Obama 49%, Romney 45% Among Registered Voters Nationwide

[DCBob]

Source: Gallup

PRINCETON, NJ -- If asked to choose between them today, 49% of U.S. registered voters say they would vote for Barack Obama for president, while 45% would choose likely Republican opponent Mitt Romney. While Obama's advantage is not statistically significant, it is the largest he has had over Romney in Gallup polling to date.




Read more: http://www.gallup.com/poll/153668/Obama-Romney-Among-Registered-Voters-Nationwide.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=syndication&utm_content=morelink&utm_term=Politics

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The fact this is the largest lead Obama has had over Romney in Gallup polling to date is significant especially given that now most people assume Romney will be the GOP nominee. I think this bodes very well for the President.

[GentryDixon]

1. 49% seems low to me.

If that is a true picture, it means the GOP women do no care if they are marginalized by their masters.

[magical thyme]

2. not necessarily

it may mean they haven't been paying attention to the primaries. Romney only became anti-women recently in order to be severely conservative.

[Major Nikon]

7. Obama hasn't really even started campaigning

And Romney has been at it for months.

[TheMastersNemesis]

3. 45% Of The Voters Still Too Stupid. It Should Be Obama By 25 points.

[DCBob]

4. I will be happy with a 4 point win.

A win is a win.

[BlueJazz]

12. I was thinking the same thing. (and we have to live among these idiots)

[freshwest]

33. Yes, but we still have this to contend with. And Rush isn't vanquished yet, either:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1002508926

It's enough to make want to go and put up copies of your posts and some of these others, like Alan Grayson, on supermarket bulletin board or somewhere. They have got the national mind in their lying hands.

[PoliticAverse]

5. "While Obama's advantage is not statistically significant".

Besides that even, presidents are still elected via electoral college vote by state.

[Alexander]

6. "Registered voters" is different from "likely voters"

I'm surprised they didn't include likely voters in the poll.

[pnwmom]

14. They don't usually do that till closer to the election. But I'm worried about that, too.

Usually the "likelies" tilt to the Rethugs.

[ThomThom]

8. when does the Pres. begin campaigning... after the convention

rMoney has been on the trail for 4 years
wait 'til Obama starts then these polls might mean something

[Smilo]

9. My god we have some idiots in this country.......

the difference should be something like 70-30 in favor of the Big O

It really is scary how some people just don't understand what the future can hold under a GOPT presidency.

[pennylane100]

13. That is just what I was thinking.

How can there be that many stupid people in this country.

[Jamaal510]

23. Because of the "liberal media" myth,

conservative radio, bigotry, selfishness, lack of knowledge about politics, and false equivalencies about Democrats and Republicans.

[NRaleighLiberal]

10. check the trend. this will open up nicely. n/t

[Robbins]

11. This Is gallup

They have become more Republican leaning.In 2010 Republicans were up much higher than they actully won by.Hell Obama often
does better In RAs polls than Gallup.That Is all you need to know.

[thesquanderer]

15. % of voters is irrelevant if you don't know where they are.

He has to be ahead in enough states to get 270 electoral votes. That's all that matters. These polls are just nonsensical space fillers. Popular vote nationwide means absolutely nothing.

[Autumn]

16. that's fucking ridiculous. It should be Obama 75% and

and any dipshit fucking republican -45%

[HockeyMom]

17. Bigger gap with women

Double digits.

[SomeGuyInEagan]

18. The ONLY number that matters is 270 ...

It's about electoral votes, not popular vote.

Swing states mean EVERYTHING.

Nothing else matters.

[quakerboy]

22. Not true

Keeping blue states from becoming swing states is also pretty key.

And retaining the senate and retaking the house are kinda important as well. Given the level of obstruction the R's have accomplished with a senate minority, Its hard to believe that President Obama could find a supreme court replacement (assuming one or more justices decide to retire during his 2nd term) who they would allow to pass.

[SomeGuyInEagan]

25. If the swing states go red, keeping real blue states blue really doesn't matter.

If that happens, we have an R in the White House.

[quakerboy]

27. If blue states go red, we are just as screwed

And if the Pubs take a senate majority, good luck passing any meaningful legislation or confirming even the most minutely left or centrist nominees to any position whatsoever.

[SomeGuyInEagan]

31. True. Maybe it's what I consider to be "swing" state - about 15 or 17 states by my reading.

Those which are in the middle or barely left or right. Big chunk of the country, including some biggies (PA, FL, MI, NJ, NC and VA). My definition may be off.

[eyewall]

19. It's bothersome when the margin

is close enough that a bit of election fraud could reverse the outcome.

[Mr.Turnip]

20. Gallup has been oddly Republican leaning this cycle, even moreso than Ras at times.

Not quite sure why, think they might be polling a more Republican electorate than the one that actually exist.

I think they might be using a model based on the 2010 elections (far more Republican than average)or something because looking at the D, R, I split Obama should have a larger lead than 4 percent.

[PSPS]

26. This is merely the beginning of the corporate media creating its horse race to sell advertising.

One way or another, the MSM will gin up polls to make it look like a horse race. Besides, GE polls mean nothing in April. November is an eternity away in politics. Nevertheless, Romney could be down 20 points but the corporate media would come up with something that showed the race close to even. The have billions in ad revenue that depend on it.

[bitchkitty]

21. Ridiculous that it is that close.

Who are all these idiots that would vote for Romney? I can't believe that it's that close.

[Safetykitten]

24. Now we will talk about how this is an abberation, so goofy, it can't happen. Well this should be a

warning that yes indeed, Romney can win.

There will be quite a crowd of surprised people at the WH when he does win, which I think is a certainty.

[freshwest]

28. I find it deeply disturbing. Way too close. And Romney, really?

[alp227]

29. meanwhile, Gallup's most recent Obama/Santorum poll was nearly deadlocked.

Real Clear Politics has Obama at an average +8% spread over Santorum (but the Gallup Feb. 2012 poll had Obama with a slim +1 lead), 7.6% over Paul (Gallup Jan. 2012, Obama +3%), and 13.2% over Gingrich (the latest Gallup poll of Obama v Gingrich, taken late Jan. 2012, had Obama +12%). In the event of a brokered convention in Tampa, I wonder how Jeb Bush or Chris Christie would poll against Obama by summer's end, since the independent voters are getting bored with the current Clown Car.

[crim son]

30. As always, I am astonished to think that 45% of registered voters are freaking idiots. n/t

[Rozlee]

32. It doesn't add up.

If recent polls show Obama ahead by an 18 point lead among women; Hispanics and Asian-Americans support him by over 70%; African-Americans by over 90%....what kind of math are they using? Like one poster already said, they're using registered voters as a barometer. The most active voters are the elderly and religious right, who tend Republican by overwhelming margins. And polling companies tend to single out the "most likely." In 2008, Obama won a whole lot of "unlikies." Pollsters tend to write off many categories such as the very poor, some minorities, some single mothers, people receiving some type of public assistance (food stamps, unemployment, etc) and the very young such as newly registered young voters. This election cycle, Republicans pissed off a whole lot of those demographics with their bashing of the poor and their unashamed exaltation of the very wealthy; with their racism and their war on women and their attacks on programs that Americans have been relying on to survive during the economic crisis. And we haven't even started the showdown over the Ryan budget and the fight over Medicare and Social Security. I don't see where they get their results.