What today's primaries in Michigan and Mississippi will mean.

[Fla Dem]

Michigan Primary 147 Delegates.
Proportional distribution of delegates once a 15% threshold has been reached. HRC is leading in the polls (3 of them) by 18%, 24% & 27%. All conducted between 3/3 - 3/7.


Mississippi Primary 41 Delegates

"Mississippi is both a winner-take-all and proportionate state. If a candidate wins over 50 percent of the vote, they will be awarded all of the delegates the state has to offer, thus honoring the state's case-by-case winner-take-all system. However, if no candidate receives more than 50 percent of the vote, the delegates will be awarded proportionately to the percentage of the vote a candidate received. But candidates also have to receive at least 15 percent of the vote to get any delegates at all."

2 Polls available: 2/14 - 2/16 HRC +34 and 2/29 HRC +54.

Current delegate count w/o super delegates:
HRC 672
BS 477

Current delegate count w/super delegates:
HRC 672+458=1130
BS 477+22=499

Total delegates up for grabs today= 188

In order to win the 2016 Democratic presidential nomination, a candidate must win 2,383 delegates at the national convention (this total is current as of March 08, 2016). Currently, there are expected to be 4,765 delegates at the Democratic National Convention

https://ballotpedia.org/2016_presidential_nominations:_calendar_and_delegate_rules

If HRC were to win even 60% (113)of the delegates today her total would be w/Super Delegates 1243 (1130+113)
BS total would be (40% of 188=75) his total w/super delegates would be 574 (499+75)

HRC will have an almost insurmountable lead of 669 delegates.

[yallerdawg]

1. Insurmountable.

Sounds good.

We have an election in November to take care of!

[livetohike]

2. Can't wait for the results tonight!

[NurseJackie]

3. She'll have a PROHIBITIVE lead!! Bernie will NEVER be able to catch up!! The "BIG WINS" that ...

The "BIG WINS" that Bernie needs will never arrive. It won't be enough for him to (barely) win another state or two. He'll need DECISIVE wins in order to catch up. That's simply NOT going to happen, no matter how much his supporters wish it were so.

He's DONE! This campaign will be as good as OVER within the next few days.

He can take it "all the way to the convention" if he wants to, but that won't change reality.

Go, Hillary! We love you!

[Her Sister]

4. The NYT page is set up for today waiting

for results to start coming in later today:

http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results

[MSMITH33156]

5. Tonight's primaries

Mean that Michigan and Mississippi are about to go under the bus.

[shenmue]

6. Go team!

[Chichiri]

7. But superdelegates are undemocratic, and simultaneously don't count!

[otohara]

8. Perhaps During The GOP Convention

when all hell breaks loose the Sanders nay sayers will understand why we have superdelegates or Tad Devine could explain it to them since he helped design the concept for the DNC.

Nah!

[UtahLib]

9. K&R

[George II]

10. Clinton will add something like 50 delegates to her lead tonight and after next Tuesday.....

.....Sanders would have to win in the vicinity of 70% of all remaining delegates AND split the superdelegates (which is already out of reach)

[Rose Siding]

11. Wait. So she just needs 51% of the vote in MS to get all the delegates?

Can that be right?

[Fla Dem]

12. Exactly right! nt