Another poll shows Shaheen, Brown neck-and-neck

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

Source: Politico

A new live-caller poll shows Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen with only a marginal lead over Republican Scott Brown in the New Hampshire Senate race — the latest in a series of polls showing the race is neck and neck.

The new survey, conducted by UMass-Lowell for WHDH-TV in Boston, shows Shaheen leading Brown among likely voters, 49 percent to 46 percent. One percent said they would vote for another candidate (though Shaheen and Brown are the only two candidates on the ballot this year), and 3 percent are undecided.

The poll shows a sizable gender gap: Shaheen leads among women by 17 points, and Brown is ahead among men by 12 points. Shaheen has higher favorability ratings than Brown, who is viewed unfavorably by more likely voters than have a positive impression of him. There are some voters who view Shaheen favorably but don’t approve of the job she’s doing as senator.

Though her favorability ratings are high (54 percent favorable/42 percent unfavorable), as many likely voters disapprove of her job performance as approve (48 percent approve/47 percent disapprove).




Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/poll-jeanne-shaheen-scott-brown-112171.html#ixzz3H76NmHYu

[AverageJoe90]

1. How, exactly, is Shaheen not beating this pathetic loser by 10+?!

Are that many middle-of-the-road voters that terribly uninformed how bad Brown really sucks?

[dlwickham]

4. I know

is there really that much of an Obama backlash or is she running a crappy campaign?

[quadrature]

8. ACA backlash

people who get health insurance cancellation notices,
and the replacement is 2X the price,
are extremely eager to vote

[aceofblades]

11. As a question

How many people in New Hampshire does that hold true for (the cancellation & 2x replacement price you mentioned) And ,rhetorically, how many people would also have their newly acquired insurance cancelled if Scott Brown's vote helps to successfully repeal it?

[flamingdem]

14. These NH republicans probably don't know about the subsidy

and so they don't even understand ACA, guessing.

[jpak]

13. I call GOP BS Fairy Tale nonsense

yup

[quadrature]

18. there are winners and losers with the ACA

people are not averages.
they vote as individuals.
not everybody gets a subsidy.

nobody knows the numbers,
but I know a handful of people
on both sides of the fence.

[TheCowsCameHome]

2. There is not one other candidate

that I want to see go down to defeat more than Scott Brown.

I was in a NH restaurant tonight and two couples at an adjacent table were laughing themselves silly over his recent stupid remark that if Mitt Romney was president there would be no Ebola threat.

He sickens me like no other republican candidate.

[oberliner]

21. To be fair, he didn't actually say there would be no Ebola threat if Romney was president

He said "we would not be worrying about Ebola right now" which is a very stupid thing to say but not quite the same thing.

[kelliekat44]

3. The only poll that counts is the one on election day. nt

[Iliyah]

5. Shaheen wins

corporate media which is in constant favor of GOPers, i.e. polls

[catnhatnh]

6. The poll is bullshit...

We have our share of right wing loons, but no way Scott Brown excites them enough to vote. He is the kind of guy you really would have to hold your nose to vote for...

[davidpdx]

10. Dear god I hope so

Another lose ought to retire him for good (or at least one would think so).

[YOHABLO]

7. "A new live-caller poll ..." by Politico .. go figure!

[kiri]

9. Brown is winning in ski country--Ebola fears

North Conway, Franconia regions are strong for Brown. He has used scare of immigrants -- mongering works.

DUers can help: his contact is [e-mail]

Here is an excellent article about Ebola, well worth reading--and very disturbing.
http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2014/10/27/ebola-wars
In all these accounts, I do not see clear descriptions of how the Ebola virus enters the body of an other person. Breathing in droplets is obvious; touching infected sweat, blood, other fluids and THEN touching your lips, eyes, etc. is obvious; pricking a finger or touching an open wound is obvious. But, our skin is normally highly protective and keeps out all manner of bad stuff.

Something seems to me wrong about the description of Hazmat suits and their use. So how do health workers contract the disease?
===========================
About Ultra-Violet to destroy Ebola outside the body:
http://www.americanultraviolet.com/whats-new.cfml
Ultraviolet Lights and the Sun both emit UVA, UVB, and UVC wavelengths. Ultraviolet lamps for disinfection utilize the proper amount of UVC wavelength exposure to disinfect. That's where it differs from sunlight exposure on the Earth. The Sun's rays have all three kinds of wavelengths, but only two of those UVA and UVB actually shine down to the Earth's surface. The UVC wavelengths are stopped by the Earth's ozone layer, and because of that, DNA based organisms including contaminants have not evolved to protecting themselves from UVC wavelengths.
When ultraviolet lighting is utilized for disinfection the light does all the work. UVC wavelengths penetrate the cell wall of the DNA based contaminant and alter the DNA of the contaminant. When this happens the contaminant is inactivated and unable to reproduce thus is essentially killed quite quickly. Based upon exposure intensity and lamp proximity most DNA based contaminants are killed in less then 20 seconds.
-------------------------
ARTZ/Pathogon Unit
Ultraviolet light has been deemed an effective way of helping to control the contamination of Ebola with surfaces after it is outside the host. The American Association of Blood Banks, Center for Disease Control, and various infection control journals have all provided some form of guidance on treating contaminated environments and have all recognized ultraviolet light as a valid and great tool for the job. Ultraviolet lamps are far more environmentally green than chemicals and there is virtually no issue of human error or not cleaning every surface. For example, the ARTZ/Pathogon unit can be rolled into an area, such as a patient's room after treatment, and can be turned on by a tablet and left in the room to clean. The air and all surfaces in the room will be disinfected in minutes while nurses or healthcare staff can spend time on other matters.
-------------------
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21104283
Germicidal UV (also known as UVC) provides a means to decontaminate infected environments as well as a measure of viral sensitivity to sunlight. The present study determined UVC inactivation slopes (and derived D(37) values) of viruses dried onto nonporous (glass) surfaces. The data obtained indicate that the UV resistance of Lassa virus is higher than that of Ebola virus. The UV sensitivity of vaccinia virus (a surrogate for variola virus) appeared intermediate between that of the two virulent viruses studied. In addition, the three viruses dried on surfaces showed a relatively small but significant population of virions (from 3 to 10 % of virus in the inoculum) that appeared substantially more protected by their environment from the effect of UV than the majority of virions tested. The findings reported in this study should assist in estimating the threat posed by the persistence of virus in environments contaminated during epidemics or after an accidental or intentional release.

https://www.iuva.org/news/ultraviolet-germicidal-ir
UVGI devices are effective for health care settings and other public spaces where the danger of the virus spreading can mean the difference between life and death. Chlorine Dioxide has also been used to sterilize hospital rooms, fixtures, beds and equipment. UVGI used in healthcare settings to eliminate viruses such as Ebola have been found to be just as effective as Chlorine Dioxide with the use of UVC energy.
-------------
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultraviolet_germicidal_irradiation
Ultraviolet germicidal irradiation
At a wavelength of 2,537 Angstroms (254 nm)[6] UV will break the molecular bonds within micro-organismal DNA, producing thymine dimers in their DNA thereby destroying them, rendering them harmless or prohibiting growth and reproduction. It is a process similar to the UV effect of longer wavelengths (UVB) on humans, such as sunburn or sun glare. Micro-organisms have less protection from UV and cannot survive prolonged exposure to it.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ultraviolet
Ultraviolet C UVC 280 – 100 nm 4.43 – 12.4 eV

The absence of any mention about UV as a tool is upsetting. Surely this deserves a place between a real pandemic and continued panic and hysteria.

[Vinca]

12. I would ignore all New Hampshire polls . . . seriously.

The phone company is on strike and many of us are limping along with service that only works some of the time and then badly. I've identified pollsters on my caller ID, but when I pick up the phone it's so scratchy I couldn't take a poll if I wanted to. I know it's not just me - a neighbor's faxed document spit out of my fax machine a couple of days ago - and there are reports of sabotage of the phone equipment in other parts of the state.

[NobodyHere]

16. I wonder how the strike is affecting the race.

Do people blame the union or the company?

[Vinca]

17. Good question and I'm not getting much of a sense of it either way.

Long before the strike the company, Fairpoint, was despised by just about everyone who is stuck with its telephone lines. When the company was purchased from Verizon, it was the general consensus that there was not enough money backing it to have a good outcome and that has proven to be true. One thing I've found interesting is the number of people who have just said "to hell with it" and are using their cell phone as their main telephone service. In fact, I happened to notice strikers walking the picket line chatting on their cell phones which struck me as being a bit counterproductive to the cause. I suspect it won't affect the election one way or the other.

[SunSeeker]

15. So when Shaheen is 3 points AHEAD it's "neck and neck"?

But when McConnell's 1 point ahead of Grimes, "it's over, DSSC pulls out."

Got it.

What would we do without Politico telling our lying eyes what is really going on?

[Psephos]

19. 3 points is within the poll's margin of error.

No way to spin that.

[SunSeeker]

20. So was McConnell's "insurmountable" 1-point "lead." I guess "spin" is OKIYAR, but not for Dems. nt

[Psephos]

22. I was referring to the poll cited in the OP.

That's why we call these "threads" instead of "splats."

[SunSeeker]

23. I get that it was within the margin of error. That's not the point.

The point I was making was the difference in the reporting when Dems are ahead by a few points--i.e., margin of error lead--then it is called "neck-and-neck." But when McConnell has an even smaller lead--1 point--it is called hopeless for Grimes.

So spare me the splat.