October F and M (formerly Keystone) Poll

[DeminPennswoods]

The latest FandM Poll is out, covering 10/22-10/28 which includes only the day of and day after the synagogue shooting (10/27-28).

Link: https://www.fandm.edu/uploads/files/499165642819184003-f-m-poll-release-october-2018-draft-1.pdf

Snippets: Trump at 36% approval (strongly-25+somewhat-11) overall (77%R, 8%D, 16%I), 61% disapprove (somewhat -6+strongly-55%)
US Right Track: 35%
Better off than a year ago: 28%
Generic congressional: D 53%, R 38%
Dems are voting as a block: Wolf -83%, Casey -83&, US House Rep -87%
Rs not so much: Wagner -63%, Barletta - 68%, House -76%

Horse race:
Wolf 59
Wagner 33
Undecided 5

Casey 50
Barletta 35
Undecided 14

[beachbum bob]

1. Expect big gains in Pennsylvania for democrats

[DeminPennswoods]

2. Hope so

The poll memo discusses turnout. If they use voting history, it's about even Ds (43)and Rs (42), but if they use "intention to vote" and "self-described interest", then Ds are at 50% and Rs at 40%.

[beachbum bob]

4. All data we see in special elections and now early voting, democrats

are motivated way more than republicans. Women, younger voters, blacks and Hispanics if they all come out and vote, we will have a historic election. Early voting data where these demographics can be seen are indicative of this to be the case. GOTV efforts by democrats on Nov 6th must be massive.


Our future is at stake, for real.

[meow2u3]

3. Thanks in part to PASC "degerrymandering" Congressional districts

Thanks also in part to everyday Pennsylvanians being sick and tired of repuke extremism and utter amorality.

[FakeNoose]

5. Not only are we sick & tired of Cheeto

... we're also disgusted with our fellow Pennsylvanians who are still wearing the red hats.
What's wrong with them? I don't know but it's scary and stupid.