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GliderGuider

(21,088 posts)
Wed May 6, 2015, 03:43 PM May 2015

World headed for irreversible climate change in five years, IEA warns

World headed for irreversible climate change in five years, IEA warns

The world is likely to build so many fossil-fuelled power stations, energy-guzzling factories and inefficient buildings in the next five years that it will become impossible to hold global warming to safe levels, and the last chance of combating dangerous climate change will be "lost for ever", according to the most thorough analysis yet of world energy infrastructure.

Anything built from now on that produces carbon will do so for decades, and this "lock-in" effect will be the single factor most likely to produce irreversible climate change, the world's foremost authority on energy economics has found. If this is not rapidly changed within the next five years, the results are likely to be disastrous.

If the world is to stay below 2C of warming, which scientists regard as the limit of safety, then emissions must be held to no more than 450 parts per million (ppm) of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere; the level is currently around 390ppm. But the world's existing infrastructure is already producing 80% of that "carbon budget", according to the IEA's analysis, published on Wednesday. This gives an ever-narrowing gap in which to reform the global economy on to a low-carbon footing.

One close observer of the climate talks said the $400bn subsidies devoted to fossil fuels, uncovered by the IEA, were "staggering", and the way in which these subsidies distort the market presented a massive problem in encouraging the move to renewables. He added that Birol's comments, though urgent and timely, were unlikely to galvanise China and the US – the world's two biggest emittters – into action on the international stage.

And this is all predicated on the idea that +2C is "safe"...
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CrispyQ

(36,457 posts)
2. Aren't there some in the scientific community who think we're there?
Wed May 6, 2015, 04:19 PM
May 2015

So maybe even though it's four years old . . .


We're gonna be so fucked.

bvar22

(39,909 posts)
4. I think we are already there.
Wed May 6, 2015, 05:39 PM
May 2015

We have a well developed Planting Calendar that takes into account last/first Frost of Winter.
As crazy as our weather has been the last two years (West-Central Arkansas), we've had to toss out the calendar.

dembotoz

(16,799 posts)
8. i think what you are saying is important some folks understand growing season more than graphs
Wed May 6, 2015, 06:33 PM
May 2015

Had read seed pack directions were changing as temp change

Folks do not trust university but they do trust seed catalogs

Systematic Chaos

(8,601 posts)
11. Yeah, I'm figuring 135-160 is about right in most equatorial deserts.
Thu May 7, 2015, 02:09 AM
May 2015

Probably Death Valley and the like, too.

Las Vegas will fare just a touch better, with average summer days hitting about 125, and heat waves shooting up to maybe 140.

At any rate, you won't survive that shit no matter how fancy your hotel's swimming pool.

Systematic Chaos

(8,601 posts)
15. Ya gotta fucking love how that story didn't garner a SINGLE comment.
Thu May 7, 2015, 01:18 PM
May 2015

I guess those people aren't quite "real" enough yet, or something.

 

Spitfire of ATJ

(32,723 posts)
16. American Capitalism teaches that these people deserve it....
Thu May 7, 2015, 01:28 PM
May 2015

They MUST have done something to piss off God who is now punishing them with poverty.

Loose morals would be my guess.

world wide wally

(21,740 posts)
6. This is not a matter of opinion, except on the time frame, so it doesn't matter what anyone
Wed May 6, 2015, 06:16 PM
May 2015

thinks or believes.

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