Election forecaster changes prediction in race between Joe Cunningham and Nancy Mace
COLUMBIA, S.C. -- The tight presidential race between President Donald Trump and Democratic nominee Joe Biden may be having a significant down-ballot impact on congressional races, including South Carolina’s highly-competitive coastal race, according to a new forecast of the race.
On Thursday, Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics shifted the state’s 1st District congressional race between incumbent Democratic Rep. Joe Cunningham and Republican state Rep. Nancy Mace to “lean Democratic” from “toss up” — one of 14 U.S. House rating changes Crystal Ball made. Ten of the rating shifts favor Democrats while four favor Republicans.
Another election forecaster, Cook Political Report, still lists the 1st District race as a “toss up.”
Sabato’s Crystal Ball says the shift in ratings this year may speak to the fact that despite a charged presidential contest, voters may not necessarily cast ballots along party lines, setting up wins for parties who stand opposite of the presidential candidate who win that district.
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