Probable Lamb vs Rothfus in new PA-17

[DeminPennswoods]

Last edited Wed Mar 14, 2018, 06:31 PM - Edit history (1)

After last night and assuming the new CD map stays in place, Keith Rothfus is toast in the new 17th (old CD 12). Lamb's home will be in the new 17th and I will bet Rothfus loses to him by 10 pts.

I feel a little bad for the Dems who stepped up to challege Rothfus before the new map was drawn, but I'm thinking they'll all step aside for Lamb in the primary, again assuming Lamb gets his petitions in order to be on the primary ballot.

[John1956PA]

1. I am in the current gerrymandered PA Congressional Dist. 12 where Rothfus toes the RW line.

Last edited Wed Mar 14, 2018, 08:28 AM - Edit history (1)

I will not be sorry to see Rothfus redistricted out of Congress.

[DeminPennswoods]

2. I'm in the western end of the 12th

and will be the new 17th. It will be nice to be able to go to the polls and know my vote will count for something more than token opposition.

[bearsfootball516]

3. I've read that in Lamb's new district, he'll be about an 8-point favorite to start.

Should allow him a little easier of a time.

[DeminPennswoods]

4. Wouldn't surprise me

He's a good fit in the new 17th, too. Beaver County is culturally conservative, but economically liberal so he should do well here and also in his base of northern and western Allegheney County.

[femmocrat]

5. Unfortunately, the 18th is going to lose Lamb.

When we become the new 14th, we could end up with Saccone. He has indicated that he will run again.

Does anyone know if we have to pick candidates in May for the general? Or does Lamb get a bye? Thanks.

[DeminPennswoods]

6. Lamb and Saccone will have to run in May primaries

They both have to submit nominating petitions with 1000 valid signatures from voters in the district in which they wish to run by 3/20, that's next Tuesday, or they won't be on the ballot.

This morning on MSNBC, Vaughn Hillyard reported that Saccone is planning to run in the new 14th even though he doesn't live in it. Cue the "carpetbagger" ads.

[DeminPennswoods]

7. Lamb will be seeking the endorsement of Beaver Co Dems

next week as he begins to lay the groundwork for running in the new 17th CD against incumbent Keith Rothfus.

http://www.timesonline.com/news/20180314/us-rep-elect-conor-lamb-in-primary-race-to-challenge-rep-keith-rothfus

[Mc Mike]

8. Doothfus really is a squirrly teabagger.

I'd love to see them debate.

[DeminPennswoods]

9. Are you kidding?

Rothfus won't even hold in person townhall meetings with his constituents, few, if any, who are as formidable adversaries as Lamb will be.

[Mc Mike]

10. The optics alone would be JFK vs RMN, all over again. X 5. nt

[DeminPennswoods]

11. Lamb won the endorsement of the Beaver Co Dem Party

last evening in an overwhelming vote vs Beth Tarasi and Ray Lisenmayer.

Lamb apparently has settled on running as an "FDR Democrat" which I think is a pretty good plan.

[DeminPennswoods]

12. Tarasi dropped out and endorsed Lamb

Looks like Lamb will have only one primary opponent, Ray Lisenmayer, now. All the other candidates have dropped their primary challenges and endorsed Lamb.

[femmocrat]

15. Lisenmayer also endorsed Lamb this week. Good move.

http://www.politicspa.com/linsenmayer-drops-out-of-pa-17-primary-endorses-lamb/87229/

[DeminPennswoods]

13. Just got polled

Just got a robo-poll from an outfit called Central Market Research on Lamb vs Rothfus. I guess it's the new, more competitive 17th since I never worried about being polled in the old gerry-mandered 12th. Seemed like a fair poll, not a push-poll, as it was hard to figure out which party/candidate commissioned it.

[DeminPennswoods]

14. Rothfus' district director quits after DUI

http://www.timesonline.com/news/20180412/rothfus-district-director-resigns-amid-drunken-driving-charge

Weidener last was spokesmen for the Beaver county commissioners before being fired from that gig.