How does one "exit-poll" early voters?

[NurseJackie]

This thread got me wondering if exit polls have any value at all when a state allows early voting.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1280205499

What do my fellow HILLARY GROUP members think of this?

[Rose Siding]

1. Exit polls are not reliable in most cases.

We do have some data on those who already voted. Hillary is up by 17% according to the respondents in the NBC poll who've already voted by mail-a small subset and no more or less useful than exit polls.

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/738113058199986176

[NurseJackie]

3. They'd only be useful in determining ...

Last edited Thu Jun 2, 2016, 09:31 AM - Edit history (1)

... what motivated people to vote and what issues were most important to specific demographics. But relying on them to 'true-the-vote' or as a way to cast doubt on the outcome will be a failing strategy.

[beachbum bob]

2. I would think the pollster gets a list from precincts of those who requested/turned in ballots

and then call them up

[book_worm]

4. I think since HRC has such a big lead with early voters that Bernie will win

among actual election day voters, so I would take exit polls from California with a grain of salt.

[Gothmog]

5. You can not exit poll early voters

[BootinUp]

6. Data is better than no data, but its easy to misinterpret. nt