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Is the drought any better in CA ? What are the forecasts ? (Original Post) steve2470 Sep 2015 OP
Not yet. The rainy season doesn't start until next month. KamaAina Sep 2015 #1
Still waiting for the "rainy season" Galileo126 Sep 2015 #2
I hope you get nice gentle rain all winter steve2470 Sep 2015 #3
But heavy rain makes heavy snowfall Mr.Bill Sep 2015 #7
Hot until middle of Nov. PasadenaTrudy Sep 2015 #4
so cal is expecting up to an inch of rain tues and weds....gentle type rain, not storms nt msongs Sep 2015 #5
There is a fifty fifty (yes, no, maybe) chance. So make it of what you want... mrdmk Sep 2015 #6
Right neighborly of you, steve2470 ailsagirl Sep 2015 #8
Even if the best case el nino happens Lordquinton Sep 2015 #9
 

KamaAina

(78,249 posts)
1. Not yet. The rainy season doesn't start until next month.
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 01:18 PM
Sep 2015

We were broiling in the 90s all week, unheard-of along the coast.

Galileo126

(2,016 posts)
2. Still waiting for the "rainy season"
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 01:24 PM
Sep 2015

Which is practically non-existent Steve-o. We might get a few drops on Mon-Tues, but I'm not holding my breath for the El Nino forecast re: the winter season.

steve2470

(37,457 posts)
3. I hope you get nice gentle rain all winter
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 01:26 PM
Sep 2015

As you know, the really heavy rain mostly runs off into the creeks and rivers, then out to the ocean eventually unless it gets caught in a lake.

Mr.Bill

(24,214 posts)
7. But heavy rain makes heavy snowfall
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 04:37 PM
Sep 2015

in the higher elevations, which is where California "stores" much of it's water until spring.

Heavy rainfall does cause other problems in the lower elevations, such as mudslides. Especially in areas that have burned. And there's no shortage of burned areas this year.

So heavy rain has it plusses and minuses.

mrdmk

(2,943 posts)
6. There is a fifty fifty (yes, no, maybe) chance. So make it of what you want...
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 03:33 PM
Sep 2015

Some weather experts are predicting heavy rainfall this year in California, thanks to an El Niño that many hope will put an end to the historic drought.

This is the Godzilla EL Niño if it matures and comes to fruition,” Bill Patzert, a climatologist with NASA’s Jet Propulsion Lab, told NBC News last week.

A recent statement released by California’s state climatologist Michael Anderson sings a different tune.

“California cannot count on potential El Niño conditions to halt or reverse drought conditions,” he wrote. “Historical weather data shows us that at best, there is a 50/50 chance of having a wetter winter.”

So just how likely is it that this year’s El Niño will put an end to the drought?

Not very likely, experts told NBC Bay Area.

link: http://www.nbcbayarea.com/news/El-Nino-Unlikely-to-Solve-California-Drought-322346722.html

note: There is a video at the link


ailsagirl

(22,868 posts)
8. Right neighborly of you, steve2470
Sat Sep 12, 2015, 11:32 PM
Sep 2015

It's all uncertain. It's hell not knowing but I'm trying not to panic and keep a good thought.
There's really no alternative. Fingers crossed!!


Lordquinton

(7,886 posts)
9. Even if the best case el nino happens
Sun Sep 13, 2015, 03:23 AM
Sep 2015

We're still a long way from the drought ending. And even if we get record snow the earth is warmer than it used to be and the snowpack will melt faster.

Thank you for the kind words, optimism is in short supply.

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