Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 01:22 PM Mar 2016

We had all better hope these scientists are wrong about the planet’s future

[font size=4]...the impact of global warming will be quicker and more catastrophic than generally envisioned.[/font]

Now where have I heard that before?


An influential group of scientists led by James Hansen, the former NASA scientist often credited with having drawn the first major attention to climate change in 1988 congressional testimony, has published a dire climate study that suggests the impact of global warming will be quicker and more catastrophic than generally envisioned.

The research invokes collapsing ice sheets, violent megastorms and even the hurling of boulders by giant waves in its quest to suggest that even 2 degrees Celsius of global warming above pre-industrial levels would be far too much. Hansen has called it the most important work he has ever done.

The sweeping paper, 52 pages in length and with 19 authors, draws on evidence from ancient climate change or “paleo-climatology,” as well as climate experiments using computer models and some modern observations. Calling it a “paper” really isn’t quite right — it’s actually a synthesis of a wide range of old, and new, evidence.


https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/energy-environment/wp/2016/03/22/we-had-all-better-hope-these-scientists-are-wrong-about-the-planets-future/

The words "highly dangerous" were apparently removed by the editors of the journal so as not to upset people unduly.
57 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
We had all better hope these scientists are wrong about the planet’s future (Original Post) Binkie The Clown Mar 2016 OP
So very sad when your/our only remaining hope of survival is RW science denial. merrily Mar 2016 #1
That's a choice. If the people choose Bernie instead Lorien Mar 2016 #3
I didn't want to raise that in a group that may wish to limit discussion to the environment/energy. merrily Mar 2016 #5
how fucking insane is it that the GOP is actually endangering the survival of humanity with their Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #11
Ok, as long as so many others are going there: merrily Mar 2016 #14
That was the most important answer from any candidate. The most. glinda Apr 2016 #51
The GOP is a money worshiping death cult. sulphurdunn Mar 2016 #19
I couldn't have put it better myself Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #22
They want to rush the Second Coming. glinda Apr 2016 #52
Senator Sanders completely and totally rejects the preferred route of addressing climate change... NNadir Mar 2016 #21
please explain this better-- you aren't making sense Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #23
Sanders is anti-nuclear; Nnadir is pro-nuclear. QED (n/t) Nihil Mar 2016 #25
OK. Thanks Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #33
If you opened the paper, it might make better sense. NNadir Mar 2016 #29
I did open it, but there was nothing in it about Sanders Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #32
What "unique risks" are you talking about? NNadir Mar 2016 #35
you've got to be fucking kidding me Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #37
I am not kidding. The environment and climate change trump all other issues with me. NNadir Mar 2016 #39
I would also ask, since you claim that there is "conflicting science" on this subject... NNadir Mar 2016 #40
I don't read the primary scientific literature on nuclear energy/power, no. Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #41
And the evidence for his "belief" is what? Since you are neither an engineer nor an energy... NNadir Mar 2016 #42
Bernie says he listens to the scientists on climate change... so why aren't they telling him Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #43
Pick your scientist OKIsItJustMe Mar 2016 #44
great-- thanks! Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #45
Joe Romm is not really a primary research scientist. He's a "scientist" dragged out by... NNadir Apr 2016 #50
I think I made it pretty clear that I regard climate change as the issue that trumps all others. NNadir Mar 2016 #48
I don't understand your dismissive attitude at all Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #49
He claims to have invented a nuclear reactor in his basement... kristopher Apr 2016 #54
thanks-- I'm glad I'm not the only one who was having an issue with what NNadir said Fast Walker 52 Apr 2016 #57
Who are you supporting then? glinda Apr 2016 #53
Ms. Clinton. NNadir Apr 2016 #55
lol SoLeftIAmRight Mar 2016 #47
If they admit it's real - they're screwed. Plucketeer Mar 2016 #16
In general, their predictions are correct. We either pay attention or ultimately ladjf Mar 2016 #2
Bernie has stated that climate change is the greatest threat faced by humanity Lorien Mar 2016 #4
Yes. And has he tied the unbridled capitalism directly to the climate change? ladjf Mar 2016 #6
I'm sure he knows... but if he questioned capitalism more than he has already Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #13
At this point I just want to interject a comment or two. ladjf Mar 2016 #17
Capitalism is not the cause. It is a symptom of much that is defective in human nature Binkie The Clown Mar 2016 #20
You are exactly correct. I didn't mean to imply otherwise. I just chose ladjf Mar 2016 #24
exactly.... and I fucking hate the media for not even mentioning this Fast Walker 52 Mar 2016 #12
The increasing activity of organized humanity The2ndWheel Mar 2016 #15
Problem is, all those predictions have proven not as fast and not as bad as reality is showing us. dixiegrrrrl Mar 2016 #18
Hoping pscot Mar 2016 #7
It used to be infrequent flooding. Now it is all the time... jtuck004 Mar 2016 #8
We need to have the governments help in this change but jwirr Mar 2016 #9
Message auto-removed Name removed Mar 2016 #10
Declare WAR against climate change.. Newkularblue Mar 2016 #26
It is funny how we want things to stay the same though The2ndWheel Mar 2016 #27
+1000 Binkie The Clown Mar 2016 #28
Don't lose hope Newkularblue Mar 2016 #30
Which is the one thing we can't seem to do The2ndWheel Mar 2016 #31
Granted, our imagination and abillity to invent appears nearly limitless. But... Binkie The Clown Mar 2016 #34
Absolutely The2ndWheel Mar 2016 #36
This is not a radical departure from his earlier work OKIsItJustMe Mar 2016 #38
Climate change and the sixth global mass-extinction event is happening now SoLeftIAmRight Mar 2016 #46
The book Delphinus Apr 2016 #56

merrily

(45,251 posts)
5. I didn't want to raise that in a group that may wish to limit discussion to the environment/energy.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:10 PM
Mar 2016

My avatar shows agreement with you though.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
11. how fucking insane is it that the GOP is actually endangering the survival of humanity with their
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:59 PM
Mar 2016

denialism here?

But that being said, the only candidate treating this with the real urgency is Bernie, and even he is not calling for the sort of massive changes we will need to turn the trend around: WWII-scale efforts to convert to renewable energy.

merrily

(45,251 posts)
14. Ok, as long as so many others are going there:
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:08 PM
Mar 2016

Bernie very correctly named climate change or global warming (or whatever term he used) as the Number 1 threat to national security and was stupidly mocked for it.

That's all I'm going to say here because I really don't want to inflict GD: P on this group.

glinda

(14,807 posts)
52. They want to rush the Second Coming.
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 01:29 AM
Apr 2016

Sad thing they are too stupid to realize they are part of the problem.But they are easy to shed guilt, sins and responsibility by believing in "forgiveness and then just forget it".

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
21. Senator Sanders completely and totally rejects the preferred route of addressing climate change...
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 09:09 PM
Mar 2016

...that Dr. Hansen, one of the authors cited in the OP, has forcefully endorsed.

Prevented Mortality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Historical and Projected Nuclear Power (Pushker A. Kharecha* and James E. Hansen
NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies and Columbia University Earth Institute, 2880 Broadway, New York, New York 10025, United States, Environ. Sci. Technol., 2013, 47 (9), pp 4889–4895)

For the first time in decades, Vermont is now dependent on dangerous fossil fuels for the generation of electricity.

For a long time, Vermont was the only state that did not release dangerous fossil fuel waste into the atmosphere to produce electricity.

Senator Sanders endorsed this cockamamie approach to the addressing climate change: Shutting the largest, by far, source of climate gas free electricity generating infrastructure in his state.

If there is any reason to reject Senator Sanders - and it is certainly my reason for rejecting him - his proposed actions on climate change are it.

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
29. If you opened the paper, it might make better sense.
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 12:21 PM
Mar 2016

Failing that, see the other poster below.

Nuclear energy is the world's largest, by far, source of climate change primary energy. Because it prevents air pollution, which kills 7 million people worldwide, about half of them from outdoor air pollution, Nuclear energy, aside from all the claptrap people launch against it, saves lives.

Senator Sanders opposes nuclear energy.

Therefore I regard Senator Sanders' approach to energy and climate change to be not only delusional, but dangerous.

Senator Sanders approach to climate change - rely on so called "renewable energy" for everything doesn't make sense, since it hasn't worked, isn't working, and won't work.

Have a nice day.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
32. I did open it, but there was nothing in it about Sanders
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 03:40 PM
Mar 2016

In any case, I agree in principle that nuclear energy is an important source of energy that doesn't generate GHG. But it also poses unique risks. I'm sure Sanders would look at nuclear energy if done safely. Most of our nuclear plants are old and have issues.

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
35. What "unique risks" are you talking about?
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 07:07 PM
Mar 2016

All of the nuclear operations, including Chernoybl and Fukushima - events which people who know very little science burn coal & gas to generate electricity to complain about endlessly - for the last half a century won't kill as many people as will die today and tomorrow from air pollution.

That would be 38,000 people, more or less, half of whom will be under the age of 5 when they die.

The experimental risk of nuclear power is vanishingly small, which is not to say that people who don't know anything about the topic don't keep inventing imaginary events that they value over the real event: More people dying every seven years than died from all causes, genocide, civilian bombing, combat deaths, and starvation, in World War II.

Your fear of "unique risks" trumps 50 million deaths every seven years how, exactly?

The paper was scientific not political. It's point is that nuclear energy saves lives.

My attachment to Bernie Sanders campaign - which has nothing to do with science, since for all intensive purposes Sanders is uninterested in science, as are, apparently most of his supporters - can be found on the Senator's "Energy" page, with which I'm sure his supporters, with their questionable views on climate change, are familiar.

Nuclear has prevented 1.8 million deaths, and potentially could have saved millions more, were it not for "nuclear exceptionalism," the notion that all other forms of energy can kill at will unless nuclear energy is perfect.

Nuclear energy need not be perfect, to be vastly superior to everything else. It merely needs to be vastly superior to everything else, which it is.

Since Bernie Sanders doesn't get that, I sincerely hope that he is not accorded the Democratic nomination. If I am forced to vote for him because his opponent is either Donald Trump or Ted Cruz, I will probably have to take a good stiff drink to do it, since it would violate my deepest moral views to have to vote for such a person as Senator Sanders represents. It will be the worst "lesser of two evils" moment I have faced since George H.W. Bush ran against Michael Dukakis.

Have a nice evening.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
37. you've got to be fucking kidding me
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 08:17 AM
Mar 2016

at least Sanders recognizes climate change and wants to act on it. And I think he recognizes science. There is conflicting science on how safe nuclear energy is.

Moreover, if Sanders is half as warlike as the other candidates, he is the far superior choice for me. His progressive stances on education, healthcare and income inequality, and basic humanity seal the deal for me. Heck, I'm thrilled just to not have someone overtly religious running for president.



"events which people who know very little science burn coal & gas to generate electricity to complain about endlessly"?

"since for all intensive purposes"?

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
39. I am not kidding. The environment and climate change trump all other issues with me.
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 10:21 AM
Mar 2016

There are several issues on which I like Senator Sanders quite a bit: His stand on University Education for example, and single payer health care for another example. I also like his views on the distribution of wealth.

These issues, however, are trivial if the planetary atmosphere collapses.

Senator Sanders is completely and totally clueless on this issue. If I go to a physician who can correctly diagnoses a cancer that I have, and then announces that I should go to a Christian Science prayer meeting to cure it, he or she is not useful in any way. In fact he or she is useless at best, deadly at worst.

This analogy applies in spades to Senator Sander's environmental views, which are very much like prayer, and very little about practical approaches to addressing climate change.

His state has just increased (from zero) the amount of dangerous fossil fuel waste it dumps into the planetary atmosphere to provide electricity.

Have a nice day.

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
40. I would also ask, since you claim that there is "conflicting science" on this subject...
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 12:47 PM
Mar 2016

...about which journals you read in the primary scientific literature.

I routinely download many of them, most about Energy and the Environment, although I subscribe to others.

"Wanting" to act on climate change is very, very, very, very, very, very different than knowing how to do it.

Wanting to educate people is a noble ideal of course, unless they starve to death, drown, or cook to death. Then it is useless to educate them.

There are (popular) press articles that call out Sanders on his wishful thinking and his poor understanding of science, in particular, climate scientists.

I do recognize that Sanders supporters, while having a very poor understanding of climate science, and clearly, by their actions don't care about it, but the unyielding effort they undertake to paint Ms. Clinton as the reincarnation of Atilla the Hun does not deserve consideration.

Ms. Clinton will hardly be perfect for the environment, but unlike Senator Sanders - who despises and wants to end the world's largest, by far, source of climate change gas primary energy - she is not committed to making things worse, as Senator Sanders is.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
41. I don't read the primary scientific literature on nuclear energy/power, no.
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 03:23 PM
Mar 2016

It's not my field.

I would say I'm open to newer nuclear plants with safer designs, but I'm not convinced we need them.

But in general I'm ok with this--
http://feelthebern.org/bernie-sanders-on-energy-policy/
Bernie has called for a moratorium on nuclear power plant license renewals in the United States. He believes that solar, wind, geothermal power, and energy efficiency are more cost-effective than nuclear plants, and that the toxic waste byproducts of nuclear plants are not worth the risks of the technology’s benefit. Ever the financial watchdog, Bernie has also questioned why the federal government invests billions into federal subsidies for the nuclear industry.


NNadir

(33,449 posts)
42. And the evidence for his "belief" is what? Since you are neither an engineer nor an energy...
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 09:45 PM
Mar 2016

...scientist, can you offer any evidence that his "belief" is an accurate one, or do you just take it based on your faith that Bernie Sanders is a great, great, great, great, great man and any thing he believes must be true.

However, we have established that you are decidedly not in a position to state that "There is conflicting science on how safe nuclear energy is."

It is now 30 years since Chernobyl blew up, an event that caused me to change my mind about nuclear energy, since as a good political liberal, I bought mindlessly into the same nonsense that Sanders now espouses. I expected tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands of deaths, because that's what "everyone" said would happen. At that point I began to look into nuclear issues in the primary scientific literature, tentatively at first, ultimately nearly obsessively. The hundreds of thousands, the tens of thousands of deaths, did not occur.

I've been at it for thirty years now, through tens of thousands of papers, long discussions, monographs, texts, and private calculations. I know more about nuclear energy than Senator Sanders will every know or you will ever know.

Do you know what the biggest criticism of nuclear energy most often is in the primary scientific literature when nuclear energy is discussed? It's that it lacks public acceptance. Not that it is uniquely dangerous; not that it is expensive, not that it doesn't work, but that people don't like it. In other words, to put this in extreme terms, many scientists apparently believe that people are stupid, and can't be educated, and therefore we should go on killing 50 million people every seven years from air pollution, something any self respecting epidemiologist knows is occurring continuously while people claim that nuclear energy is unacceptable.

Now let's talk about what you say Senator Sanders "believes" as he agitates for a nuclear moratorium, possibly the most dangerous idea for the potential leadership of the world's highest per capita polluting nation: So called "renewable energy" is workable, affordable and sustainable.

You do realize, don't you, that in the last ten years, the world has invested close to two trillion dollars on so called "renewable energy," with the result that solar and wind combined do not produce 5 of the 560 exajoules that humanity consumes each year?

Last year, 2015, despite all of this so called "investment" in so called "renewable energy" was the worst year ever recorded since records have been kept (since 1958) for increases in dangerous fossil fuel waste in the atmosphere. The year just passed represents the first year ever observed with the increase exceeded 3.00 ppm in a single year.

It would appear that Bernie Sanders might be wrong, and might not know what he is talking about, since two trillion bucks squandered on so called "renewable energy" did nothing, absolutely nothing, to prevent climate change.

Two trillion bucks and things are worse than ever... Have either you or Sanders, with these claims of economic viability for so called "renewable energy" ever bothered to compare electricity rates in Germany and Denmark, two gas burning renewable energy hellholes with those in nuclear powered France?

Here they are: Click on the table on the left to enlarge it

You know who has the most trouble paying electricity bills, don't you? Does Senator Sanders? What do you and he think, is it tougher for some asshole in a McMansion with solar cells on his roof collecting feed in tariffs and tax breaks, or some single mom working two minimum wage jobs to pay the rent on a run down studio apartment while keeping the lights on?

The paper I cited at the beginning of this exchange, from the climate scientist Jim Hansen at NASA and Columbia, shows that nuclear power, which Sanders despises clearly with given rote recitation of very, very, very, very tired 50 year old wrong rhetoric, prevented the dumping of 60 billion tons of carbon dioxide, the equivalent of about two years of such dumping at the current (accelerating) rate. No other technology can claim that, not the useless solar industry, not the wind industry, not even the hydroelectric industry.

As for the ridiculous idea that so called "renewable energy" has worked, is working or will work, let me simply repeat another post I made in another thread the other day:

Between 2004 and 2014, the world spent $875.5B on solar energy; $711B on wind...

...$137.5B on biofuels, and 2015, from preliminary projections was even worse for all three forms of so called "renewable energy."

When small hydro, geothermal, and tidal energy is added the grand total spent on so called "renewable energy" amounted between 2004 and 2014 to 1.804 trillion dollars.

This is the claim registered by the so called "Frankfurt School UNEP Collaborating Center for Climate and the Environment".

Their data may be found at their website: Global Trends in Renewable Energy Investment 2015

The amount of money spent on so called "renewable energy" exceeds the individual gross domestic product of countries like Russia, Canada, and Australia.

The amount spent on wind and solar alone exceeds the gross national product of Indonesia, a nation with more than 250 million people living in it.

The result of all this spending in the last ten years is that 2015 was the worst year ever recorded for increases in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, the first year whose average value was more than 3.00 ppm over the previous year. For all of 2016, the weekly rates of comparison with the same week of the previous year are averaging 3.15 ppm.

The figures all represent an enormous failure. Of course this is an unpopular thing to say, and one can get in a lot of trouble and hear infinite amounts of whining that amounts to denial for saying it, as I have learned, but it is nonetheless, irrespective of whose hair it singes, the truth.

So called "renewable energy" is not sustainable because of its intense demand for metals and other materials, many of which are fairly exotic. The low energy to mass ratio - which by the way is made even worse by the thermodynamically absurd plan to "store" energy - means that there is not enough material on the entire planet to sustain it very much longer.

Solar and wind energy, combined, do not provide even 5 of the 560 exajoules humanity consumes each year. Their entire annual output assembled over half a century or relentless cheering for them does not exceed the single year increase in dangerous natural gas use.

Continuing this vast extremely expensive experiment and expecting a different result is not going to change a damned thing.

The world built close to 450 nuclear plants in a period of about 25 years, with the world's largest producer of nuclear energy, the United States, with roughly 100 such plants built, enjoying some of the lowest electricity prices in the world, although prices are rising nationally because of our desire to run down the so called "renewable energy" rabbit hole.

Worldwide, nuclear power plants produce about 28 exajoules of primary energy, and easily outstrip all the world's forms of so called "renewable energy" combined.

Now we hear that "nuclear energy is too expensive" and "nuclear energy is too slow."

These are announcements that what has already happened is impossible.

There is no reason that nuclear power plants should cost $10 billion dollars each, other than the fact that ignorant people - like arsonists complaining about forest fires - have done everything in their power to destroy nuclear intellectual and physical infrastructure by continuous specious appeals to fear and ignorance. This results in practically every nuclear plant built in modern times being a "FOAKE" case, "first of a kind engineering."

Suppose though that we spent $10B on each reactor, each designed, unlike wind turbines or solar panels, to run for 60 years, more than half a century. For the money squandered on solar and wind alone in the last ten years, we could have built 85 nuclear plants in the last ten years. The thermal output of a large scale nuclear plant is roughly 3000 MW(th), plus or minus a few hundred MW, registered as primary energy, which translates to an average annual energy yield of 95 petajoules. Eighty-five plants would yield thus close to 8 exajoules, and do so, without replacement, for 60 years. Each plant built would represent a gift made by our generation to the future generations.

That's not how we live today, of course; we place no value on the future, and couldn't care less about future generations but if we did...

I oppose spending another dime on so called "renewable energy." We have a technology that is far superior, more sustainable, and far cleaner. No amount of money will make so called "renewable energy" work, and, I note, with more than passing disgust, that since the wind does not always blow, and the sun doesn't always shine, it makes the "need" for dangerous natural gas (or worse, batteries) permanent.

I'm sorry if that offends anyone, but I wouldn't be able to live with myself if I didn't state clearly what I have found out. I often feel like the mythical Cassandra, who always told the truth but was never believed, but that is what it is.

Have a nice day tomorrow.


I note that for several millenniums, the world lived on "renewable energy," albeit with dire consequences. It was abandoned at the beginning of the 19th century because most human beings lived dire, short lives, of miserable poverty. This should tell you something. One of the main reasons for the extreme interest of Europeans in their new discovery of North America was that they were pretty much totally deforested. Thus, the idea that so called "renewable energy" is a good idea is not novel or new. It's quite the opposite; it's reactionary.

I have written at length along these lines, with a healthy dose of references from the primary scientific literature, a series on why so called "renewable energy" is not sustainable:

Sustaining the Wind Part 1 – Is So Called “Renewable Energy” the Same as “Sustainable Energy?”

I have also written about nuclear energy and human energy poverty, which is, of course, a particularly dire form of poverty with dire health, social, moral and intellectual consquences: Current World Energy Demand, Ethical World Energy Demand, Depleted Uranium and the Centuries to Come

I don't think you are qualified to discuss energy policy.

This said, I have often heard Sanders supporters on this site claim that those of us who support Ms. Clinton are either stupid or venal or completely unwilling to discuss the issues. I've taken the effort to engage you here on an issue, climate change, but I find your responses to be uninformed and weak.

I do appreciate, however, your willingness to engage me, however unpleasant this exchange may have been for you.

As I've stated, there are some things Mr. Sanders believes with which I agree, but given that the environment and climate change are the number one issues in my mind, I regard Senator Sanders to be completely ignorant of the issue in its entirety. His acceding to the highest office in this country would be an environmental disaster of the first degree, not because of bad intentions, but from actions conducted in a miasma of ignorance.

I could never, ever, in good conscience support a man like Senator Sanders to be the Democratic nominee. We don't need ideological rhetoric as a substitute for thinking, and on this important issue, Senator Sanders has clearly engaged in very, very, very little thought.

Thanks for chatting. Have a nice day tomorrow, and enjoy the weekend.
 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
43. Bernie says he listens to the scientists on climate change... so why aren't they telling him
Fri Mar 25, 2016, 08:31 AM
Mar 2016

we need to go more for nuclear power and less on renewables?

Look-- in general, I agree that the fear of nuclear energy is much worse than the actual risk, and I think nuclear power can be produced safely. So, I don't have a big problem using it to fight climate change. I hope Bernie can be convinced to change his mind.

But I think it's bizarre if not insane to be so strongly against Bernie because of this one issue.

As far as renewables, it's really unclear from what you posted, why exactly carbon pollution went up despite the increased use. Most experts seem to think we need to push for renewables to fight carbon pollution and climate change. So perhaps in a succinct way, you could address this issue and why more experts aren't pushing fore more nuclear power.

OKIsItJustMe

(19,937 posts)
44. Pick your scientist
Fri Mar 25, 2016, 12:55 PM
Mar 2016

I think most of us would agree that James Hansen has been right on top of things when it comes to climate change.

http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/dec/03/nuclear-power-paves-the-only-viable-path-forward-on-climate-change

[font face=Serif][font size=5]Nuclear power paves the only viable path forward on climate change[/font]

[font size=4]To solve the climate problem, policy must be based on facts and not prejudice. Alongside renewables, Nuclear will make the difference between the world missing crucial climate targets or achieving them[/font]

James Hansen, Kerry Emanuel, Ken Caldeira and Tom Wigley
Thursday 3 December 2015 13.00 GMT

[font size=3]All four of us have dedicated our scientific careers to understand the processes and impacts of climate change, variously studying ocean systems, tropical cyclones, ice sheets and ecosystems as well as impacts on human societies. We have used both climate models and geological records of past climates to better understand lessons from warmer periods in the Earth’s history and investigate future scenarios.

We have become so concerned about humanity’s slow response to this challenge that we have decided we must clearly set out what we see as the only viable path forward. As scientists we do not take advocacy positions lightly, but we believe the magnitude of climate change now presents an unprecedented moral challenge that compels us to speak out.



Nuclear power, particularly next-generation nuclear power with a closed fuel cycle (where spent fuel is reprocessed), is uniquely scalable, and environmentally advantageous. Over the past 50 years, nuclear power stations – by offsetting fossil fuel combustion – have avoided the emission of an estimated 60bn tonnes of carbon dioxide. Nuclear energy can power whole civilisations, and produce waste streams that are trivial compared to the waste produced by fossil fuel combustion. There are technical means to dispose of this small amount of waste safely. However, nuclear does pose unique safety and proliferation concerns that must be addressed with strong and binding international standards and safeguards. Most importantly for climate, nuclear produces no CO2 during power generation.

To solve the climate problem, policy must be based on facts and not on prejudice. The climate system cares about greenhouse gas emissions – not about whether energy comes from renewable power or abundant nuclear power. Some have argued that it is feasible to meet all of our energy needs with renewables. The 100% renewable scenarios downplay or ignore the intermittency issue by making unrealistic technical assumptions, and can contain high levels of biomass and hydroelectric power at the expense of true sustainability. Large amounts of nuclear power would make it much easier for solar and wind to close the energy gap.

…[/font][/font]



Joe Romm disagrees:
https://thinkprogress.org/climate/2016/01/07/3736243/nuclear-power-climate-change/
[font face=Serif][font size=5]Why James Hansen Is Wrong About Nuclear Power[/font]

by Joe Romm Jan 7, 2016 8:00 am

[font size=3]Climatologist James Hansen argued last month, “Nuclear power paves the only viable path forward on climate change.” He is wrong.

As the Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) and International Energy Agency (IEA) explained in a major report last year, in the best-case scenario, nuclear power can play a modest, but important, role in avoiding catastrophic global warming if it can solve its various nagging problems — particularly high construction cost — without sacrificing safety.

Hansen and a handful of other climate scientists I also greatly respect — Ken Caldeira, Tom Wigley, and Kerry Emanuel — present a mostly handwaving argument in which new nuclear power achieves and sustains an unprecedented growth rate for decades. The one quantitative “illustrative scenario” they propose — “a total requirement of 115 reactors per year to 2050 to entirely decarbonise the global electricity system” — is far beyond what the world ever sustained during the nuclear heyday of the 1970s, and far beyond what the overwhelming majority of energy experts, including those sympathetic to the industry, think is plausible.

They ignore the core issues: The nuclear power industry has essentially priced itself out of the market for new power plants because of its 1) negative learning curve and 2) inability to avoid massive delays and cost overruns in market economies. This is doubly problematic because the competition — renewable power, electricity storage, and energy efficiency — have seen steady, stunning price drops for a long time.

…[/font][/font]



Romm does not advocate shutting down current plants.


http://bos.sagepub.com/content/71/6/52.full
[font face=Serif][font size=5]Joe Romm: Why nuclear power will not be the whole solution to climate change[/font]

[font size=4]Abstract[/font]

[font size=3]In this interview, physicist and climate change blogger Joe Romm speaks with the Bulletin’s Dawn Stover about whether nuclear energy will be a major player in efforts to mitigate global warming. Romm points to economics as a limiting factor for nuclear power, at least until the world grows more desperate to reduce carbon pollution. He explains the reasons why nuclear energy is expensive in the United States and Europe but expanding in China. Although pessimistic about nuclear, Romm is optimistic that the world has reached a turning point for the adoption of renewable energy generation and storage technologies, energy efficiency, and carbon abatement policies.



BAS: What role do you see for nuclear power in the response to climate change? How big of a player should it be?

Romm: If one is going to avoid catastrophic warming and keep things below 2 degrees Celsius, which is certainly a great challenge, then you can’t rule out any carbon-free source. New nuclear plants are very expensive, which is why there has been exceedingly little construction in any market economy. Beyond China and India, you just don’t see a lot of sales, so I think the challenge for nuclear will be to maintain its market share. In the most optimistic projections, it can expand a little bit in the coming decades, but that will require a fair amount of sales because as plants get older in theory they have to be decommissioned. At some point, the world is going to get considerably more desperate to reduce carbon pollution than it is now. When we hit that phase, whatever is plausible and affordable and scalable is going to see massive deployment. To the extent that all these countries are already making serious commitments, then certainly people will take a second look at nuclear. If it could get its act together and come up with a modular design that was standardized and not too expensive, it might be able to see some growth.



BAS: What sort of portfolio will be needed to meet the Paris targets? According to the wedge theory—which says that a combination of strategies can together stabilize the climate—we’d need to triple the world’s current nuclear capacity just to cut emissions by one wedge, out of eight needed.

Romm: The International Energy Agency teamed up with the Nuclear Energy Agency to release a report earlier this year on their optimistic scenario, in which nuclear power sees modest growth in its share. Nuclear is not going to be the big contributor to the solution, if by big one means more than 10 percent; 80 to 90 percent of what we do is going to be other stuff. I am not in favor of shutting down nuclear plants, by the way. I don’t think that makes sense unless a plant isn’t safe.

…[/font][/font]

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
50. Joe Romm is not really a primary research scientist. He's a "scientist" dragged out by...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 01:07 AM
Apr 2016

...antinukes everywhere to justify their awful ignorance, but citing websites from the vast circle jerk of nuclear opponents is not quite the same as citing the primary scientific literature, nor does the citations of newspaper articles written by semi-illiterate (in the sense of scientific literacy) newspaper journalists carry much credibility.

A literate person attempting to discuss science does not cherry pick scientists, but is in general, is familiar with the broadest scope of the scientific literature on a topic under discussion. To qualify to do this, one must devote serious amounts of time to so doing.

What we have very often at Democratic Underground, when scientific work is discussed, is people who confuse the popular press, popular press accounts of scientific work, and press releases with the peer reviewed literature. These glib repetitions of single opinions based on lazy googling to get to what one wants to hear, rather than what one needs to hear in order to make a sensible judgement, is precisely the reason that efforts to address climate change, as well as the high mortality rates associated with the defacto approach to energy utilization, are grotesque failures.

Romm is a tiresome fool. He always was a tiresome fool. He always will be a tiresome fool. And as long as he is awared ertsatz credibility based on very little serious scientific work, the grotesque failure on climate that is now observed will worsen.

If one would like to post an important paper, as cited as the Karecha and Hansen paper, written in the primary scientific literature, written by Romm in the last 5 years, one is invited to do so, should one be able to find one. However if someone merely wishes to cite the pablum that Romm publishes on his website, or interviews with him relying on his popular reputation, one may do so, but one is not engaging in scientific discourse, so much as repeating more pablum that does not deserve credibility.

I like to joke that when Romm was running the climate office - a position by the way for which he was unqualified - that the world experienced the highest increases in carbon dioxide ever observed, which was true at the time, in the late 1990's.

Unfortunately, after two trillion dollars thrown down the rabbit hole in the last ten years to attempt to "prove" the nonsensical approach to climate change that Romm foolishly endorses would work, 2015 is actually worse than 1998, the year of Romm's tenure. In 1998, the concentration of dangerous fossil fuel waste in the planetary atmosphere rose 2.93 ppm. In 2015, climate gases rose 3.05 ppm, the first ever observed increase greater than 3.00 ppm in a single year.

This of course, does not take Romm off the hook. It merely represents that for reasons that escape me, political figures - possibly driven by general public ignorance - have bought into Rommian nonsense, with the result that climate's degradation is reaching unprecedented rates.

Have a pleasant Friday.

NNadir

(33,449 posts)
48. I think I made it pretty clear that I regard climate change as the issue that trumps all others.
Sat Mar 26, 2016, 02:51 AM
Mar 2016

Last edited Sat Mar 26, 2016, 09:50 AM - Edit history (1)

I think we have also established, since you have expressed the fact that you do not read journals in the primary scientific literature, that you are not really in a position to adjudge what "most experts" think.

I, by contrast, am. In fact, I exchanged emails earlier today with a scientist with a very innovative carbon utilization scheme - far superior to dumb sequestering ideas - when he sent me a preprint of his up coming paper. I attended his scientific talk last night, which concluded with an off hand remark that solar energy won't cut it.

It isn't cutting it.

There is no "succinct way" to express the contents of the scientific literature that I have spent 30 years going through. I assure you though, that my very, very, very poor opinion of Senator Sanders awful and frankly delusional approaches to addressing climate change are informed by that 30 years of study.

However, the succinct statement is that we are squandering huge amounts of money, this on a planet where two billion people lack access to basic sanitary improvement, on so called "renewable energy" with the result, the deterioration of the atmosphere as measured by increases in climate change gases, is accelerating, not decelerating.

Why is that so difficult to grasp?

If there is anything that is bizarre, in my view, it would the the contention that I should support a man like Senator Sanders because I agree with him with a relatively trivial issues like single payer health care or free college educations when the larger issue is the survival of the planet.

I have two sons. One is in the 11th grade and applying to colleges soon; the other is in college. What good is it if they have a free education and the world agricultural system collapses because of climate change?

Senator Sanders, if elected the President of the United States - something that I hope will never happen - will be a disaster for the environment, an unintentional disaster, but a disaster nonetheless.

Cliches become cliches by being true. The one evoked by Senator Sanders' grotesque ignorance of climate abatement strategies, is this: "The road to hell is paved with good intentions."

Have a nice weekend.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
49. I don't understand your dismissive attitude at all
Sat Mar 26, 2016, 09:19 AM
Mar 2016

First of all, there's no guarantee we will even get a president who cares about climate change.

Second of all, since I assume your option is Hillary, where is the evidence that Hillary will be so much better on climate change than Bernie? At least he is addressing it with urgency-- the only one, IMO.

Thirdly, you didn't address my point about Bernie saying he'd listen to scientists, so if your view if the dominant one, wouldn't he hear your argument and act on it, if it's so compelling?

Fourthly, climate change is a huge issue, but there's only so much one president can do, and there are a lot of important issues that need to be addressed. Bernie is better on almost every issue than his rivals, IMO.

kristopher

(29,798 posts)
54. He claims to have invented a nuclear reactor in his basement...
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 07:13 AM
Apr 2016

... and said he was going to take it to Europe and sell it (IIRC it had to do with if Obama became president).

He routinely makes totally false claims about virtually anything, and as a consequence nothing he states - even the most trivial thing - can be taken on faith.

The fact is that nuclear has had every chance to be viable, but it can't cut it. It lacks the flexibility to perform as a valuable part of a distributed renewable grid, and there is no way in hell we're going to sell the world on the 4000+ reactors we'd require to base a system around nuclear.

The technology is saddled with 4 interrelated problems - cost, safety, waste, and proliferation of nuclear weapons material. There are dozens of designs that attempt to solve these problems, but nothing has emerged that does anything except trade off improvements in one or two areas at the expense of worsening things in one or two other areas. Another problem that isn't included, btw, is the length of time required to build nuclear. In every case where there is transparency in the process (this excludes China, Japan and Korea) the amount of time and cost involved in construction is horrible compared to industry projections.


This is a post I made recently that shows what's coming. It is what Bernie is moving to reinforce and build on. We can easily double this if we have the political will. As you might surmise from the editorializing I did at the end, it was posted for Nnadir.

Global renewables capacity to reach 3,200 GW in 2025

Jan 28, 2015 09:45 CET by Ivan Shumkov


Jan 28, 2015 (SeeNews) - The installed renewable energy capacity around the world is projected to jump to 3,203 GW in 2025 from 1,566 GW in 2012 as declining costs allow developing countries to adopt such technologies.

This is indicated in Frost & Sullivan’s Annual Renewable Energy Outlook 2014 report, which says that the global green energy capacity will grow at an average annual rate of 5.7% in 2012-2025. The market researcher has determined that solar photovoltaic (PV) and wind power will account for 33.4% and 32.7%, respectively, of the total capacity added over the period under review, followed by hydropower with a 25.3% share.

Frost & Sullivan estimates that the worldwide solar power capacity will surge to 668.4 GW in 2025 from 93.7 GW in 2012, but the falling PV prices and the “veritable boom” in that segment will hurt the concentrated solar power (CSP) market.

Meanwhile, global wind power capacity is expected to hit 814 GW in 2025, going up from 279 GW in 2012. Frost & Sullivan stressed that the offshore wind market will not grow at the expected pace, but small-scale wind turbines will open up new applications.
http://renewables.seenews.com/news/global-renewables-capacity-to-reach-3-200-gw-in-2025-460517

Good to keep solar heat applications in mind also. It's definitely, by some, an under appreciated resource.
https://www.iea-shc.org/data/sites/1/publications/Solar-Heat-Worldwide-2015.pdf

And what even better?

The goal and expectations have increased just since these reports were written.


Now, if we could just get the cooperation of the crackpot-obstructionists-that-can't-give-up-their-dreams-of-a-glowing-future-through-nuclear, things would ramp up even more quickly. I mean it should be a crime what they've done in Britain! The lies, energy chaos, and locked in increased emissions that the pursuit of nuclear has resulted in literally should be a crime, don't you think. Dismantling their very successful energy efficiency program in order to preserve energy demand so that they would have a rate base for a nuclear plant guaranteed to produce some of the most expensive electricity in the world - Yes, I'm sure that is an ethical crime.
 

Plucketeer

(12,882 posts)
16. If they admit it's real - they're screwed.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:28 PM
Mar 2016

If they won't admit it's real - WE'RE screwed. It's like having a growling, drooling T-rex standing five feet to one side of you. So long as you DON'T look at it, you feel it won't do you harm.

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
2. In general, their predictions are correct. We either pay attention or ultimately
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 01:35 PM
Mar 2016

most of the flora and fauna on Earth with be dead. The human race is clever about some things.
But, looking into the future by a few years isn't among their talents. Short term greed, ego
and meanness has made us "sick".


Sen. Sanders is trying to wake us up about the issue of financial inequity, the lynch pin problem
facing the human race. That inequity is by another name "unbridled Capitalism" which, if not stopped,
will result in the terrible future predicted by scientists.

Lorien

(31,935 posts)
4. Bernie has stated that climate change is the greatest threat faced by humanity
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:10 PM
Mar 2016

The science and evidence is clear: if we don't take fairly drastic steps immediately, rising global temperatures will very swiftly (within the next decade or two) lead to massive floods, droughts, global military conflict, a refugee crisis unlike any the world has ever seen, lost coastal communities, stronger storms, global famine, and ultimately ecological collapse which will in turn cause atmospheric collapse (not enough oxygen to sustain life). Ocean flora provides 65% of our oxygen, rain forests the other 35%. We're destroying the latter for cattle feed and pasture and palm oil plantations at a completely unsustainable rate. The former is being destroyed by rising sea temperatures, pollution and biodiversity loss. Our economy won't be much of an issue when there isn't enough oxygen to fill our lungs or those of any other species on the planet.


Young people understand this. That's why they are literally fighting for their lives in this election.

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
6. Yes. And has he tied the unbridled capitalism directly to the climate change?
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 02:13 PM
Mar 2016

I would guess that he probably has. But, if not, he should.

Unbridled Capitalism couldn't care less about the environment and conservation. Corporations are designed to make the most money possible with total disregard to the flora and fauna on Earth. Corporations have no trace of humanistic qualities.

 

Fast Walker 52

(7,723 posts)
13. I'm sure he knows... but if he questioned capitalism more than he has already
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:02 PM
Mar 2016

god knows what the media would do to him

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
17. At this point I just want to interject a comment or two.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:40 PM
Mar 2016

I believe that unbridled human greed which manifests itself today as unbridled Capitalism
is the gravest threat to life on Earth. Unless it is brought under control, the environment itself will be
depleted of natural resources and the climate will eventually become lethal.

The Republican Party was established in 1954. As early as 1860 their basic strategies for success were
strikingly similar to their methods of today. In 1860 they nominated Lincoln, an almost unknown native son of Illinois using dirty tricks methods to assure his nomination. And they had found the perfect
wedge issue, slavery. Almost everyone objected to slavery for all sorts of reasons.

The issue was a no loose situation for the Republicans. They seized the opportunity to divide the Country, pressed for the Emancipation Proclamation as soon as possible. The secession and Civil War followed with the Republicans remaining in power until the 1930's. (Note: they underwent some name changes and did some "smoke screen" legislation that sounded good. But, they were the same old
criminal party.

Here we are today, finally with a politician who recognizes the totality of our political situation and is
offering plans to start a correction that ultimately could save all life for thousands of years into the future. (A laughable statement in the eyes of the "blind".)

There is a lot more I'd like to say but don't think DU is the proper place to do so.

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
20. Capitalism is not the cause. It is a symptom of much that is defective in human nature
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 09:05 PM
Mar 2016

We have capitalism because we are a deeply flawed species. Yes, I know, there are exceptions, examples of more evolved members of the species (you and I for example ). But face it, rest of the species is, in fact, deeply flawed.

ladjf

(17,320 posts)
24. You are exactly correct. I didn't mean to imply otherwise. I just chose
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 09:37 PM
Mar 2016

to start at the human greed aspect the presents itself as unbridled capitalism.

If we are going to take this back to the origin we would need to go back at least to time our sun was created. Everything happening today stems from that.

We are on the same page. Greed is a survival instinct. A crocodile would eat every fish in a lake if he had the resources to do so. We have resources that have given us choices with regard to the acquisition
of what we think are our necessities of life. Those increasing option outran nature's ability to adapt.
We are "killing ourselves" by capturing more resources than we could ever need. In other words, we failed to evolve fast enough to cope with the new opportunities.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
15. The increasing activity of organized humanity
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 04:21 PM
Mar 2016

You can call that capitalism, socialism, communism, whatever, but it's that which is the underlying force, and why there isn't an easy answer.

dixiegrrrrl

(60,010 posts)
18. Problem is, all those predictions have proven not as fast and not as bad as reality is showing us.
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 05:29 PM
Mar 2016

"Much worse-sooner-stronger-more than" predicted have been headlines for a few years now.

pscot

(21,024 posts)
7. Hoping
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:02 PM
Mar 2016

is all we're prepared to do about it. It's seemingly not important enough for our candidates to mention. Dog forbid anyone should get upset about it.

 

jtuck004

(15,882 posts)
8. It used to be infrequent flooding. Now it is all the time...
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:34 PM
Mar 2016

Quinault Indian Nation Plans for Village Relocation
As the threats of tsunami and sea level rise are joined by real and potential climate impacts, the Quinault community looks to move the lower village of Taholah to higher ground...

https://toolkit.climate.gov/taking-action/quinault-indian-nation-plans-village-relocation


They aren't wrong.


jwirr

(39,215 posts)
9. We need to have the governments help in this change but
Tue Mar 22, 2016, 03:49 PM
Mar 2016

if we cannot get it because we elect a corporatist to the WH and our congress stays rw then we have only one choice.

We work from the ground up. Local change to address the problems.

Response to Binkie The Clown (Original post)

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
27. It is funny how we want things to stay the same though
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 10:14 AM
Mar 2016

Instead of going with the change, adapting to it, we fight it. It's like authoritarians fighting some sort of social change. If they could just control the people, everything would be great. If we could just control the environment, everything would be great.

What we're trying to do is have to ability to do anything we want, with no consequences.

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
28. +1000
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 11:55 AM
Mar 2016

That's it in a nutshell. We are trying to dominate the very source of our existence, as if we are a thing apart from and outside of nature. We are NOT in control, and the sooner we realize that the sooner we can just get on with the business of accepting our limitations and living within them.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
31. Which is the one thing we can't seem to do
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 02:55 PM
Mar 2016
accepting our limitations and living within them


What do we do that isn't in direct contrast to that? Look at how we're communicating at the moment. Human beings can't instantaneously talk to each other from long distances. I'm pretty sure you're not about 20 feet away from me, so the internet is just one example of us not accepting our limitations.

We don't accept our limitations, and I doubt we will. Every piece of technology we create is designed to specifically exceed our limitations. There's pretty much no reason to do it otherwise. From the sharper stick to a little phone. That's what we do.

It's because of our imagination. It's essentially limitless, and so that's how we think. It's not oh I can't do that, it's why the hell can't I do that? Who gets to tell who what they can or cannot do? I should get to do that. I have a right to do that. Human rights are a rejection of limits. Rights, like time, or language, just stuff we came up with one day, existing nowhere but in the human imagination.

Binkie The Clown

(7,911 posts)
34. Granted, our imagination and abillity to invent appears nearly limitless. But...
Wed Mar 23, 2016, 04:27 PM
Mar 2016

we are still limited by the laws of physics; in particular, the laws of thermodynamics.

The2ndWheel

(7,947 posts)
36. Absolutely
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 07:19 AM
Mar 2016

We just take that as a challenge though. We don't just accept it. Humans can't physically fly, but we've come up with a way to fly.

OKIsItJustMe

(19,937 posts)
38. This is not a radical departure from his earlier work
Thu Mar 24, 2016, 10:18 AM
Mar 2016
http://arxiv.org/pdf/physics/0610115
[font face=Serif][font size=5]Dangerous human-made interference with climate: A GISS modelE study[/font]

[font size=1]Draft of 13 October 2006.[/font]

[font size=4]We investigate the issue of “dangerous human-made interference with climate” using simulations with GISS modelE driven by measured or estimated forcings for 1880-2003 and extended to 2100 for IPCC greenhouse gas scenarios as well as the ‘alternative’ scenario of Hansen and Sato |2004|. Identification of ‘dangerous’ effects is partly subjective, but we find evidence that added global warming of more than 1°C above the level in 2000 has effects that may be highly disruptive. The alternative scenario, with peak added forcing ~1.5 W/m2 in 2100, keeps further global warming under 1°C if climate sensitivity is ~3°C or less for doubled CO₂. The alternative scenario keeps mean regional seasonal warming within 2σ (standard deviations) of 20th century variability, but other scenarios yield regional changes of 5-10σ, i.e., mean conditions outside the range of local experience. We discuss three specific sub-global topics: Arctic climate change, tropical storm intensification, and ice sheet stability. We suggest that Arctic climate change has been driven as much by pollutants (O₃, its precursor CH₄, and soot) as by CO₂, offering hope that dual efforts to reduce pollutants and slow CO₂ growth could minimize Arctic change. Simulated recent ocean warming in the region of Atlantic hurricane formation is comparable to observations, suggesting that greenhouse gases (GHGs) may have contributed to a trend toward greater hurricane intensities. Increasing GHGs cause significant warming in our model in submarine regions of ice shelves and shallow methane hydrates, raising concern about the potential for accelerating sea level rise and future positive feedback from methane release. Growth of non-CO₂ forcings has slowed in recent years, but CO₂ emissions are now surging well above the alternative scenario. Prompt actions to slow CO₂ emissions and decrease non-CO₂ forcings are needed to achieve the low forcing of the alternative scenario.[/font]

[font size=3]…[/font][/font]


http://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024002/fulltext/
[font face=Serif]Environ. Res. Lett. 2 (April-June 2007) 024002
doi:10.1088/1748-9326/2/2/024002

[font size=5]Scientific reticence and sea level rise[/font]



[font size=4]Abstract. I suggest that a `scientific reticence' is inhibiting the communication of a threat of a potentially large sea level rise. Delay is dangerous because of system inertias that could create a situation with future sea level changes out of our control. I argue for calling together a panel of scientific leaders to hear evidence and issue a prompt plain-written report on current understanding of the sea level change issue.[/font]

[font size=3]…[/font][/font]
 

SoLeftIAmRight

(4,883 posts)
46. Climate change and the sixth global mass-extinction event is happening now
Fri Mar 25, 2016, 06:03 PM
Mar 2016

no need to worry - with help from kissinger - $hillary will fix it

Delphinus

(11,823 posts)
56. The book
Fri Apr 1, 2016, 08:21 AM
Apr 2016

from Elizabeth Kolbert was out-of-date before I even read it. And it was pretty dire. It seems that any news story that talks about being in the midst of the sixth extinction makes no impact on people's consciousness.

Latest Discussions»Issue Forums»Environment & Energy»We had all better hope th...