How we can be confident that Trump's voter fraud claims are baloney

[RussBLib]

The hand-wringing on this site is getting deafening. BTW, WaPo is currently offering a $29 sub for 1 year. I've also seen $1 for the first 3 months, then $10/mo afterward. They could use your support.

Opinion by Henry Olsen (Washington Post)

President Trump’s claims of voter fraud are resonating with many of his supporters. We should never deny anyone their day in court, and he has every right to produce evidence to support his allegations. The election results themselves, however, strongly suggest he did not lose because of fraud.

Mass voter fraud should be relatively easy to detect, even if it might be difficult to prove. Since we elect presidents through the electoral college, political operatives trying to nefariously produce a victory would focus on states critical to an electoral college majority. Thus, if fraud were behind President-elect Joe Biden’s win, we should expect to see significantly higher turnout increases in key states when compared to the nation as a whole. Furthermore, we should expect to see higher turnout increases within those states in Democratic areas than in Republican areas, since those regions are places where Democrats are more likely to be able to hide any stolen votes. Finally, we should expect to see significantly larger shifts in voter margins toward the Democrats from other, previous elections as the fraud alters the area’s normal voting patterns.

None of these early warning signs of fraud appear in the results. As the Cook Political Report’s Dave Wasserman’s Popular Vote Tracker shows, voter turnout was up significantly almost everywhere compared with 2016. (The few states where that is not true are largely places that have not yet counted all of their mail ballots, such as California, New York, New Jersey, Maryland and Alaska). The huge turnout increases observed in battleground states such as Arizona, Georgia, Florida and Texas is partially explained by their rapid population growth compared with the rest of the country. Turnout also rose by 15 percent or more over 2016 levels in 10 non-battleground states where there was no chance the race was ever going to be close. Voter enthusiasm rather than fraud is the most obvious explanation for the large increases in votes cast in swing states.

snip

Perhaps the president’s campaign has proof of specific fraud that undermines these observations. Until he produces that, however, Americans have only one reasonable conclusion: Biden won fair and square.

[SWBTATTReg]

1. I was on the Wash. Post. I had constant problems getting signed on, constant problems in ...

getting to articles, etc. It was so frustrating that I ended my subscription. I doubt it's any better now a days.