Former Bogota mayor would beat Santos in Colombian election: poll

[Judi Lynn]

Former Bogota mayor would beat Santos in Colombian election: poll
BOGOTA Tue Apr 1, 2014 11:06am EDT


(Reuters) - Enrique Penalosa, a former mayor of Bogota, would win the presidential election in a second round against President Juan Manuel Santos, according to a poll by Centro Nacional de Consultoria published late on Monday.

The center-left Penalosa, who ran the capital city from 1998 to 2001, would finish 26 percent to 18 percent behind Santos in the first ballot on May 25, but beat him in a June runoff with 41 percent to 36 percent, the survey of 1,500 people showed.

While Penalosa, a 59-year-old economist, has been rising in recent polls, CNC conducted interviews nationwide via fixed-line telephones, a method that tends to draw answers from wealthier voters and so is not necessarily representative of voter intent as face-to-face interviews or via cellular phones.

The results differ from those of surveys by Gallup and Ipsos Napoleon Franco, which give center-right Santos a comfortable win in both rounds of voting against right-wing Oscar Ivan Zuluaga. The two pollsters tend to conduct face-to-face interviews in households nationwide.

More:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/04/01/us-colombia-election-idUSBREA3018K20140401

[Bacchus4.0]

1. same thing happened last go around, the wealthier tended to favor

Santos' opponent.

[Judi Lynn]

2. Didn't know. Interesting. n/t

[Bacchus4.0]

3. I thought you were following. I remember the poll numbers being posted here.

Santos' opponent was tied or leading according to the polls but not in the actual election of course. I do believe they used the same method of calling land lines.

[Marksman_91]

4. Santos has been a major disappointment to Colombians

I have quite a lot of Colombian friends, and none of them have a favorable opinion of Santos. I suppose demonizing the man that helped him get to where he is (Uribe) and being too friendly with the FARC and the Venezuelan government has really taken its toll on his popularity. The destitution of Bogota's mayor is only just one more thing to add to his list of items that screwed up his image.