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undeterred

(34,658 posts)
Fri Aug 10, 2012, 07:29 PM Aug 2012

Which Republican should we vote for in the primary?

Poll reveals Wisconsin GOP Senate primary a toss-up

A new poll just five days out from the Wisconsin Republican Senate primary offers little insight into the final results, as it gives the leading three candidates a near-three-way tie.

Businessman Eric Hovde barely leads the pack, with 27 percent support in the survey from Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm. Former Wisconsin Gov. Tommy Thompson (R) comes in close behind at 25 percent support, and former Rep. Mark Neumann (R-Wis.) polls at 24 percent support. Slightly further behind is Wisconsin State Assembly Speaker Jeff Fitzgerald, who snags 9 percent of the vote.

The results are largely unchanged from PPP's last poll a week ago, indicating voters have essentially made up their minds and at this point the race will come down to turnout. Which is why it's significant that Hovde has a large lead among voters who are "very excited" to cast their ballots — he brings in 37 percent of those voters, compared to 20 percent for Fitzgerald, 10 percent for Neumann and 17 percent for Thompson.

But Neumann, who benefits from some name recognition, leads with women, evangelical voters, and is tied with Thompson for the lead with seniors — and the last two voting blocs tend to play a pivotal role in GOP primaries. The primary is on Aug. 14. The poll, of 557 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted from Aug. 8-9 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.2 percent.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/243067-poll-reveals-wisconsin-gop-senate-primary-a-tossup

We could help elect Tammy Baldwin by voting in the Republican primary.


9 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Time expired
Eric Hovde
4 (44%)
Jeff Fitzgerald
0 (0%)
Tommy Thompson
5 (56%)
Marc Neumann
0 (0%)
I like to vote
0 (0%)
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Disclaimer: This is an Internet poll
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russspeakeasy

(6,539 posts)
1. I would say tommy, because I don't think he can win the general.
Fri Aug 10, 2012, 07:34 PM
Aug 2012

Does tommy's mistress still live in wisconsin dells, or has he/she moved on ?

Poiuyt

(18,122 posts)
2. I saw a poll with head to head matchups for the repub candidates against Baldwin
Sat Aug 11, 2012, 07:13 PM
Aug 2012

Thompson was either ahead or tied (depending on which poll), while Baldwin could beat the other three. Of course, Thompson was best of the group because of name recognition; I'm not sure how he'd stand up to current scrutiny.

ewagner

(18,964 posts)
3. For some reason....
Sun Aug 12, 2012, 08:47 AM
Aug 2012

the Repubs I talk to have a "reagan-like" reverence for Tommy....they look at his terms of office as Wisconsin's "golden years"...I'd be more worried about Tommy just for that reason.


Hovde has lots of wonderful baggage.

undeterred

(34,658 posts)
4. Remember that he was plucked from the Governors office to be a member of the Bush cabinet.
Sun Aug 12, 2012, 04:10 PM
Aug 2012

We're lucky he's not running for president. He would be a lot easier to sell than Romney.

sybylla

(8,506 posts)
6. But he looks drunk in his ads and his tenure with the HHS stunk
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 09:54 AM
Aug 2012

Big albatrosses to hang around his neck there.

 

Scuba

(53,475 posts)
5. Remember you cannot vote for both Republicans and Democrats in the Wisconsin primary....
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 07:03 AM
Aug 2012

... so if you have a Democratic candidate that needs your support you will not be able to vote for him/her and one of the Republican Senate candidates.

Example, here in State Senate District 20, Tanya Lohr is our Democratic candidate, but we expect the Republicans to try some tricky stuff, perhaps writing in a fake Democratic. If Tanya were to lose, we'd have a choice between Glen Grothmann and the "fake".

If you can, I recommend a vote for Tommy tomorrow. He's got major baggage. So does Hovde, but Hovde also has a billion dollars to drown out the truth.

sybylla

(8,506 posts)
7. Hovde has issues with the base, but he has a gazillion dollars to buy the seat with.
Mon Aug 13, 2012, 09:56 AM
Aug 2012

We don't need another Johnson in the US Senate.

I think Thompson is more beatable than Hovde, mainly because no one has been successful in painting Hovde as anything other than what he says he is. There's not much time left for Baldwin to do so either.

dembotoz

(16,799 posts)
8. boy i don't wanna run against thompson--way too many warm fuzzys
Tue Aug 14, 2012, 09:18 AM
Aug 2012

he WAS unbeatable as gov
great name rocognition
seen as middle of the road by independents and the unaware
a non radical safe choice

yes he has baggage but he has always had baggage
too much teflon, way too much teflon
media loves him
was gov "when times were good"
was long thought to have someone on the side but the media NEvER showed any interest.

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
11. The problem is with voting Hovde is, in a worst case scenario that he actually won, that would be
Tue Aug 14, 2012, 01:43 PM
Aug 2012

hard to live with. Thompson seems much more moderate to me (work not welfare excepted). He would be less scary to me.

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