PA-1 Fitzpatrick(R-Inc) 47, Wallace(D) 46

[DeminPennswoods]

This is from a NYT/Sienna "live poll" 10/26-10/29 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-pa01-3.html

Story: http://www.politicspa.com/pa1-new-york-times-siena-college-poll-fitzpatrick-47-wallace-46/89361/

[Sherman A1]

1. Hopefully Wallace

Will take it.

[DeminPennswoods]

2. The Fitzpatricks have been in BucksCo politics

for a long time and are well-known. I think if Wallace were to win, it would be in a squeaker. It will be interesting to see how upper(northern) Bucks county votes. It's a country club Republican kind of area where people would agree with tax cuts and business-friendly policies, but who are likely appalled by Trump's crassness.

Bensalem in lower(southern) Bucks is the opposite. It's full of white, working class people, many of whom moved there from the white working class areas of Philadelphia once the demographics started to change.

In the middle you have the creative community around Washington's Crossing and Lambertville.

[Freddie]

4. Upper Bucks is very mixed

Some posh areas and some “medium” like mine (Quakertown). Me and all the family will be voting for Wallace today.

[beachbum bob]

3. goes to GOTV, if we all vote, we win and win BIG