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elleng

(130,644 posts)
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 04:59 PM Aug 2013

Wes Clark & Robin Wright on Egypt

(transcript from Piers Morgan show)

General Clark, it seems that the Americans and the administration in America have got themselves into sort of a devil and a deep sea here situation because they're dammed if they do, dammed if they don't. What is the proper course of action now, do you think, for President Obama to take?

GEN. WESLEY CLARK (RET.), FORMER NATO SUPREME ALLIED COMMANDER: I think the proper course of action is to be very, very steady. Do not break relations with the Egyptian military. We don't like what happened. If we can work with both sides and pull them away from this confrontation that's looming or will intensify, that's what we need to be doing.

Look, the Egyptian military is doing what they think they have to do to keep Egypt as a modern country. They are responding to the will of the Egyptian people. They went overboard, somehow, the police, I don't know how all these people got killed. That's a big failure in somebody's procedures.

But, Piers, I was a major in the U.S.-European command in the fall of 1978 and the spring of 1979, working for General Alexander Haig. We went through this exact scenario with the shah of Iran. We didn't like him. He wasn't democratic enough. His secret police were really tough and they tortured people, and so we encouraged the emergence of a democratic movement.

The generals tried to warn the Americans, they said be careful, you're playing with fire and you're going to let Ayatollah Khomeini come back in. We sent in an American general over to tell the Iranian generals back off. So for about 60 days we kept the military from intervening in Iran.

During that period, the revolution coalesced, the military forces fell apart, extreme Islamists took over and at that point, the Carter administration said, oh my goodness, get the general to take control, don't let this happen. And the general said, we waited too long, we have no forces, and a few months later all the generals had been shot, and we have Iran today.

So I think there's an important lesson. Of course we want democracy. We don't want slaughter in the streets. But this is Egypt's problem. They know it better than we do. The military has been influenced by the United States. They are westernized. We should encourage the military to work with the police, minimize the violence, try to move this towards an inclusive democratic government.

MORGAN: OK. Ivan Watson, here's the problem with all this, which is we're basically right back where we were, only Mubarak is not there but he may as well be. And what has happened to the idealistic dream of the Arab spring?

IVAN WATSON, CNN SENIOR INTERNATIONAL CORRESPONDENT: I don't think we're right back where we were, Piers, because in 2011, two and a half years ago there was the excitement and the enthusiasm about -- and hope for a democratic process, and that has been killed now, and we have hundreds and hundreds of dead people and their blood on top of that.

And you don't -- you can't promise now to Egyptian people to wave a wand and have democratic elections now and that will make everything better because the people who won those elections are some of the people who are being butchered in the streets and perhaps some of them are also carrying out reprisal attacks.

So you don't have that optimistic goal to push the Egyptian people towards and for them to be excited about. Instead, we have a much bigger crisis in our hands. How do we stop this cycle of violence and if the security forces use force against these possible marches that the Muslim Brotherhood is calling upon on Friday, that could continue this already terrible and tragic loss of life where you have bodies stacked up in the mosques.

It will continue if that use of force is repeated again on Friday.

MORGAN: Robin Wright, what is the solution here? Is there a solution? I mean, Ivan painted a very grim picture there and as General Clark said, you know, if you're not very careful, you can end up with another Iran.

ROBIN WRIGHT, MIDDLE EAST ANALYST: I don't think there's any comparison between what happened in Iran and Egypt for many different reasons. But the stakes are enormous here and there are no easy outs.

The problem right now is that there's very little influence that the United States has over Egypt, over the -- the military even though they have been the cornerstone of U.S. relations with Egypt now for more than 40 years. The danger is that the military is headstrong at the moment, and dead set on -- literally dead set on following through on its own agenda to prevent the Muslim Brotherhood from having any role in politics, democratic or otherwise.

And that it is likely to pursue a course that will make it very hard for the U.S. or the international community in general to play any significant role. And that's going to limit the options. Now I suspect there will be a huge debate in Washington very soon over the future of U.S. aid and whether the $1.5 billion that is provided, most of it to the military, should be suspended, should be deferred, that that will be the next step we see in -- from Washington's side.

In Egypt they have a six-month transition and the United States will be watching very closely whether the new constitution is announced next week, next Wednesday, as it's supposed to, whether there are elections that are held, free and fair elections, that are held for both the parliament and the president over the next six months. Those are the big steps that should play out next.

MORGAN: Well, tomorrow obviously will to be a fascinating day. A Friday of anger being promised by the Muslim Brotherhood. We'll see what that takes and we'll see the reaction from the military.

But for now, thank you to you all, to Wesley Clark, to Ivan Watson, Robin Wright. Newt Gingrich, you're staying with me. I'm putting you right back on "The Grill" after the break, which is where my viewers want to see you.

http://transcripts.cnn.com/TRANSCRIPTS/1308/15/pmt.01.html

27 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
Wes Clark & Robin Wright on Egypt (Original Post) elleng Aug 2013 OP
Interesting, thanks. bemildred Aug 2013 #1
Didn't the US overthrow a democracy and install the Shah? delrem Aug 2013 #2
Why yes, I think we did. bemildred Aug 2013 #3
My problem is that Clark is now speaking in retrospect. delrem Aug 2013 #5
Eh. I'm not "supporting" him, I'm just not willing to dump on him. bemildred Aug 2013 #6
I like your posts, bemildred, delrem Aug 2013 #7
I don't like to do personalities and groupthink much. It muddies the water. bemildred Aug 2013 #10
and he wasn't 'in power' then, either, elleng Aug 2013 #11
OK, and the Egyptian military coup just slaughtered over 600 people. delrem Aug 2013 #12
Distorted the US role in history? elleng Aug 2013 #13
He IS smart, intelligent, and honest, elleng Aug 2013 #9
That's what I remember. bemildred Aug 2013 #15
True. truebluegreen Aug 2013 #27
And we may yet have a mess, if Badr/Tamarrud get their way (per der Spiegel) Igel Aug 2013 #4
Poe? The Raven? bemildred Aug 2013 #8
'sweetly knocking on the door of my room, this and nothing more' elleng Aug 2013 #14
I gave it up after High School, wish I had not. bemildred Aug 2013 #16
Right, can't do everything! elleng Aug 2013 #17
French in college, as well. Igel Aug 2013 #19
I had that happen to me. bemildred Aug 2013 #21
That's SOME learning experience! elleng Aug 2013 #22
It still feels strange. bemildred Aug 2013 #24
Good of you. elleng Aug 2013 #25
Good for me is how I think of it. bemildred Aug 2013 #26
With ? 3 years high school French, elleng Aug 2013 #23
Indeed. Mallarme's translation. Igel Aug 2013 #18
LOL. Good translation is wizardry, magic, instinct. bemildred Aug 2013 #20

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
1. Interesting, thanks.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 07:02 PM
Aug 2013

The contrast between the different narratives, how they frame their arguments.

And the Shah ... We should have got rid of the Shah.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
2. Didn't the US overthrow a democracy and install the Shah?
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 09:46 PM
Aug 2013

After reading that, I *really* don't like Wes Clark.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
3. Why yes, I think we did.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 10:16 PM
Aug 2013

But shooting ourself in the foot is something we have done well many times now.

Edit: I know what you are saying, but I'm not willing to dump on Clark about it. He was "around" when I working in defense, and my impression is he was smart and intelligent and relatively honest for a General. But he had to drink the KoolAid or he wouldn't be a general. Not a Clapper or Hayden or Petraeus sort of big shot egoists. He was respectful to the cpntractor nerds, like me, who were generally viewed skeptically.

And I don't forsee a situation were we don't need at least a few "smart and intelligent and relatively honest" generals, KoolAid or not.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
5. My problem is that Clark is now speaking in retrospect.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 10:51 PM
Aug 2013

He's retired, not as a person in power, so not subject to that much restraint.
To be sure I wouldn't expect or want him to betray the US, in any way. But I think one can speak a bit more forthrightly about recent history than that -- or, to put it more directly, one can speak a bit more honestly about recent history than that. I say especially so when comparing that past (fictional or not?? does it matter??) with the present.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
6. Eh. I'm not "supporting" him, I'm just not willing to dump on him.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 10:56 PM
Aug 2013

And you know I'm not one to shrink from a bit of dumping, when the spirit moves me. You can dump on him if you want. I won't give you any shit about that either.

delrem

(9,688 posts)
7. I like your posts, bemildred,
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:02 PM
Aug 2013

and my statements don't focus (at all!) on you "supporting him" or not.
In fact I like your posts because you distinguish issues from personalities and identifications.
I'm just talking about this case.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
10. I don't like to do personalities and groupthink much. It muddies the water.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:11 PM
Aug 2013

In fact it's used a lot for that, so ...

There are occasions when it serves a purpose, when the waters already been muddied up for example. There, if you want to play at all, you have to get in the spirit of the thing.

And one of the consequences of not dealing in personalities much is I don't have to defend or attack personalities in pursuit of policy objectives, like you are concerned with here.

I read your stuff too.

elleng

(130,644 posts)
11. and he wasn't 'in power' then, either,
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:16 PM
Aug 2013

he was working for alexander haig.
And here he's making an analogy, and hoping, I expect, that something of the old 'lesson' can be learned today. Has nothing to do with 'betrayal.'

delrem

(9,688 posts)
12. OK, and the Egyptian military coup just slaughtered over 600 people.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:23 PM
Aug 2013

People who were, in fact, in the democratic majority - and whose democratically elected leaders were just ousted by that military.

Wes Clark's explanation of the "analogy" sucked because it distorted the US role in history.

elleng

(130,644 posts)
13. Distorted the US role in history?
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:29 PM
Aug 2013

'We didn't like him (the shah.) He wasn't democratic enough. His secret police were really tough and they tortured people, and so we encouraged the emergence of a democratic movement.

The generals tried to warn the Americans, they said be careful, you're playing with fire and you're going to let Ayatollah Khomeini come back in. We sent in an American general over to tell the Iranian generals back off. So for about 60 days we kept the military from intervening in Iran.

During that period, the revolution coalesced, the military forces fell apart, extreme Islamists took over and at that point, the Carter administration said, oh my goodness, get the general to take control, don't let this happen. And the general said, we waited too long, we have no forces, and a few months later all the generals had been shot, and we have Iran today.'

elleng

(130,644 posts)
9. He IS smart, intelligent, and honest,
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:07 PM
Aug 2013

and never drank any kool aid. He was first in his class at West Point, and many disliked him, and probably still do, because of his intellect. Its a shame that some/many can't handle a smart general, smart military people.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
15. That's what I remember.
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:40 PM
Aug 2013

Anybody who works for the Pentagon has to drink some KoolAid, or at least keep his mouth shut and spout the appropriate platitudes on cue. I did.

And I know Wesley pissed some people off with his independent ways and affection for cutting costs.

I've worked with lots of military people, most of them are just trying to make a living. (And with military people, the assholes are easy to spot, they don't hide it.)

 

truebluegreen

(9,033 posts)
27. True.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 12:07 PM
Aug 2013

Our friends in the CIA overthrew the democratically-elected socialist Mossadegh in 1953, at the behest of our British allies and specifically over the issue of Iran nationalizing their oil (predecessor to BP was the immediate beneficiary).

Prior to that event the US was well-liked and respected in Iran; they even patterned their constitution on ours. Many scholars date the radicalization of Islam to this event.

The CIA: causing blowback since its creation.

Igel

(35,268 posts)
4. And we may yet have a mess, if Badr/Tamarrud get their way (per der Spiegel)
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 10:49 PM
Aug 2013
http://www.spiegel.de/politik/ausland/aegyptens-neue-fuehrung-unter-general-sisi-veraergert-usa-und-europa-a-917124.html

I suspect that Tamarrud, admired by many, will suddenly take a hit to its fan club.


I don't do German. Google doesn't, not really, but here's what it has for parts of the above link.

Cairo - A month ago, they have overthrown Mohammed Mursi, now they want to take on Barack Obama. The organizers of the Tamarud movement that mobilized millions of Egyptians in late June to mass demonstrations against the Islamist president, have set a new target. Since Saturday afternoon, the movement gathers signatures on its website for an end to the partnership with the U.S..

Their demands: "First, the refusal of aid from the United States to Egypt in all its forms. Secondly., The abrogation of the peace treaty between Egypt and the Israeli entity," U.S. interference in the internal affairs of Egypt and Washington's support for "terrorist groups in Egypt" - meaning the Muslim Brotherhood - must stop.

The Tamarud movement has evolved to youth development organization located in military dictatorship. Her spokesman Mahmoud Badr, was allowed on 3 July on state television to talk right after army chief Abd al-Fattah al-Sisi the dismissal of President Mursi announced. Since then, the 28-year-old in polo shirt appears regularly on television to the nation to sell the policies of the new leaders. On Thursday, he praised the security forces for the resolution of the Islamist camp in Cairo, at the same time he called on Egyptians to form vigilante groups in their districts, to oppose the "terrorists".

elleng

(130,644 posts)
17. Right, can't do everything!
Sat Aug 17, 2013, 11:51 PM
Aug 2013

Glad I continued into college because it was there, studying poetry, I found I COULD understand it!

Never did get a good handle on the rules, but appear to have an ear for romance languages; think my brother and I got it from Dad, and passed it on to a daughter, so I can play with Italian and Spanish (in my ears, NOT to speak, of course, tho I do pretend, sometimes.)

Igel

(35,268 posts)
19. French in college, as well.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 08:50 AM
Aug 2013

There was a required placement test before you could enroll in French--so many people had it in high school then took French 1 in college.

It was a college with 3 terms/year. I took their silly test and placed out of 1st year French and the fall term of 2nd year. They made me start 5th term college French even though I never had French before. Silly me, I thought you were rewarded for doing well on tests. (I had Spanish and some historical linguistics.)

It wasn't a fun term for me. Or for the teacher, who had to let a complete newbie start with "je suis, tu es, il est" while tackling a short Sartre novel.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
21. I had that happen to me.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 09:03 AM
Aug 2013

I aced their IQ tests, so they skipped me a year, in fifth grade. Hey, let's put him in with the big boys. I could not assess even now how much harm that did to my development. Who has not had those experiences, really?

But I did obtain a really sound sense of disrespect for "experts" of all stripes.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
24. It still feels strange.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 11:27 AM
Aug 2013

But as Salma Hayek said when asked about her chest: "I'm not complaining".

A lot of us have unfortunate experiences in childhood. Especially in the civilized world where we are exposed to so much. You can't dwell on it.

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
26. Good for me is how I think of it.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 11:33 AM
Aug 2013

That equanimity is hard won. It's not that I will overlook things, I can get quite annoyed at attempts to meddle with my children, or did anyway.

elleng

(130,644 posts)
23. With ? 3 years high school French,
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 11:21 AM
Aug 2013

and 3 in college, family was planning trip around France with our young daughters (20? years ago,) husb who had never studied French, maybe Latin, but thought he should, so took course in DC from l'Alliance Francaise, and learned the grammar I'd never REALLY learned in school.

So thought I'd 'brush up,' as we parents would be responsible for getting us around France for about a month, so went to l'Alliance, took their damn placement test, and came out with a 'start at level 1!' I cried!!! and said, f**k it! We did well in France, I did the speaking, husb did the technical stuff like renting car etc. AND the French (in France) were very kind to us! (Prolly because of our 2 cute kids!)

Igel

(35,268 posts)
18. Indeed. Mallarme's translation.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 08:43 AM
Aug 2013

I've been told that he's a better poet in French and Russian than he is in English.

Perhaps because really good poets translated him into French and Russian?

bemildred

(90,061 posts)
20. LOL. Good translation is wizardry, magic, instinct.
Sun Aug 18, 2013, 08:57 AM
Aug 2013

I thought some of the usages were "strange", but that just means it's over my head. But purty on the tongue. French is good at that.

Since I have you here, do you have an opinion about Pevear and Volokhonsky? I have read a couple of theirs and found them very readable, more modern usages and often a better sense of what is going on. But I have no useful Russian, and I slways wonder if that is just because it's more like what I read all the time, familiar?

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