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xchrom

(108,903 posts)
Wed May 15, 2013, 08:09 AM May 2013

'Best estimate' for impact of melting ice on sea level rise

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-22527273

Researchers have published their most advanced calculation for the likely impact of melting ice on global sea levels.

The EU funded team say the ice sheets and glaciers could add 36.8 centimetres to the oceans by 2100.

Adding in other factors, sea levels could rise by up to 69 centimetres, higher than previous predictions.

The researchers say there is a very small chance that the seas around Britain could rise by a metre.
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'Best estimate' for impact of melting ice on sea level rise (Original Post) xchrom May 2013 OP
So we should probably treat 69 cm. as the lower bound. GliderGuider May 2013 #1
I think they are seriously low balling, ... CRH May 2013 #2
The EU funds them muriel_volestrangler May 2013 #5
70 cm=28 inches pscot May 2013 #3
Thanks for the translation. Delphinus May 2013 #4

CRH

(1,553 posts)
2. I think they are seriously low balling, ...
Wed May 15, 2013, 09:31 AM
May 2013

If the World Bank, Price Waterhouse, and UNEP reports of the past six months are accurate, the scenarios for business as usual, support models of 4*C mean global temperature rise above pre industrial levels, from between 2060 to 2100. The reports specifically warned we don't want to arrive at a 4*C plateau, adaption would be extremely stressful for social, economic, and agricultural concerns.

Well I've seen no evidence suggesting anything other than business as usual, 'Big Oil' is even touting the US will be producing 50% of the global oil and gas in the future with enhancement of shale extraction and fracking. China has coal generation ramped up for the next thirty years, and globalization is not receding but rather is expanding in Asia, India and Africa.

At .8*C, land and sea ice are melting, how many glaciers and icebergs will be around at 3*C & 4*C global mean temperature rise. With BAU I think sea level rises will be measured many meters, not centimeters.

I wonder who funds the 'EU team' who have researched these conclusions? The bean counters sure don't agree.

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