A “fair and ambitious” pledge? Not quite
http://news.mit.edu/2015/greenhouse-gas-pledges-not-fair-1016[font face=Serif][font size=5]A fair and ambitious pledge? Not quite[/font]
[font size=4]Study finds pledges by top greenhouse gas emitters leaves little room for others; urges greater R&D.[/font]
Jennifer Chu | MIT News Office
October 16, 2015
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In advance of the conference, organizers have requested that countries submit Intended Nationally Determined Contributions pledges to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, by an amount that should be fair and ambitious, in order to limit global warming to no more than 2 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels.
Now a new study by researchers at MIT and the Center for International Climate and Environmental Research in Oslo, Norway, has found that pledges by the three largest emitters the United States, the European Union, and China leave very little room for the rest of the world to emit.
Based on the pledges submitted, the U.S. plans to reduce emissions by 28 percent by 2025, and 83 percent by 2050, while the EU will work toward reductions of 40 percent by 2030, and 80 percent by 2050. China has not pledged a reduction, but has indicated that its emissions will peak by 2030; China also aims to improve its energy efficiency by 60 to 65 percent.
Despite these substantial commitments, the researchers found that the rest of the worlds nations would be forced to adopt per capita emissions 7 to 14 times lower than the EU, U.S., or China, by 2030, in order to keep global temperatures from rising higher than 2 C.
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