The minimum number of US Senate seats the Democrats will have after 2022 is 50.

[nkpolitics1212]

Democrats are favored to win
37)VT(Leahy-D)
38)HI(Schatz-D)
39)NY(Schumer-D)
40)CA(Padilla-D)
41)MD(Van Hollen-D)
42)CT(Blumenthal-D)
43)OR(Wyden-D)
44)WA(Murray-D)
45)IL(Duckworth-D)
46)CO(Bennet-D)
47)NV(Cortez Masto-D)
48)AZ(Kelly-D)
49)GA(Warnock-D) avoids the 12/2022 general election runoff.
50)PA(Fetterman-D or Lamb-D)
If Johnson(R-WI) and Sununu(R-NH) don’t run.
51)WI(Barnes-D or Godlewski-D) vs Johnson-R
52)NH(Hassan-D) vs Sununu-R
If 2022 is a strong Democratic wave election year.
53)NC(Beasley-D or Jackson-D)
54)OH(Ryan-D)
55)FL(Demings-D)

[pamdb]

1. seats

Well crap, that's what we have now.