Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumNew Emerson poll out for New York---Hillary leads by 48 points!
I heart NY!
In the Democratic primary, Clinton is ahead of Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders by 48 points, taking 71% of the vote to Sanderss 23%. The former Secretary of State holds a massive advantage in key demographic groups, including men (66% to 29%), women (73% to 20%), African Americans (72% to 22%) and Hispanics (85% to 8%). Younger voters, ages 18-34, favor Sanders, but by a slimmer margin (53% to 40%) than in many primary states. Among all other age groups, Clinton dominates, leading by 45 points (ages 35-54), 50 points (ages 55-74), and 67 points (ages 75+).
Clinton and Sanders have similar favorability numbers with likely Democratic primary voters. Her favorable/unfavorable ratio is 82%/15% (+67); his is 63%/26% (+37). However Clinton garners far more loyalty: 85% of those who view her favorably plan to vote for her in the primary, while only 31% who have a favorable view of Sanders intend to vote for him.
http://www.theecps.com
Treant
(1,968 posts)But doesn't that seem a little...extreme...to anybody else, and as though it might be an outlier? That's a ear-shattering blowout comparable to Mississippi!
I get that it's technically her home state and all, but...wow.
jmowreader
(50,453 posts)Mississippi was Clinton +66.1
Georgia was Clinton +43.1
SC was Clinton +47.2
charlyvi
(6,537 posts)538 gives Emerson a C+ average, so I suppose it could be an outlier. The most recent prior poll, before 3-15, has her up 21. So we'll just have to wait and see!
Princess Turandot
(4,784 posts)historical ratings, unless I somehow just bookmarked an older version. In the polling list on their NY Primary page, http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/, they are giving that poll a weight of 1.08.
Her Sister
(6,444 posts)raring to go!! lol!
fleabiscuit
(4,542 posts)Tarheel_Dem
(31,207 posts)Cha
(295,915 posts)Mahalo charly!
What does mahalo mean exactly? (Sorry)
Cha
(295,915 posts)charlyvi
(6,537 posts)beachbum bob
(10,437 posts)could be more but it won't be 48%...she'll pick way more delegates again