Snopes on Nate Silver predicting outcome of primary (Hillary Group)

[Lisa0825]

I recall seeing multiple posts on DU about Nate predicting Bernie would win. This was in the weekly update email I get from Snopes.com:

Nate Silver Predicted a Bernie Sanders Nomination Win?

If statistician Nate Sanders (Snopes error, not mine) predicted Bernie Sanders would take the Democratic nomination after sweeping eight states, he did so quietly.

Claim: Statistician Nate Silver predicted Bernie Sanders would sweep eight states and win the Democratic nomination.
Status: UNPROVEN

That claim was suspect due to its source (various blogs) and its difference from the way Silver generally presents his analyses, which is to eschew making sweeping declarations and expressing future events as outright certainties in favor of explicating trends and probabilities. The post reproduced above linked to a 15 March 2016 post that Silver published on his FiveThirtyEight blog, published on the day of the Ohio Democratic primary (which Bernie Sanders lost by 42.7% to Hillary Clinton's 56.5%,) In that post, Silver projected that Hillary Clinton was running ahead of Sanders in Arizona's 22 March 2015 primary but pegged the subsequent seven (not eight) states as potential Sanders wins.

That post from Silver didn't claim that Sanders would sweep eight states following the primaries of 15 March 2016, nor did it say that Sanders would definitively — or even probably — seize the Democratic nomination.

[Her Sister]

1. I listen to 538 podcasts regularly

and they've been saying "Sorry BS Supporters but the math doesn't add up" for a while now!. So no, I doubt Nate Silver emailed anything like that. Good one, though, eh!?

[1StrongBlackMan]

2. People hear what they want to hear ...

that used to be an aliberal trait; but, seems to be wholly "DU rogressive".

[Historic NY]

3. Of course the blogger over there has some issues.....