Environment & Energy
Related: About this forumFrom Pole To Pole, Sea Ice Values Plummeting - La Nina Set To Push Heat N And S
During the record hot year of 2016, both Arctic and Antarctic sea ice extents took a huge hit. Extreme warmth in the Arctic helped to produce leading losses there. Values that began during January at 1 million square kilometers below average have steadily declined as the months progressed to near 2 million square kilometers below average. Meanwhile, the Antarctic which began the year at near average sea ice extent values saw significant losses as the region grew anomalously warm during austral spring. Today, sea ice extent values surrounding the Antarctic are now also just shy of 2 million square kilometers below average.
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(Zachary Labe, one of the most well-recognized up and coming U.S. climate scientists, has produced this graph based on NSIDC recorded global, Arctic, and Antarctic sea ice values. As you can see, global sea ice extent during the hottest year on record has steadily plummeted to near 4 million square kilometers below average as the months progressed. Image source: Zack Labes Sea Ice Figures. Data source: NSIDC. You can also follow Zacks informative twitter feed here.)
In total, global sea ice coverage is now about 3,865,000 square kilometers below average.
If you think that number sounds really big, its because it is. It represents a region of lost ice nearly 40 percent the size of the land and water area of the entire United States including Alaska and Hawaii. To visualize it another way, imagine all of the land area of Alaska, California, Texas, Montana, Arizona and New Mexico combined and you begin to get the gist.
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We are now entering a situation where one very warm winter followed by one warmer than normal summer could push Arctic sea ice values to near the zero mark. A situation that could effectively set off a blue ocean event in the near future. A number of prominent sea ice experts have predicted that its likely that such a state will be achieved rather soon by the early 2030s under current trends. Others point toward nearer-term loss potentials. But there is practically no-one now saying, as was often stated during the early 2010s, that a blue ocean event could hold off until the early 2050s.
All that said, the trajectory going into 2017 for the Arctic at present doesnt look very good. Both sea ice extent and volume are now at or well below the previous low marks for this time of year. Remaining thick ice positioned near the Fram Strait generates a physical disadvantage to the ice in general. In addition, NOAA has announced that La Nina conditions are now present in the Equatorial Pacific. And La Nina events tend to push more ocean and atmospheric heat toward the poles particularly toward the Arctic.
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https://robertscribbler.com/2016/11/15/from-pole-to-pole-global-sea-ice-values-are-plummeting/
cilla4progress
(24,717 posts)if I were of age.
mountain grammy
(26,598 posts)NickB79
(19,224 posts)Most days now, I pray to God she doesn't have children of her own, so she doesn't have to go through the terror that I go through daily when I contemplate her future
cilla4progress
(24,717 posts)bless you and your daughter. She is the one we are doing this for. Give her a hug for me.