Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumIn 2014 60% of Ca early voted
The pollsters think 2 years later it will go down for the first time since the 70's?
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)Will be close...but sanders and his followers antics over Gov Brown most likely pushed those still on the fence to Hillary....and we can thank them for their service to Hillary
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)The answers rely on two circumstances that were unclear as Mondays deadline for registering to vote came and went. One is how voters are counted in this state. The other is whether those new voters, however large their cohort is, will defy tradition to show up.
Most state and local officials and voting experts believe that there has been a surge in new registrants. Its just that its hard to prove it beyond a doubt. The numbers tend to confuse rather than clarify.
According to data from the office of Secretary of State Alex Padilla, hundreds of thousands of registrations occurred between mid-March and mid-May.
They show an increase of more than 220,000 Democrats, or a nearly 3-percentage-point boost in their numbers, which hit 7.7 million. Republican numbers rose by nearly 70,000, for a 1.45-percentage-point increase and a total of 4.8 million. And the ranks of non-partisan voters which have been the fastest-growing in California for years now actually fell by 20,000 to total 4.1 million, a drop of half a percentage point. None of that appears hugely significant.
TeamPooka
(24,204 posts)MattP
(3,304 posts)Alot of people are going to get caught up in this, alot of people dont read the news and have no idea they had to switch it's stupid independent is the first check mark but it's a wacko party and you can't vote non affiliated sounds alot different
DLCWIdem
(1,580 posts)I heard in mid April about an uptick in registration for the AIP. When I checked the npr site in may I discovered that 73% of AIP members may have been in the wrong party. Since then I know 30,000 have changed regs but I have no idea how many of them were dems or Bernie indies and how many are still left to change.
jimw81
(111 posts)Thats why sanders and his supporters threw that lawsuit because they know its going to be a high percentage but the problem hillary runs into in ca is election day turnout. That's why she headed back to Cali. I wouldn't be surprised if the number mail in ballots are figures is higher than the 18 pnt lead in NBC poll. Plus people forgetting their is a CBS and surveyusa poll to come out.