No-win situation for agricultural expansion in the Amazon
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2013-05/iop-nsf050813.php[font face=Serif]Public release date: 9-May-2013
Contact: Michael Bishop
michael.bishop@iop.org
01-179-301-032
Institute of Physics
[font size=5]No-win situation for agricultural expansion in the Amazon[/font]
[font size=3]The large-scale expansion of agriculture in the Amazon through deforestation will be a no-win scenario, according to a new study.
Published today, 10 May, in IOP Publishing's journal Environmental Research Letters, it shows that deforestation will not only reduce the capacity of the Amazon's natural carbon sink, but will also inflict climate feedbacks that will decrease the productivity of pasture and soybeans.
They predict that by 2050, a decrease in precipitation caused by deforestation in the Amazon will reduce pasture productivity by 30 per cent in the governance scenario and by 34 per cent in the business-as-usual scenario.
Furthermore, increasing temperatures could cause a reduction in soybean yield by 24 per cent in a governance scenario and by 28 per cent under a business-as-usual scenario.
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http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024021