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Ken Burch

(50,254 posts)
Fri May 8, 2015, 12:54 AM May 2015

My condolences to any Labour supporters posting here tonight.

You deserved a better campaign from your party, and a better program to fight it on. I know you must all be massively depressed at this hour.

It wasn't your fault...it was all in the failings of your leaders, as it always is in any lost election.

Tomorrow, the struggle goes on. Don't give up.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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My condolences to any Labour supporters posting here tonight. (Original Post) Ken Burch May 2015 OP
This message was self-deleted by its author marym625 May 2015 #1
Just realized what group this is marym625 May 2015 #2
exit polls dead on again MattP May 2015 #3
1992 2.0 Dawson Leery May 2015 #4
Trouble is.... T_i_B May 2015 #5
Watching the returns today I remembered this short video of Ed campaigning. pa28 May 2015 #6
What a hopeless, horrible mess LeftishBrit May 2015 #7
What struck me was that Labour slightly *increased* its share of the popular vote. Jim Lane May 2015 #8
The Conservative popular vote is the same as in 2010 and the same as in.... LeftishBrit May 2015 #9
Thanks, I meant to mention that. Jim Lane May 2015 #11
because they lost their dominant position in Scotland muriel_volestrangler May 2015 #10

Response to Ken Burch (Original post)

MattP

(3,304 posts)
3. exit polls dead on again
Fri May 8, 2015, 01:01 AM
May 2015

Its funny the only time exit polls dont seem to work is when our electronic voting gets involved

T_i_B

(14,736 posts)
5. Trouble is....
Fri May 8, 2015, 01:05 AM
May 2015

Last edited Fri May 8, 2015, 02:21 AM - Edit history (1)

....I've been angry with Labour since 2002 at least, and in that time the party has drifted along complacently. And now Labour is facing pressure on all sides, with a lacklustre, uninspiring platform, trying to appeal to voters on the basis that they are marginally less repellent then the Conservatives.

pa28

(6,145 posts)
6. Watching the returns today I remembered this short video of Ed campaigning.
Fri May 8, 2015, 01:17 AM
May 2015

You can begin to understand why Scotland deserted Labour as bloc. Also why apathy and cynicism won the day.

http://order-order.com/2015/02/19/awkward-ed-meets-a-voter/

Ed looks like he'd rather be getting a root canal than speaking with or listening to this voter.

LeftishBrit

(41,203 posts)
7. What a hopeless, horrible mess
Fri May 8, 2015, 03:58 AM
May 2015

A lot of this is due to the SNP doing so well in Scotland, and to the LD vote in England being apparently replaced by UKIP, to the extent that they harmed Labour at least as much as the Tories.

The Labour campaign was not inspiring, but I think one of the main issues is that the right-wing press were successful in the fear campaigns. As they so often are. Another 1992 when 'it was the Sun (and the Hate--Mail and even the Times and Torygraph) wot won it'. Ed Miliband's big mistake was IMO ruling out a deal with the SNP so explicitly; this was doubtless him running scared from the right-wing hate-press, but it didn't stop them, and it made the Labour losses in Scotland still worse.

I am in despair really, and see no way forward. If I were younger and healthier and more mobile, I'd be considering emigration; though apart from all other considerations, most other countries seem to have even worse governments at the moment!

I mostly got the results on the Internet rather than on TV as I would NOT have been able to stand a night of watching Michael Gove strutting around gloating.




 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
8. What struck me was that Labour slightly *increased* its share of the popular vote.
Fri May 8, 2015, 02:25 PM
May 2015

It still translated into a Parliamentary rout and Cameron continuing in office, in fact with a Conservative majority and no need for coalition.

I'm sure Labour will bounce back, but is there any future for the Lib Dems?

LeftishBrit

(41,203 posts)
9. The Conservative popular vote is the same as in 2010 and the same as in....
Fri May 8, 2015, 04:29 PM
May 2015

1945.

That year was one of the worst Tory debacles ever, yet their 36% of the vote was no better than the current vote. The difference is that the opposition was divided: last time mainly with the LibDems; now with the SNP (and unfortunately UKIP).

 

Jim Lane

(11,175 posts)
11. Thanks, I meant to mention that.
Fri May 8, 2015, 05:01 PM
May 2015

Both major parties registered tiny popular-vote gains: 1.4 percentage points for Labour and 0.8 percentage points for the Conservatives. The big gainers, as you say, were UKIP, up by 9.5 percentage points, and the SNP, up by 4.7 percentage points (obviously a much higher percentage gain in the seats they actually contested as opposed to nationwide).

UKIP polled in the same ballpark as did George Wallace in the 1968 Presidential election -- not the only similarity between the two.

muriel_volestrangler

(101,271 posts)
10. because they lost their dominant position in Scotland
Fri May 8, 2015, 04:32 PM
May 2015

In 2010, they had 42.0% of the vote there, and 41 out of 59 seats. Now, it's 24.3%, and 1 seat. It is pretty unusual to do that badly with about a quarter of the vote, even in a first past the post system.

In England and Wales , they went from about 28.6% of the vote and 217 out of 573 seats to about 31.9% of the vote and 231 seats, which looks more proportionate.

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