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TexasTowelie

(111,829 posts)
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 03:33 AM Mar 2014

Texas Voter ID laws affect significantly more Democrats than Republicans

Based upon data from the Secretary of State's Website and using ballots cast in the U. S. Senate race in both primaries, it appears that Voter ID laws are disproportionally affecting Democrats compared to Republicans.

For the Republican primary, there were 1,515 provisional ballots out of the 1,265,988 ballots cast which is 0.12%. Meanwhile, in the Democratic primary there were 2,738 provisional ballots out of the 490,813 ballots cast which is 0.56%. Or in other words, Democrats are nearly five times as likely to have their ballots marked as provisional than Republicans.

While there are other reasons for marking a ballot as provisional besides the recently implemented voter ID laws, the disparity between the two parties does appear statistically significant.

Raw data from:
Republican primary
https://team1.sos.state.tx.us/enr/results/mar04_169_state.htm?x=0&y=0&id=795
Democrat primary
https://team1.sos.state.tx.us/enr/results/mar04_170_state.htm?x=0&y=0&id=733

Overall turnout for the 2014 Democratic U. S. Senate primary election was nearly the same as in 2012 when the Democrats nominated Paul Sadler at about half a million votes cast. Considering the horrible weather that impacted most of the state, it was remarkable that we were even in the ballpark as 2012.

The Democratic primary for governor drew slightly more than 530,000 Democratic voters compared to 1.31 million voters in the GOP primary.

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Texas Voter ID laws affect significantly more Democrats than Republicans (Original Post) TexasTowelie Mar 2014 OP
Revised numbers: TexasTowelie Mar 2014 #1
In Travis county, everyone who voted after 7 voted provisionally. Melissa G Mar 2014 #2
Can someone explain the provisional voting experience? DhhD Mar 2014 #3

Melissa G

(10,170 posts)
2. In Travis county, everyone who voted after 7 voted provisionally.
Wed Mar 5, 2014, 10:02 AM
Mar 2014

This is a significant variable that might be skewing the numbers. Polls opened late due to weather. I had no idea that voting after 7 would automatically kick me to a provisional ballot when I went in.

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