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Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,922 posts)
Sat Sep 3, 2022, 09:07 PM Sep 2022

Poll: Very close Washington US Senate race as Patty Murray leads Tiffany Smiley

The general election is not far away and in the Washington U.S. Senate race, a poll conducted by the Trafalgar Group — a nationally recognized polling and marketing company based in Atlanta — shows incumbent Sen. Patty Murray (D) leading Tiffany Smiley (R) by fewer than 3 percentage points.

If the election occurred now, 49.2% of those who participated in the poll would vote for Murray, while 46.3% said they would vote for Smiley. Those who were undecided comprised 4.5%.

When it came to party participation, there were 44.2% of Democrats, 33.2% of Republicans and 22.4% of the poll participants who were either a part of another party or none at all.

According to age participation, those between the ages of 45-64 represented the highest number of voters at 34.8%, while those between 18 to 24 years of age comprised 7%, making them the less likely group to vote.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/poll-very-close-washington-us-061809308.html

Color me skeptical. I'm decidedly unimpressed with Tiffany Smiley. She's never held an elected office. We've seen with Trump how well a political outsider does.

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Poll: Very close Washington US Senate race as Patty Murray leads Tiffany Smiley (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Sep 2022 OP
The link does not mention multigraincracker Sep 2022 #1
Compare other polls, huge variations. They list the worse one on the list. multigraincracker Sep 2022 #2
Something really wrong with that Trafalgar poll VMA131Marine Sep 2022 #3
Trafalgor is one of the most rt leaning polls there is! PortTack Sep 2022 #4
Yeah right.. BWdem4life Sep 2022 #5

VMA131Marine

(4,138 posts)
3. Something really wrong with that Trafalgar poll
Sat Sep 3, 2022, 10:01 PM
Sep 2022

It shows races much closer than most other polling results. I’d guess they have a bogus likely voter model.

PortTack

(32,755 posts)
4. Trafalgor is one of the most rt leaning polls there is!
Sat Sep 3, 2022, 10:21 PM
Sep 2022

And yes, I know they have an a- rating on 538. Their rating was changed from c- to this sometime around the last election, yet no change in polling methodology or ownership. 538 has not even been close for the last 3 election cycles.

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