Corbett will win by "demotivating" voter turnout, says leaked internal campaign analysis

[JPZenger]

http://www.politicspa.com/pa-gov-internal-memo-corbett-down-7-points/60034/

The analysis says that:

"The campaign needs to focus on increasing favorability or demotivating oppositional turnout in the following counties: Philadelphia (trailing by 72) Montgomery (trailing by 28), Lackawanna (trailing by 26), Bucks (trailing by 20), Northampton (trailing by 13), Chester (trailing by 12), Luzerne (trailing by 12), Allegheny (trailing by 10), and Fayette (trailing by 8).”

"Demotivating oppositional turnout." That means filling the airwaves with so much irritating and repetitive crap that people get turned off by the whole process and refuse to show up to vote.

In particular, Corbett needs to get voters in Philadelphia to stay home, because his unfavorables are in the toilet there.

So far, the Wolf campaign has fought this strategy by sticking with a positive message and quickly responding to deceitful attack ads.



---
Actually, Corbett's strategy is now to go around and put up "demotivational" posters outside every urban polling place.

[JPZenger]

1. Corbett's TV ad barrage is increasing Corbett's negatives

http://www.politicspa.com/pa-gov-fm-poll-wolf-49-corbett-24/60047/

"Meanwhile, 61% believe the state is “off on the wrong track.”

These results are particularly devastating for the Corbett-Cawley camp because they come after a period in which the Republican nominee unleashed far more ads than his opponent. They don’t seem to have done the Gov any good, in fact they may have been harmful.

F&M found 82% of respondents had seen a commercial for both candidates. They asked these people what the viewer recalled most from those ads. For Corbett’s spots, 27% remembered the negative tone."

[Demit]

2. This will help motivate women, I hope—

The guy really does have foot-in-mouth disease.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/tom-corbett-liquor-laws-women

[Fred Sanders]

3. An ad campaign pointing out how Corbett wants folks not to vote may anger them enough to vote?

Wrap it up in a flag and Bible and patriotism, because there is nothing more precious, even if 60% of folks vote not to vote.

Folks do not get it about their vote. How will they ever get it if they do not make the connection between their single vote and their personal well being?

[malthaussen]

4. Pretty much the template for the GOP everywhere.

High voter turnout will kill them, so they need to do whatever they can to suppress the vote.

-- Mal

[JPZenger]

5. Because Dems stayed home in 2010, Corbett was elected and Repubs ran up big nos. in legislature

http://articles.philly.com/2014-04-17/news/49188446_1_youth-vote-new-voters-corbett

Over a million PA Dems and independents who voted in Presidential elections stayed home in the 2010 election. That not only elected Corbett, but also allowed Repubs to run up big numbers in the State House and State Senate.

That in turn allowed Repubs to gerrymander the hell out of the US House, State House and State Senate districts. As a result, in 2012, a majority of Pennsylvanians voted for Democrats for the US House, but Repubs won almost all of the seats. The Repubs ghettoized all of the minorities and Dems into only a few US House districts, so they could have majorities everywhere else.

[riqster]

6. It works for them in off-year and midterm elections.

Which is why we have to GOTV. Not just here, but everywhere.

[Treant]

7. Won't Work On Me

At this point, I will crawl on broken glass to vote against Corbett.

Since I'm in Northampton County, that may be the next strategy used to keep us from the polls (Corbett -13). I'll go buy steel kneepads.

[LynneSin]

8. Corbett would have never been elected if this election was during a presidential year

The lies he is spreading about Wolf are just beyond bad and he keeps telling them even after overwhelming facts show that they are lies. THe biggest one is about Tom Wolf (The Democrat candidate) moving his business to Delaware to save on taxes. Wolf never used his business to Delaware. However he had sold a business to another group and that group then moved it to Delaware.

[JPZenger]

10. Most corporations incorporate in Delaware

Yes, while Wolf had tried to retire from the company and sold the controlling interest, the new owners re-incorporated in Delaware. Then those guys were running the company into the ground, and Wolf and his relatives had to buy back the company and re-take control of the management in order to save hundreds of jobs.

It is standard operating procedure for major corporations to incorporate in Delaware, because of business-friendly courts and other corporate regulations. However, that has nothing to do with whether a corporation is paying its fair share of PA. taxes on PA. profits. The Delaware Loophole is a completely different issue, in which corporations find tricks to hide their profits from PA. taxes. The legislature made a half-hearted effort to close the loophole last year, after allowing it to cost PA. hundreds of millions of dollars for many years.

The Wolf Co. HQ is still in York County.

[Number9Dream]

9. In the 15th Congressional district, Democratic Party leaders also demotivating turnout

In November, I will be voting for Tom Wolf against Tom Corbett, as well as any other Democrats running for whatever. My Congressman is Republican, Charlie Dent. This year, he will be running unopposed by any Democratic opponents. Democrats in the 15th district would love to vote for any Democratic candidate against Charlie Dent, but the Democratic Party can't come up with a single candidate to run against Dent. This isn't exactly motivating turnout. (BTW - Dent is not the moderate the media makes him out to be).

[JPZenger]

11. Here's another demotivational poster Corbett wants to put up outside city polling places