians will still be afraid to talk about, or pursue
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:26 PM
Mar 2013

well, until we have a few more "Sandys" and "Katrinas." Alas.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
14. You're right, it has to get worse before they'll do anything.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:04 PM
Mar 2013

Unfortunately, it might get worse very suddenly. And they're just as likely to cover-their-asses about it.

If people survive this, I have to say, Conservatives are going to be remembered very dimly.

SkyDaddy7

(6,045 posts)
29. I seriously doubt it...
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 06:40 AM
Mar 2013

As "Christian" as America is they will blame the climate on us inadequate humans not worshiping the mythical Jesus like we should have...Considering how bad things will be at this point most will adhere to religion & abandon critical thinking altogether. Not to mention Americans inability to self reflect & learn from past mistakes! Basically, humanity, or at least America, will have to endure a prolonged period of dark decades if not centuries before trying to give rational thinking a shot...If at all.

To me religion is like a virus & as long as a country or group of people are healthy, educated, fed & happy religion/virus has a hard time trying to flourish...However, the weaker the nation or group of people are the stronger the religion/virus becomes.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
33. Christianity and America are not going to last forever.
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 11:28 AM
Mar 2013

I know it seems like they will. Nation states are mortal, so are religions. I'm talking about the system that follows us, if any. When I say history, I don't mean the short-term. The US likely is not going to survive Climate change, IMHO. Christianity might not survive, or might mutate as a result.

I will also point out that the newest generation is much more secular than the previous ones. Of course, that was true of the US until the 70s. Trends can reverse.

 

R. Daneel Olivaw

(12,606 posts)
30. "And they're just as likely to cover-their-asses about it."
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 09:25 AM
Mar 2013

They can always find something else to worry about which has holds more weight in the USA: hearings on baseball, Benghazi or protecting the right to bear semi-automatics.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
34. As I just said to Skydaddy
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 11:33 AM
Mar 2013

The US is far less likely to survive climate change as people are. Nations tend to create environmental conditions that kill them, and all nation-states are mortal.
 

villager

(26,001 posts)
35. The U.S. is likely to break down into "sub-empire" size regions, etc., as the "blowback"
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 05:14 PM
Mar 2013

...from unchecked environmental destruction continues...

There will probably be a mix of separate countries on the North American continent, by century's end...

Javaman

(62,521 posts)
31. Naaa, nothing will happen until the politicians figure out a way to make
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 10:12 AM
Mar 2013

huge amounts of money from cutting CO2 output.

PDJane

(10,103 posts)
4. If we don't do it now, and I mean right now....
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:31 PM
Mar 2013

My son won't reach his fourscore and ten. If he and his girlfriend have children, they are liable not to reach their 30th birthday. We are a stupid race.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
13. Unfortunately, that's not going to happen.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:02 PM
Mar 2013

Come what may. I'm sorry to deliver that news. It's apparent that nation-states and corporations are not adapted to deal with this kind of problem. This isn't just true in the US. It's true of the Chinese, the Europeans, the South Americans, in any of the social systems found, everybody on earth. And one country or company cutting emissions will do nothing because another will just step in and take up the slack due to competitive incentives.

We don't have the social infrastructure to cut emissions significantly. Only under environmental pressure (such as rising seas and temperatures) will such infrastructure evolve, and it's going to take a while to build the infrastructure, as in decades or centuries.

The time to be ready was in the '80s, when instead, we elected Reagan, when Carter gave the true assessment of the issue. Why? Because people wouldn't accept the news.

It's one of those problems where it's easy to see what needs to be done, but seeing it is the easy part. If your playing game like Civilization and you're the one making and enforcing all the decisions, it's easy. Socially communicating it and organizing the response: that's the super-genius part. You can't underestimate that.

That's my assessment, I want to make that clear. No, your children might not make it to their 30th birthday. Then again, we don't know everything, maybe they will. Maybe they can adapt. Definitely the world in 2050 is going to be unrecognizable, and likely very harsh.

It's like the SF novel, minus the entertainment.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
21. Re: "Definitely the world in 2050 is going to be unrecognizable, and likely very harsh."
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 07:16 PM
Mar 2013

That's a bit of an exaggeration, dont'cha think? Nobody's denying that global warming is presenting many challenges that we need to face, but the world isn't going to be quite unrecognizable OR very harsh in 2050(at least not for most of those who aren't already on the edges).....although, it can be admitted that 2150 might be a very different story altogether depending on how we act.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
22. I don't know.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 07:36 PM
Mar 2013

As glaciers and permafrost melt, and the methane trapped within gets released, the change may be very extreme.

This means trouble for agriculture are going to get extreme. If there's another year of drought in the US like last year's, I'm afraid we might see problems in the food supply.

Then, along with Global Warming, there are environmental problems that aren't even on anybody's radar yet, such as the depletion of potassium and phosphorus fertilizers.

Selatius

(20,441 posts)
25. I wouldn't worry about methane hydrate release until about 4 or 5 degree Celsius rise.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 10:52 PM
Mar 2013

The Permian Extinction was a two stage extinction level event, for instance.

Once the Siberian Traps opened up and began pumping vast amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere, temperatures rose for about 40,000 years. At that point, temperatures had risen about 5 degrees Celcius worldwide, and that was apparently the tipping point for the release of all the methane hydrates found underneath the oceans. The release of that methane accelerated the warming so that temperatures rose another 5 degrees, for a total of 10 degrees.

This, as we see in the geologic record, was too much for the planet's biosphere to handle. 95% of life did not make it past the Permian Extinction event. In comparison, the KT event where the asteroid wiped out the dinosaurs only wiped out 65% of life on earth.

By no means is this message meant to downplay the danger of man-made global warming. At best, we'll limit the warming to 2 degrees Celsius, but realistically, we're probably talking about an end result that is between 2 to 4 degrees. 5 degrees is what we should be avoiding, and that will become a mighty difficult task towards the end of the 21st century. We don't need another major methane hydrate release in a repeat of history.

Other posters are right. Avoiding collateral damage is next to impossible at this point. We're now essentially only entertaining ideas meant to mitigate the cost of environmental destruction, as opposed to destruction avoidance.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
27. And what's the certainty on the Permain extinction?
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 01:57 AM
Mar 2013

They had other theories before this one came into favor and those fit the evidence at the time. I'm really wondering if it's not spread around so much because it's an approximate match for our current Global Warming scenario. My main question is, why would it have taken 40,000 years?

And another question, why didn't a similar extinction take place during the Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, 55 million years ago? The temperature rose 6 degrees Celsius over just 20,000 years. There were no polar ice caps and the poles were temperate zones. Crocodiles lived in what's now Britain then.
 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
28. Yeah, I think there's already been a little collateral damage already, TBH.
Wed Mar 6, 2013, 02:54 AM
Mar 2013

AGW has exacerbated droughts in the Great Plains; it's messed with the Arctic ecosystem, it's caused the heatwaves in Europe......I could list more.

caseymoz

(5,763 posts)
15. I'm not certain if that's true.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:06 PM
Mar 2013

I think of us on a train heading for a cliff, the cliff being the "tipping point." We're beyond the point where we could stop in time, and we definitely can't steer it.

apnu

(8,756 posts)
8. True the Republicans have their heads in the sand, but the article specifically mentions China.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:48 PM
Mar 2013

America can be the greenest place on the planet and we still can't stop the amount of toxic shit China dumps on the world. Yes, we're very bad at it, but China as surpassed us and is accelerating the dumping of toxins.

This is a global problem and we human beings must confront it together.

Depressing, I know.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
11. The dream is a power cell that converts a reaction into electricity...
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:57 PM
Mar 2013

Classic E=mc2 stuff with the only bi-product being neutrinos.

That would make every other form of energy obsolete.

PaulaFarrell

(1,236 posts)
12. That line of thought only works if you ignore why China has surpassed the US
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:00 PM
Mar 2013

It is because the US and the west in general has moved its production of consumer goods to China. If each country was meaured based on per capita consumption of embodied CO2, China would still be far behind the west.

apnu

(8,756 posts)
19. I'm not saying our hands are dirty...
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 06:09 PM
Mar 2013

... because they are. What I am saying is bitching about Republicans in America when the problem is on a global scale is being too narrow minded. I guess I'm saying the cat is out of the bag on CO2 emissions. And I am aware that China is only just recently surpassed America in CO2 emissions, and we are a close 2nd right now.

Plus, motivating China to be less of a polluter is going to be impossible. The only thing that will get China to stop polluting is the total economic crash of that state. Which probably means a total economic crash combined with a major depression on a global scale that can idle China's toxic output. The state just doesn't care, and it can resist any and all international pressure for as long as it wants. It makes all the products the world wants, it has the bomb, and it has the largest (in terms of bodies) military in the world. Nobody can make China do anything it doesn't already want to do.

Kokonoe

(2,485 posts)
20. It is our duty to bitch about republicans from the ground up!
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 06:42 PM
Mar 2013

They are the problem.

From what I hear, if you want a solar panel or whatever green, it comes from China.


My hands are very clean.

olddad56

(5,732 posts)
9. I like the way you think,
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:49 PM
Mar 2013

only I think Mars was once like this and life will move toward the sun as it moves away from earth. I think that someday, long after the earth won't support life, Venus will. And maybe at one time Mars supported life. Scary to think about what happen to the asteroid belt.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
10. "Scary to think about what happen to the asteroid belt."
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 04:52 PM
Mar 2013

Easy,...some redneck said, "Hey, watch this."

MyshkinCommaPrince

(611 posts)
23. Absosmurfly.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 07:39 PM
Mar 2013

Cycling has to go now, obviously. I, personally, will be taking the additional step of not breathing for one year, in order to reduce my CO2 footprint. Starting now.

...

Whoomf! Choke, gasp, and everything! Whoa. No, okay, starting... now!


See, I steal all my silliness from old Pogo cartoons....

dipsydoodle

(42,239 posts)
17. Shutting the door
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:09 PM
Mar 2013

after the horse has bolted.

And the US still has the highest CO2 / capita of all developed nations.

Gregorian

(23,867 posts)
18. It's the population, stupid.
Tue Mar 5, 2013, 05:13 PM
Mar 2013

We have a simple solution for 90% of all of our problems, and no one is even talking about it. In fact just the opposite: pointing it out draws criticism and denial.

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