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Sun May 1, 2022, 02:26 AM

Sinema v Gallego 2024

I was told by a Sinema supporter in another thread that plenty of AZ group DU'ers think it doubtful that Gallego can win state-wide, and intimating that not supporting Sinema (or even criticising her at all on anything she does) over Gallego is playing right into the Rethugs' hands.

Is this the case?



background:

Possible challenger surges, as Sinema promises big donors she’ll protect their tax breaks

Mitch McConnell says he hopes Sinema's opposition "will be enough to keep this thing underwater permanently"

https://www.salon.com/2022/04/13/likely-primary-challenger-surges-as-sinema-promises-corporate-donors-shell-protect-their-breaks/

Sen. Kyrsten Sinema, D-Ariz., assured corporate donors on Tuesday that she would fight her party's efforts to unwind tax breaks for America's elite as Democrats try to revive portions of President Biden's stalled Build Back Better plan. Sinema, who has received more than $900,000 in donations from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and other industry groups opposing Biden's plan, attended an event held by the Arizona Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Phoenix to assuage donors' concerns that the renewed spending negotiations may threaten their low tax rates.

"What I can't tell you is if negotiations will start again or what they'll look like," she said. "But what I can promise you is that I'll be the same person in negotiations if they start again that I was in negotiations last year." Sinema assured the group that she would oppose raising taxes on corporations with her pivotal vote in the 50-50 Senate. "You all know, the entire country knows, that I'm opposed to raising the corporate minimum tax rate," she said, adding that she opposes "any tax policies that would put a brake on any type of economic growth or forestall business and personal growth for America's industries."



snip

Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., has emerged as a leading potential progressive primary foe after repeatedly calling out Sinema, though he would have to compete with a well-funded effort backed by Sinema's corporate supporters if he chooses to challenge her in 2024. Gallego raised more than $510,000, a personal record, in the first three months of the year — officially for his re-election bid in the House, which he is expected to win easily. That number is more than four times the amount he raised during the same period last election cycle, according to Insider. He raised a total of $1.8 million in 2020. Groups backing a potential primary challenger have also reported hundreds of thousands in donations.

Speculation about Sinema's political future has continued to mount. Along with her opposition to rolling back the Trump tax cuts, Sinema has opposed Democratic efforts to repeal the filibuster to pass legislation related to voting rights, LGBTQ protections, union protections and raising the minimum wage. Just 19% of Arizona Democratic primary voters have a favorable opinion of Sinema, according to a January Data for Progress poll, compared to 78% for fellow Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz. The poll showed Gallego with a 58% favorable rating and leading Sinema by a 74-16 margin.

snip

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Reply Sinema v Gallego 2024 (Original post)
Celerity May 2022 OP
TexasTowelie May 2022 #1
AZProgressive May 2022 #2

Response to Celerity (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2022, 04:42 AM

1. I'm the member that made that remark.

And for clarification, that comment is based upon what I've read on an Arizona media site a few months ago. Sorry that I can't remember which site since I have 17 different sites for Arizona in my database. A quick query pulled up this list if you want to search yourself. My apologies that I can't provide any other information that would narrow down your search such as date ranges.

Arizona Capitol Times
Arizona Daily Independent
Arizona Daily Star
Arizona Mirror
Arizona Republic
Blog for Arizona
Casa Grande Dispatch
Copper Courier
Daily News-Sun
East Valley Tribune
Flagstaff AZ Daily Sun
Havasu News-Herald
Mohave Valley Daily News
Phoenix New Times
Prescott Daily Courier
Tucson Weekly
Yuma Sun

However, you are mistaken in assuming that I'm a Senator Sinema supporter (what's the joke about assuming things?). I do support Democrats though which is why I'm a member here.

Just wanted to correct the record since I don't want other members to assume that because I support Democrats, that I specifically favor Senator Sinema. I'll leave those decisions up to the voters in Arizona.

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Response to Celerity (Original post)

Sun May 1, 2022, 04:45 PM

2. I think Sinema will have a more difficult time winning statewide

Only 19% of Democrats have a favorable view so turnout will probably be low with her on the ballot. I also don’t think she can make up enough with Republicans or Independents unlike Manchin. The Green Party candidate probably won’t drop out like last time she ran.

Also the Presidential race could play a role but I still expect turnout to be lower for Sinema.

Gallego just needs to win Maricopa County and future demographic changes favor the Democrats.

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