Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumNate Silver: Here's what the map might look like in an election held today.
@NateSilver538
Here's what the map might look like in an election held today. Trump's Rust Belt strength would help him keep MO, IN pic.twitter.com/OYueYvWFpG
hollysmom
(5,946 posts)red ones are the ones on government welfare?
or does it just seem like that to me?
Got to get the people in the red states to be self sufficient and off welfare!
No offense to residents, just a little ranting when I think of how NJ was supposed to be denied disaster money by those very same red state reps after all the times we paid other states when they were hit with disasters.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)To national disasters and the realization of times of needs should be first and foremost. I live in coastal area and Congressional members voted against assistance though we have ask numerous times. How short memories are among those in Congress.
robbedvoter
(28,290 posts)joshcryer
(62,269 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)NC has been really close the last 2 elections (Obama won it 2008).
Obama lost NC by 100k votes in 2012, and the black vote made up 23%.
I didn't see exit polls for GA, but Obama lost that by 300k votes. I assume there is also a larger black vote.
I think the thinking here is demographic changes and percentage changes especially among Latino voters in Hillary's favor would automatically make those closer, and then with Trump turning off at least a portion of the Republican vote (particularly religious voters in GA and NC) that those two flip.
The problem with Texas is the margin. Romney won Texas by 1.3 million. It's just a lot of ground to make up because of Trump. It'll be closer, but flipping it is difficult.
Just on a percentage basis, Obama lost NC by 2%, GA by 8%, and TX by 16%.
katmille
(213 posts)I want Texas to go blue in my lifetime and I'm uhhhh 70-something......