China is not 1914 Germany
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China is not 1914 Germany
Feb 24,2014
Current events are frequently viewed through the prism of analogies. Words become shorthand for a particular type of situation. Munich equals the danger of appeasing bloodthirsty dictators.
Vietnam and now Iraq/Afghanistan mean the folly of getting involved in (or, in the case of Iraq, starting) civil wars in countries whose societies the outsiders dont understand.
In some cases, acting on these parallels turns out to be wise. The fear of repeating Munich helps explain the forceful and successful American response to Soviet expansionism at the start of the cold war (Berlin, Korea, etc.). In other cases, they are misguided, as was the case in the Anglo-French invasion of Egypt, where Nasser was no Hitler and giving up the Suez canal would not have equated to throwing Czechoslovakia to the wolves.
The analogy that is currently in vogue in Asia is 1914. This is a particularly complex one, as there are two distinct narratives of that fateful year. The one that was prevalent in the United Kingdom and the United States for many decades perceived the war through the Sarajevo lens as a giant cataclysm in which all the players bore a share of the blame. Another interpretation, which is more dominant today, is best illustrated by the late German historian Fritz Fischers Germanys Aims in the First World War (1961), which assigns most of the responsibility to Berlin.