Soft Bigotry, Meet Low Expectations
http://prospect.org/article/soft-bigotry-meet-low-expectations
Soft Bigotry, Meet Low Expectations
Jamelle Bouie
February 29, 2012
Mitt Romney "won" in Michigan because he didn't lose.
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While Michigan settled the question of Romneys place in the Republican presidential primaryhes still the front-runnerit left a crucial part of the status quo in place: No one knows if Romney can actually appeal to conservative voters. The exit polls from last night suggest that its still a long journey for the former Massachusetts governor. Of the 30 percent of voters who described themselves as very conservative, half went for Santorum, while 36 percent gave their support to Romney. The only thing that kept Santorum from expanding his margin among those voters was Newt Gingrich, who earned 7 percent of their support. Had he dropped out, theres no doubt that Santorum would have been the beneficiary.
In addition to his trouble with conservative voters, Romney is also on thin ice with white, working-class voters, who form a core part of the Republican coalition. Santorum did better among every group of voters who make less than $100,000 a year, while Romney cleaned house with higher-income voters, winning 46 percent of those who made between $100,000 and $200,000, and winning 55 percent of those who made $200,000 or more. Romney lost among Protestants, who gave 42 percent support to Santorum, and those who say that the religious beliefs of candidates matter a great deal63 percent broke in favor of Santorum. These results bode poorly for Romneys performance in the Southern Republican primaries, which will be dominated by conservative, religious, lower-income whites.
Romneys three-point win is, in the end, another data point that supports the key takeaway of his entire candidacy:
Mitt Romney is much, much weaker than anyone expected. His campaign performances are poor, his wins are dirty, andwin or losehe leaves every state with more people who just dont like him. There are plenty of other presidential candidates for which you could have said the same thing. But for a presidential hopeful, they arent the best company.