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progree

(10,901 posts)
Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:19 PM Oct 2022

(Minnesota) The D's are behind in 3 of the 4 statewide races in this poll

POLL: Scott Jensen Leads Tim Walz, Keith Ellison Trails Jim Schultz, Patch, 10/21/22

The poll was commissioned by the conservative website Alpha News and conducted by the Trafalgar Group. Jensen leads Walz by about a half percentage point. Trafalgar Group has an A- grade from Nate Silver's nonpartisan analytics website, FiveThirtyEight.

The survey also found that Democratic Attorney General Keith Ellison is trailing his Republican challenger, Jim Schultz, by about 5 percentage points.

Meanwhile, Republican Kim Crockett is down just two percentage points from her opponent, Democratic Secretary of State Steve Simon, according to the poll.

The survey also found that Democratic state auditor Julie Blaha is trailing her Republican challenger, Ryan Wilson, by about 4 percentage points.

Polls conducted back in the summer showed all statewide Democrats with sizeable leads. However, polls conducted in the past month now show that Minnesota Republicans could be on the verge of winning their first statewide race since 2006.
MORE: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-scott-jensen-leads-tim-walz-keith-ellison-trails-jim-schultz/ar-AA13eoek


So summarizing the above:
Governor: R: +0.5
Attorney General: R: +5
Secretary of State: R: -2
State Auditor: R: +4

Frightening to see in Minnesota, especially considering the R's are all extreme nut cases. These aren't Arne Carlson Republicans.

Here is fivethirtyeight on the Governor's race:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/governor/minnesota/

Certainly Walz(D) being behind is an outlier in the polls shown at the above link.
I don't know if FiveThirtyEight covers the other races above.
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(Minnesota) The D's are behind in 3 of the 4 statewide races in this poll (Original Post) progree Oct 2022 OP
Were they all male polls? pwb Oct 2022 #1
Minnesota voters support GOP helping Putin crush Ukraine? blm Oct 2022 #2
Russia had annex polling for 4 occupied regions in Ukraine..... Lovie777 Oct 2022 #3
Lol DarthDem Oct 2022 #4
Too depressing. question everything Oct 2022 #5
538 is showing Walz up by 8 pts as of yesterday. dflprincess Oct 2022 #6
Ha ha ha, Kick progree Nov 2022 #7

blm

(113,047 posts)
2. Minnesota voters support GOP helping Putin crush Ukraine?
Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:26 PM
Oct 2022

Putin’s Last Hope to Win in Ukraine Is a GOP Victory in November
VLAD’S ALLIES

Just when Russia on the ropes, Republican leaders are already signaling they’ll cut aid to Ukraine if they win control of Congress.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/putins-last-hope-to-win-in-ukraine-is-a-gop-victory-in-november

Lovie777

(12,237 posts)
3. Russia had annex polling for 4 occupied regions in Ukraine.....
Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:28 PM
Oct 2022

all four regions % were above 90% to leave Ukraine and join Russia. Think of the above poll like that one.

DarthDem

(5,255 posts)
4. Lol
Fri Oct 21, 2022, 06:31 PM
Oct 2022

Trafalgar is an arm of the Goopers. It posts phony polls like these to drive media attention and create a narrative in the hopes of actualizing it.

question everything

(47,472 posts)
5. Too depressing.
Fri Oct 21, 2022, 09:37 PM
Oct 2022

On PBS NewsHour, David Brooks and Ruth Marcus acknowledged that the R will win both the House and the Senate, also some governorships but, Marcus said, not by a lot.

And this is supposed to offer comfort?

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