Is there a place on www.FiveThirtyEight.com where...

[LAS14]

.... they explain what goes into their Polls+ numbers? Right now it's Wisconsin 64 for Hillary, 36 for Sanders, while the polls alone is 44 for Hillary and 56 for Sanders.

I'm glad 538 is visited only by junkies, because I'd really fear another Michigan if everyone believed the polls+ estimate.

[Her Sister]

2. I like to listen to their podcasts ~538 podcasts

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/elections-podcast-momentum-and-misogyny/?ex_cid=navlink

The last one they discuss the idea of momentum:

Elections Podcast: Momentum And Misogyny
FIVETHIRTYEIGHT

Our elections podcast crew discusses whether “momentum” is real and whether Bernie Sanders has it coming off of his wins in Hawaii, Alaska and Washington. Plus, how much will Donald Trump’s record of sexism on and off the campaign trail hurt him with voters if he reaches the general election in November?

They explain their views in these podcasts. Interesting.

You can also subscribe via iTunes.

[LAS14]

4. Thanks. Could I get a little tech support?

Actually, not support, just curiosity. What does it mean that ESPN is the "provider?" I've not used ITunes before that I can remember, and assume it's on my desktop because of grandchildren....

https //www.dropbox.com/*s/284lqgorklaw6i5/*Capture.PNG?dl=0

Also, I tried to include a capture.png of what I saw. I got a link from Dropbox, but the link above shows up as ?dl=0 in my finished message. Would you (or anyone) happen to know what I'm doing wrong? (i had to add the asterisks - one turned up as a smiley face ??? - to keep the URL from being re-formatted in this post.)

TIA
LAS

[Her Sister]

5. you can play on that website

FIVETHIRTYEIGHT PODCASTS 6:14 PM MAR 28, 2016

Elections Podcast: Momentum And Misogyny
FIVETHIRTYEIGHT

Our elections podcast crew discusses whether “momentum” is real and whether Bernie Sanders has it coming off of his wins in Hawaii, Alaska and Washington. Plus, how much will Donald Trump’s record of sexism on and off the campaign trail hurt him with voters if he reaches the general election in November?

Audio Player
00:0000:00Use Up/Down Arrow keys to increase or decrease volume.
SUBSCRIBE: ITUNES | DOWNLOAD | RSS | VIDEO

You can stream or download the full episode above. You can also find us by searching “fivethirtyeight” in your favorite podcast app, or subscribe using the RSS feed

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/elections-podcast-momentum-and-misogyny/?ex_cid=navlink


You can just play in that page. Click on the Play button in the player. Long horizontal line, makes sense!?

[LAS14]

7. Oh, yeah. I had no trouble listening to the podcast.

These were just incidental points of curiosity. Not important. Thanks for the tip!

[DesertRat]

14. I had no idea there was a FIVETHIRTYEIGHT podcast

I just found it on my Stitcher app. Thank You!

[Her Sister]

3. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-we-are-forecasting-the-2016-presidential-primary-election/

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-we-are-forecasting-the-2016-presidential-primary-election/


long explanation there! lol!

[LAS14]

8. Perfect! Thanks! I would..

... never have found this on my own. I paged through a half dozen "features" pages and still didn't get to it.

[Her Sister]

10. It's in their Primary Forecast's pages

2016 Primary Forecasts
The odds and polls for presidential primaries and caucuses, updated daily.
How this works »

UPDATED 11:11 AM EDT | MAR 31, 2016


v Wisconsin Republican primary
According to our latest polls-plus forecast, Ted Cruz has an 89% chance of winning the Wisconsin primary.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/wisconsin-republican/

Example here. Click on How this works. which is in blue color and you get to:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-we-are-forecasting-the-2016-presidential-primary-election/

[LAS14]

11. And thanks again!

[LiberalFighter]

12. Personally I find those polls useless

when all they provide is the odds of winning the state. That would be fine in the general.

[yallerdawg]

6. I'll take another Michigan!

Hillary 63, Bernie 67. We'd have to add on some more states for Bernie to even catch up by convention!

Counting TOTAL delegates, Hillary 73, Bernie 67.

Superdelegates might appreciate an actual Democrat at the top of the ticket - one who is already helping down ballot candidates!

http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/MI-D

[LAS14]

9. Yeah... I find I was remembering the vast...

... distance from polling data instead of the more tolerable difference in the results.

[topcat2001]

13. Looks like the internal polls are not good.

Based on the 08 results (Obama by 20%) I think it is more likely Sanders carries WI by around 15%. I think the internal polls are not looking good. That is why Bill is being dispatched there tomorrow and Hillary over the weekend.