BTRTN Senate 2018 Election Snapshot: Complete State-by-State Midterm Round-Up: Dems Have A Shot
A comprehensive look at the midterms:
http://www.borntorunthenumbers.com/2018/05/btrtn-senate-2018-election-snapshot.html
"It is still way too early to “predict” the outcome of the 35 races on Election Day, but we can take an updated reading of the races and see where we are. Keep in mind the tickets have not even been established – there is only one certain match-up, in Texas, which held its primary in March. We are just at the start of the primary season with three primaries today, in the crucial states of Ohio, Indiana and West Virginia. The Democrats are the incumbents in each state, but with a tenuous hold on each. The primary season runs through to September 12, when Rhode Island will complete the final field.
So, while early, the races are starting to take shape. We know the contours of some races, and there has been some helpful early polling to give us some state-by-state direction.
The headline is, amazingly, at this point in time – that is, if we had an election today – the Democrats would take control of the Senate by a 51/49 margin.
Democrats should not get too excited by this snapshot rack-up. Six of the 34 races are truly dead heats, and a number of others are very close. (When you read the summaries of them below, you will get a better flavor of this.) The eventual outcome could, of course, still result in GOP maintaining control of the Senate and even a net loss for the Dems. But the main takeaway is that the notion of a Dem takeover is no longer a pipe dream...."