Harper Poll: Wolf 50%, McCord 15%, Schwartz 15%

[brooklynite]

Source: Politics PA

Tom Wolf maintains a commanding lead in the Democratic primary for Governor according to the latest Harper poll.

According to their survey, if the election we’re held today 50% of respondents would support Wolf.

Allyson Schwartz and Rob McCord are tied in second place, each with 15%. Katie McGinty was chosen by 5% of voters.

16% of respondents answered that they were “not sure” who they would vote for.

Read more: http://www.politicspa.com/harper-poll-wolf-50-mccord-15-schwartz-15/57866/

[CANDO]

1. I saw McCord's campaign bus today near Williamsport

It was a rather old looking heap. A bus on its last legs. I have no idea who I'm voting for in this primary race. Any insights?

[brooklynite]

2. I've met with McGinty and Schwartz...and decided not to support anyone at this point

(I'm out of state). I'll support whomever the Democrats nominate, and I suspect any of the candidates can beat Corbett.

[CANDO]

3. I know Wolf seems to have gained his advantage...

by being the first one running ads. His ads were running for weeks unopposed it seemed and they were very positive spots and I think that is the big difference so far. Now the others are going full bore negative to try and get into the race. They shouldn't have been so flat footed out of the blocks.

[fbc]

4. Schwartz left Third Way, but not in time to save her

good!

http://www.keystonepolitics.com/2014/01/pagov-allyson-schwartz-leaves-third-way-new-dems/

[Bryce Butler]

5. This is what my hometown paper is saying about the race:

http://lancasteronline.com/news/local/f-m-poll-wolf-holds-lead-as-primary-nears/article_69a3a36c-daf5-11e3-9f9d-001a4bcf6878.html

[BumRushDaShow]

6. Wolf saturated the airwaves

daily starting back in February - both television/cable and radio, and did so for a couple months straight before the others even made an attempt to get started (at least here in the Philly market). IMHO, the others apparently decided to go with the "start advertising 2 weeks before the primary" strategy with the assumption that folks would tune out anything done earlier. But apparently that didn't work when you had the persistence that Wolf had with his ads - none of which even bothered to address the other Democrats running at all (avoiding the "negative&quot , and focusing on attacking Corbett (the strategy of assuming he would be the nominee to run against Corbett). And that forced the others to start a couple weeks earlier than they had planned when they found themselves way way back in the polls... leading to a barrage of negative ads to try to knock Wolf down just to get back in the race.

I think Wolf will be a shoo-in at this point, although I felt that McCord, having been elected to a statewide office, had the best chance if Wolf wasn't in the race with all the ads.

Some early analysis (from Feb) from his home town paper - http://www.ydr.com/ci_25143389?source=hot_topics

[santroy79]

7. I like McCord better...he is more to the left

Wolf was able to use his own money to take to the airwaves early since he is a rich business man. Wolf seems okay also but like I said McCord is to the left more.

[Bigredhunk]

8. ?

How good of a chance does the Dem representative have of beating the rw douche who's in there now?

[Demit]

9. A very good one.