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sandensea

(21,604 posts)
Thu Nov 8, 2018, 10:01 PM Nov 2018

How Bill Nelson could ultimately win the recount in Florida's U.S. Senate race

Just 15,092 votes out of 8.2 million (0.18%) separate Sen. Bill Nelson and Gov. Rick Scott in the Florida Senate race. And the margin continues to narrow — it was at nearly 60,000 on election night and 34,000 Wednesday afternoon.

What gives Democrats hope? Here’s the path to a Nelson victory.

Not all the ballots have been counted yet in strongly Democratic South Florida:

Broward County, where Nelson received 68.9% of the votes, was still counting early-voting, vote-by-mail and Election Day ballots.

Palm Beach County, where Nelson received 58.4% of the votes, was still counting vote-by-mail ballots.

If the breakdown of these pending ballots is anything close to the results so far, Nelson should pick up more votes than Scott.

Undervotes in Broward County:

That’s a 30,000 difference, a remarkable disparity given the stakes in this race and the name recognition of these officials.

It’s a degree of undervote that is non-existent in the other statewide races on the ballot. If the results as they stand are accurate, more people voted for Agriculture Commissioner than U.S. Senate.

Provisional ballots will break hard for Democrats

In most counties, those ballots still need to be reviewed by the local canvassing board and counted toward the final tally.

One big thing working against Nelson: Up to 15,000 overseas ballots.

At: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article221355905.html



Bill Nelson: Still in the game.
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How Bill Nelson could ultimately win the recount in Florida's U.S. Senate race (Original Post) sandensea Nov 2018 OP
Hanging on... techne7319 Nov 2018 #1
Nelson was an astronaut. I suspect the overseas (military) % higher than usual for him stuffmatters Nov 2018 #2

techne7319

(173 posts)
1. Hanging on...
Thu Nov 8, 2018, 10:27 PM
Nov 2018

Hanging on to the few last threads of hope here in Florida. We celebrated the big Dem wins on Tuesday, but we’re certainly discouraged with our own state’s results. We are really proud of all the Dems in FL who got out the vote though. We are saddened by the shear number of residents in the state who subscribe to corruption and hate in their support of Desantis and Scott. It’s a tough crowd especially here In the panhandle. If Nelson wins this election it’s huge. Gillum still has a shot too.

stuffmatters

(2,574 posts)
2. Nelson was an astronaut. I suspect the overseas (military) % higher than usual for him
Fri Nov 9, 2018, 05:04 AM
Nov 2018

even tho it usually leans heavily Republican. Fingers crossed.

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