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Redfairen

(1,276 posts)
Mon Nov 11, 2013, 10:27 PM Nov 2013

Baby Boom in Stronger States Signals U.S. Birth Recovery

Source: Bloomberg

Rising fertility rates in states such as South Dakota, where unemployment is 3.8 percent, are prompting some demographers and economists to predict a reversal of the nationwide decline in fertility that coincided with the recession and its aftermath. More births would boost the economy by spurring demand for new homes and goods from pregnancy tests and diapers to furniture and cars.

“The higher birth rates in stronger-state economies are a good leading indicator for the rest of the country,” said Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics Inc. in West Chester, Pennsylvania. “There could even be a spurt of births sometime around mid-decade given that many young households have been putting off marriage and having children.”

Besides South Dakota, 18 other states, including Idaho, Kansas, North Dakota, Texas and Ohio had 2012 fertility rates higher than recession lows, according to an analysis by Daniel Schneider, a scholar in health policy research at the University of California at Berkeley.

The jobless rate in those 19 states averaged 6.1 percent in August compared with a national level more than a percentage point higher.


Read more: http://mobile.bloomberg.com/news/2013-11-11/baby-boom-in-stronger-states-signals-u-s-birth-recovery.html

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ffr

(22,665 posts)
1. Terrific! Just what the world needs, more baby humans.
Mon Nov 11, 2013, 10:36 PM
Nov 2013

Unsustainable.

I forgot where the mathematician's Web page was, but there's one that forecasts out human population growth until every last drop of water in the oceans and on Earth was taken to make up the ~70% in a human. Something like 1,500 years, I thought, before this planet was Mars like.

Tabasco_Dave

(1,259 posts)
6. Corporations need as many pawns as possible
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 05:56 AM
Nov 2013

if you have more workers competing for jobs you can pay them less.

raccoon

(31,105 posts)
8. Especially First World baby humans, who consume a helluva lot more than Third World babies. nt
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 10:32 AM
Nov 2013

frogmarch

(12,153 posts)
3. Well, of course births are up South Dakota!
Mon Nov 11, 2013, 11:24 PM
Nov 2013

http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/08/us-usa-abortion-southdakota-idUSBRE92711L20130308

South Dakota Republican Governor Dennis Daugaard on Friday signed into law a measure that excludes weekends and holidays from the state's 72-hour waiting period for abortions, potentially making the wait the longest in the nation.

If you are trying to terminate your pregnancy in South Dakota, your life just got a whole lot tougher. On Thursday, the South Dakota Senate passed a bill that extends the abortion waiting time to what is the longest delay in the country. Current state law already requires a waiting period of three days, and mandatory counseling from nonmedical pro-life advocates. The new bill, which is waiting to be signed into law next week by Republican Gov. Dennis Daugaard, would exclude weekends and holidays from being included in the calculation of the 72 hour waiting period.



http://www.policymic.com/articles/28436/south-dakota-abortion-laws-longest-mandatory-waiting-times-in-u-s-introduced

Now any South Dakotan woman seeking an abortion must drive across the state to the only non-emergency abortion center statewide in the city of Sioux Falls, and wait from three to six days before the operation can occur. Whether you are pro-life or pro-choice it is difficult to explain the logical rational for this delay. Advocates of the law claim that it gives women adequate time to think about their decision. However, if she took off work, drove across the state, raised the money for the procedure, and is willing to go through the whole ordeal alone (as is most often the case) she has most likely already made up her mind. The delay certainly serves no medical purpose.

...

Few working class women have the luxury to take off work for a full week in order to get what is already a relatively expensive procedure.


The last sentence above helps to explain why babies are poppin' out all over in SoDak.

ancianita

(35,932 posts)
5. FBI stats from 2011 show SD enduring the highest forcible rape rate in the country.
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 02:04 AM
Nov 2013

No clear cause, I know, but if there's any such thing as rape culture, it exists there.

http://www.fbi.gov/about-us/cjis/ucr/crime-in-the-u.s/2011/crime-in-the-u.s.-2011/tables/table-5

ffr

(22,665 posts)
4. Found something close to it, by Albert Bartlett
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 01:50 AM
Nov 2013

The concept is Exponential Growth

The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function.” –Dr Albert Bartlett

Also covered in many prior topics on DU (Google to found those). Talk about a shock to your world view! I challenge you watch his 8 of 8 YouTube playlist lecture ~70 minutes. Pass it on too.

All 8 in a YouTube playlist
http://www.youtube.com/watch?list=SP6A1FD147A45EF50D&v=F-QA2rkpBSY#t=500

or also played from this one page on Wordpress.com
http://sustainabilityissues.wordpress.com/exponential-growth/

ancianita

(35,932 posts)
10. Bloomberg doesn't get that fertility is high in 3rd world countries, as well. The "good" spin? Weird
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 10:55 AM
Nov 2013

Just look at the top twenty countries' high fertility rates and their politics, then look at the politics of the eighteen American states, and tell me that women of those countries and states are willing partners in the political processes and birth rates. I seriously doubt it.

http://www.nationmaster.com/graph/peo_tot_fer_rat-people-total-fertility-rate



There's way more going on here than Bloomberg will say outright. I can speculate or do a women's rights review, but overall, I think we can't put any good spin on this "report."

 

philosslayer

(3,076 posts)
13. This is an interesting thread
Tue Nov 12, 2013, 02:08 PM
Nov 2013

Lots of lamenting about rising birth rates. Has anyone pondered what will happen if our birth rates go down? How exactly will Social Security be sustainable long term if there are fewer workers and a higher percentage of the elderly? Social Security and other programs for the elderly demographically depend on a rising population. This is especially crucial as the average lifespan continues to increase.

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