Democratic US Senators King-ME,Cardin-MD,and Sanders-VT will be

[nkpolitics1212]

over 80 years old in 2024. If they decide to retire, Their sucessor will be
ME- Chellie or Hannah Pingree,Gideon,or Golden. Golden is better off waiting until 2026 to go after Collins-R
MD-John Sarbanes-D or Jamie Raskin-D
VT- TJ Donovan-D or Molly Gray-D.

US Senators in there late 70’s will be
Carper-DE,Hirono-HI,Warren-MA,and Manchin-WV.
Hirono-HI,Warren-MA,and Manchin-WV will run for re-election. Carper-DE retires.
DE- Lisa Blunt Rochester-D.

Feinstein-CA gets replaced by Katie Porter-D.
Sinema-AZ loses in the primary to Gallego-D. The question is how Gallego does in the General Election.

Purple/red state US Senators that will win re-election are
Klobuchar-MN
Casey-PA
Baldwin-WI
Stabenow-MI
Rosen-NV
Brown-OH

Red state Democratic US Senators Tester-MT and Manchin-WV has a 50 percent chance of getting re-Election.

[Deep State Witch]

1. MD's Dem Bench is Deep

While I would love Jamie Raskin to move up, and he certainly has the profile for it, Maryland's Democratic Bench is pretty deep. Anthony Brown (PG County) and Dutch Ruppersberger (Baltimore County) are also very capable Congresspeople. You also have progressives like Kweisi Mfune and Heather Mizeur in the mix as well. Heather is making a good run to unseat Andy Harris (R-Embarrassment). David Trone in Upper MoCo had the bucks to buy himself the Western MD district, but may not have the goodwill to be Senator for the whole state. You also have a wide-open Governor's race in 2022 with a lot of good candidates. The losers may decide to throw in for Senator in 2024.

On the other side, you have Larry Hogan, Michael Steele, and a whole bunch of crazy. If Harris gets unseated in 2022, expect him to go for the Republican nomination for Senator. Hogan is VERY popular in MD, even with Dems, because of his handling of COVID. A big plus for him is that he's LOATHES TFG. He wants to run for President, but he won't get very far because of that. He may decide to throw his hat in for Senator instead.

[nkpolitics1212]

2. John Sarbanes is the front runner due to his father.

Paul Sarbanes served MD for 30 years in the US Senate and was well respected. John Sarbanes runs for the US Senate. Jon Cardin, Ben Cardin’s nephew runs for the US House in MD-3.
Anthony Brown is either going to run for Governor in 2022 or the US Senate in 2024.

A matchup between Anthony Brown-D and Larry Hogan-R will be similar to the 2012 HI US Senate Race between Hirono-D and Lingle-R.
In the 2002 HI Governors Race, Linda Lingle-R narrowly defeated Lt Governor Mazie Hirono-D, Hirono-D the got elected to the US House in 2006. In 2012. Both Hirono-D and Lingle-R ran for the US Senate and Hirono-D won by a landslide margin. I could see a similar situation happening in MD with Brown-D and Hogan-R in 2024. The other Democratic candidates Raskin,Delaney,and Trone are from Western MD. Ruppersberger and Mfume are in their late 70’s. The other candidate I have forgot to mention is Frank Kravitol, former US Representative from MD-1 Eastern MD from 2008 to 2010.