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George II

(67,782 posts)
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 10:07 PM Mar 2016

Double checking the upcoming Tuesday primary polls, and holy crap, Sanders is in danger of not....

....getting ANY delegates in Mississippi!

The latest poll (last week) in Mississippi has Clinton leading 65-11 (lots of undecided, though). If he doesn't get up to 15%, Clinton will get ALL of the delegates.

In Michigan Clinton is ahead by 57.8 to 37.8.

29 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Double checking the upcoming Tuesday primary polls, and holy crap, Sanders is in danger of not.... (Original Post) George II Mar 2016 OP
He's likely to exceed 15% in Mississippi given the undecideds but I can see book_worm Mar 2016 #1
Yes, I'm sure he'll get over 15%, it just shocked me that he's at only 11%.... George II Mar 2016 #3
Alabama was 19.2%. yallerdawg Mar 2016 #21
K&R UtahLib Mar 2016 #2
Mississippi not Berning. nt. Nonhlanhla Mar 2016 #4
O_O DemonGoddess Mar 2016 #7
Board win!!!! Loki Mar 2016 #8
DUzy! SunSeeker Mar 2016 #9
. Maru Kitteh Mar 2016 #11
DuZy! Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #19
LOL n/t fleabiscuit Mar 2016 #24
lol lunamagica Mar 2016 #27
This message was self-deleted by its author denverbill Mar 2016 #5
Red states don't count, eh? SunSeeker Mar 2016 #10
So the Democratic Party shouldn't hold primaries in states like Mississippi? Should we just.... George II Mar 2016 #12
My bad. Shouldn't have posted that here. Self-deleted. denverbill Mar 2016 #14
Can't win them all. Thanks for rethinking the location at least. Hekate Mar 2016 #16
I will answer your question then as well. denverbill Mar 2016 #18
You do realize that red state Democrats also send Democratic Reps to the House right? It's not all.. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #20
Red state Democrats send a handful of highly gerrymandered Reps each election. denverbill Mar 2016 #22
It's nice to have a democrat that contributes to the democratic money pool. eom fleabiscuit Mar 2016 #25
So, we agree that red state Democrats are just as important as the rest of the country. Thanks. Tarheel_Dem Mar 2016 #28
Quite all right. Let's continue our conversation....elsewhere. Hekate Mar 2016 #23
In 1968 Wallace ran on the American Independent Party for the white racist vote, and got it. Hekate Mar 2016 #13
K&R! sheshe2 Mar 2016 #6
If they weren't undecided & watched the debate this evening, they are decided now! William769 Mar 2016 #15
Senator Sanders did not do himself any favors tonight, nor did he win any votes in Michigan, either. George II Mar 2016 #17
K&R SharonClark Mar 2016 #26
HIllary's taking Mississippi and Michigan tomorrow for sure Setsuna1972 Mar 2016 #29

book_worm

(15,951 posts)
1. He's likely to exceed 15% in Mississippi given the undecideds but I can see
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 10:11 PM
Mar 2016

it being one of his worse states. Possibly 18-20 percent. As a reference Obama won Mississippi 61-36 in 2008 with the delegate count divided 20-13. It is likely that Bernie will come out of Mississippi with 6 or fewer delegates.

George II

(67,782 posts)
3. Yes, I'm sure he'll get over 15%, it just shocked me that he's at only 11%....
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 10:14 PM
Mar 2016

....(but with about 25+% undecided) just two days before the primary.

But I suspect that anyone in Mississippi who is undecided that's watching this debate so far tonight will think twice before voting for him.

yallerdawg

(16,104 posts)
21. Alabama was 19.2%.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:47 PM
Mar 2016

Undecided in Mississippi most likely means not sure yet if they are going to go vote or not.

Response to George II (Original post)

George II

(67,782 posts)
12. So the Democratic Party shouldn't hold primaries in states like Mississippi? Should we just....
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:07 PM
Mar 2016

....write off the DEMOCRATS in states that don't vote Democratic simply because they're "red states"?

PS, this is the Hillary Clinton Group, thank you.

denverbill

(11,489 posts)
18. I will answer your question then as well.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:34 PM
Mar 2016

You asked whether Democrats should just ignore Mississippi in terms of primaries. I would say this.

Howard Dean pushed the 50 state strategy when he headed the DNC. I support the 50 state strategy. If the DNC does not support the 50 state strategy, the weight of votes given to states should be proportional to the DNC's support of candidates in those states. If the DNC is not going to give equal money to candidates running in Mississippi to attempt to compete there, who gives a damn about winning in Mississippi, because it ain't going to happen.

It's not that Mississippi or Democrats in Mississippi don't matter. It's that without even a modicum of effort by the DNC to try to win there, it's pretty damned ridiculous to treat those votes as important to winning in 2016.

I apologize for posting my original post in the HRC group, but I felt like I owed you an additional reply.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,233 posts)
20. You do realize that red state Democrats also send Democratic Reps to the House right? It's not all..
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:44 PM
Mar 2016

about the presidency. Turning out Democrats in a primary, is never a bad thing. How dare you.

denverbill

(11,489 posts)
22. Red state Democrats send a handful of highly gerrymandered Reps each election.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:53 PM
Mar 2016

Even though Democrats should be winning more and more seats if the DNC ever made a remote attempt to compete in these states.

Indeed how dare I suggest that Democrats attempt to compete in all 50 states instead of just sending money to 'safe' districts. Because god knows the status quo is just fine.

Hekate

(90,645 posts)
13. In 1968 Wallace ran on the American Independent Party for the white racist vote, and got it.
Sun Mar 6, 2016, 11:08 PM
Mar 2016

But thank you for your input.

Nowadays I think the African American vote would be a Democratic Party force to be reckoned with in Mississippi.

Setsuna1972

(332 posts)
29. HIllary's taking Mississippi and Michigan tomorrow for sure
Mon Mar 7, 2016, 03:19 PM
Mar 2016

The only question left how will the angry Bernie supporters insult the voters in those two states

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