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hatrack

(59,583 posts)
Wed Dec 19, 2018, 09:43 AM Dec 2018

Remember The Global Warming "Pause"? LIke Shitstain's Wall, It's Also Imaginary - Phys.Org

Claims of a 'pause' in observed global temperature warming are comprehensively disproved in a pair of new studies published today.

An international team of climate researchers reviewed existing data and studies and reanalysed them. They concluded there has never been a statistically significant 'pause' in global warming. This conclusion holds whether considering the `pause' as a change in the rate of warming in observations or as a mismatch in rate between observations and expectations from climate models. Their papers are published today in Environmental Research Letters.

Dr. James Risbey, from CSIRO Australia, is the lead author of one of the studies, which reassessed the data and put it into historical context. He said: "Many studies over the past decade have claimed to find a pause or slowdown in global warming and have typically posited this as evidence that is inconsistent with our understanding of global warming."

The study examined the literature on an alleged 'pause'. It looked at how the 'pause' had been defined, the time intervals used to characterise it, and the methods used to assess it. The study then tested historical and current versions of the earth's global mean surface temperature (GMST) datasets for pauses, both in terms of no warming trend and a substantially slower trend in GMST. Dr. Risbey said: "Our findings show there is little or no statistical evidence for a 'pause' in GMST rise. Neither the current data nor the historical data support it. Moreover, updates to the GMST data through the period of 'pause' research have made this conclusion stronger. But, there was never enough evidence to reasonably draw any other conclusion.

EDIT

https://phys.org/news/2018-12-global-real.html

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